Английская Википедия:2021 Texas's 6th congressional district special election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Texas sidebar

The 2021 Texas's 6th congressional district special election was held on May 1, 2021. The seat became vacant after incumbent Republican Ron Wright died on February 7 of COVID-19.

Ron Wright's widow, Susan Wright from Arlington, who was endorsed by former president Donald Trump,[1] and Jake Ellzey (who lost the Republican primary for this seat to Ron Wright in 2018) of Waxahachie, who served as a member of the Texas House of Representatives starting on January 12, advanced to the runoff.[2] Ellzey finished ahead of Democrat Jana Lynne Sanchez of Fort Worth for the second place by just 354 votes.[3][4] Sanchez conceded defeat to Ellzey the day after the election.[5] The district was a Republican hold due to two Republicans advancing to the runoff.

The special election was expected to be competitive, due to the district trending Democratic in recent years and its suburban nature.[6] A nonpartisan blanket primary took place, in which all candidates were listed on the same ballot. Since no candidate had received over 50 percent of the vote, the race proceeded to a runoff between the top two candidates in the first round,[7] resulting in two Republicans advancing to the runoff.[5] The runoff took place on July 27.[8] Ellzey won the runoff election, earning 53.3% to Wright's 46.7%.[9]

Candidates

Republican Party

Declared

Filed paperwork

Declined

Democratic Party

Declared

Declined

Libertarian Party

Declared

  • Phil Gray, property manager[13]

Independent

Declared

  • Adrian Mizher, banker[13]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Primary

Polling

Graphical summary

Шаблон:Graph:Chart

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Шаблон:Vert header Other Undecided
Meeting Street Insights (R) April 11–13, 2021 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 1% 0% 5% 3% 0% 1% 14% <1% 12% 0% <1% 3% 1% <1% 0% 2% <1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|16% <1% 1% 1% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|15% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|23%
7% 16% 12% 5% 3% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|20% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|17% 0% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|19%
Data for Progress (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua April 5–12, 2021 344 (LV) ± 5.0% 9% 13% 10% 10% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|16% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|22% 2% 14%
Global Strategy Group (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua March 11–16, 2021 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 6% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|18% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|45%
Victoria Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua March 9–12, 2021 450 (LV) ± 4.6% 5% 8% 1% 3% 3% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|17% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|21% 3% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|39%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[33] Шаблон:USRaceRating March 19, 2021
Inside Elections[34] Шаблон:USRaceRating April 23, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] Шаблон:USRaceRating April 15, 2021

Results

Susan Wright came in first in the primary with 15,077 (19.2%) votes to Ellzey's 10,865 (13.8%) and Sanchez's 10,518 (13.4%). On Sunday, May 2, 2021, Sanchez conceded the race to Ellzey. Since no candidate received a majority, the top two candidates, Wright and Ellzey, proceeded to a runoff.

Шаблон:Election box begin no changeШаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

Runoff

A runoff was held on July 27 between Susan Wright and Jake Ellzey. In the campaign prior to the runoff, Wright relied heavily on Trump's endorsement in order to further her candidacy, but was considered to have run a poor campaign.[36] The Club for Growth spent heavily in the runoff, buying US $1.2 million in advertisements that supported Wright and attacked Ellzey.[36] The heavily negative tone taken by the Club for Growth ads towards Ellzey frustrated many Republican officials, some of whom backed Ellzey in protest.[36] Ellzey's campaign also engaged in strategies that were suspected as being designed to appeal to Democrats, with him declaring himself a "champion of public education" in text messages to Democratic-leaning potential voters, as well as noting that Wright was endorsed by former president Donald Trump.[36] Defending Main Street, a Super PAC that was supporting Ellzey, targeted Democrats with advertisements, but Ellzey himself denied that he was specifically targeting Democrats, instead claiming that his statements were designed to be bipartisan.[36]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[37] Шаблон:USRaceRating July 9, 2021
Inside Elections[38] Шаблон:USRaceRating June 18, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball[39] Шаблон:USRaceRating July 21, 2021

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Susan
Wright (R)
Jake
Ellzey (R)
Undecided
American Viewpoint (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua July 19–21, 2021 400 (LV) ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44% 34% 12%
American Viewpoint (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua June 1–3, 2021 400 (LV) ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% 34% 11%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Susan Wright vs. Jana Sanchez
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Susan
Wright (R)
Jana
Sanchez (D)
Undecided
Data for Progress (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua April 5–12, 2021 344 (LV) ± 5.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|53% 43% 5%
Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Generic
Republican
Generic
Democrat
Undecided
Meeting Street Insights (R) April 11–13, 2021 400 (LV) ± 4.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% 42% 5%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box hold with party link without swing Шаблон:Election box end

By county

County[40] Jake Ellzey
Republican
Susan Wright
Republican
Margin Total votes
# % # % # %
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Ellis Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |6,784 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |56.68% Шаблон:Party shading/Independence |5,185 Шаблон:Party shading/Independence |43.32% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |1,599 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |13.36% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |11,969
Шаблон:Party shading/Independence |Navarro Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |1,398 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |43.87% Шаблон:Party shading/Independence |1,789 Шаблон:Party shading/Independence |56.13% Шаблон:Party shading/Independence |-391 Шаблон:Party shading/Independence |-12.27% Шаблон:Party shading/Independence |3,187
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |Tarrant Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |12,655 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |52.82% Шаблон:Party shading/Independence |11,305 Шаблон:Party shading/Independence |47.18% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |1,350 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |5.63% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |23,960
Totals 20,837 53.27% 18,279 46.73% 2,558 6.54% 39,116

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

Partisan clients

Шаблон:Notelist-ua

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Official websites of candidates

Шаблон:Elections in Texas footer Шаблон:2021 United States elections