Английская Википедия:2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsAR
The 2022 Arkansas gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Arkansas. Incumbent governor Asa Hutchinson was term-limited and could not seek a third term. Republican Sarah Huckabee Sanders, daughter of former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, defeated Democrat Chris Jones to become the first woman ever elected to the office, and was sworn in on January 10, 2023.
Primary elections in Arkansas were held on May 24. Runoff elections for instances where no candidate receives over 50% of the vote were scheduled for June 21. Former White House press secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders won the Republican nomination, while Chris Jones won the Democratic nomination.[1]
Leading up to the Republican primary, Sanders received many endorsements from key Republican figures, including Donald Trump, Mike Pence, incumbent Asa Hutchinson, Arkansas' entire U.S. Congressional delegation, and the majority of Republicans in both state legislative chambers. Her primary victory was not remotely close, as she won every county in the state with at least 70% of the vote. As Arkansas is a Republican stronghold, her primary victory virtually guaranteed she would win the general election, in which she defeated Jones by 28 points. Jones became the first Democrat to win Washington County since 2010, and Sanders became the first Republican to win majority-Black Crittenden County since her father in 1998, winning the county by one vote. This is the first time ever that the Republican Party won three straight gubernatorial elections in the state's history.
Sanders became the first female governor of Arkansas. With the election of Leslie Rutledge as lieutenant governor, Arkansas, along with Massachusetts, became the first two U.S. states to elect both a female governor and female lieutenant governor to serve at the same time.
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders, former White House press secretary (2017–2019) and daughter of former governor Mike Huckabee[2]
Eliminated in primary
- Francis "Doc" Washburn, radio personality[3]
Withdrew
- Tim Griffin, lieutenant governor of Arkansas (2015–2023)[4] (ran for attorney general) (endorsed Sanders)
- Leslie Rutledge, Arkansas attorney general (2015–2023)[5] (ran for lieutenant governor) (endorsed Sanders)
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Leslie Rutledge |
Sarah Huckabee Sanders |
Francis Washburn |
Undecided | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College | May 2, 2022 | 802 (LV) | ± 4.3% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|73% | 17% | 10% | |||||||||
| Remington Research (R) | May 1–2, 2022 | 1,622 (LV) | ± 2.2% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|80% | 14% | 6% | |||||||||
| Rutledge withdraws from the race | ||||||||||||||||
| Remington Research (R) | October 25–26, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 16% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|73% | – | 11% | |||||||||
| Hendrix College | May 26–31, 2021 | 535 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43% | – | 22% | |||||||||
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Chris Jones, nuclear engineer, MIT graduate, and former executive director of the Arkansas Regional Innovation Hub[6][7]
Eliminated in primary
- Anthony Bland, public school teacher and nominee for lieutenant governor in 2018[8]
- James "Rus" Russell, small business owner[8][9]
- Supha Xayprasith-Mays, entrepreneur[10]
- Jay Martin, lawyer and former Majority Leader of the Arkansas House of Representatives[11]
Declined
- Kelly Krout, candidate for state representative in 2020[12] (running for lieutenant governor)
- Greg Leding, state senator (2019–present), former state representative (2011–2019), and former minority leader of the Arkansas House of Representatives (2012–2014)[13] (running for re-election to the State Senate)
- Clarke Tucker, state senator (2021–present), former state representative (2015–2019), and nominee for Arkansas's 2nd congressional district in 2018[14] (ran for re-election to the State Senate)
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Anthony Bland |
Chris Jones |
Supha Xayprasith-Mays |
Jay Martin |
James Russell |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College | May 2, 2022 | 597 (LV) | ± 5.0% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|60% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 31% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Libertarian convention
Candidates
Nominee
- Ricky Harrington, Christian missionary, prison chaplain, and nominee for U.S. senator in 2020[15][16][17]
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- William E. Gates, senior pastor at the church of Christian Jewish Freedom in Little Rock[18]
Write-ins
Candidates
Declared
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[21] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | March 4, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | January 26, 2022 |
| Politico[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | January 10, 2022 |
| Fox News[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | May 12, 2022 |
| 538[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | June 30, 2022 |
| Elections Daily[28] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) |
Chris Jones (D) |
Undecided Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight | August 31 – October 31, 2022 | November 3, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|54.4% | 36.1% | 9.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Sanders +18.3 |
- Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) |
Chris Jones (D) |
Ricky Harrington (L) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Arkansas | October 13–31, 2022 | 557 (LV) | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |53% | 34% | 4% | 9% |
| Hendrix College | October 17–18, 2022 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |51% | 41% | 3% | 5% |
| Remington Research Group (R) | September 14–15, 2022 | 1,418 (LV) | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |59% | 34% | 3% | 4% |
| Hendrix College | September 12, 2022 | 835 (LV) | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican |51% | 40% | 2% | 7% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 382 (RV) | ± 7.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|62% | 32% | – | 6% |
| Remington Research Group (R) | February 26–27, 2022 | 827 (LV) | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|58% | 28% | 3% | 10% |
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders vs. generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) |
Generic Democrat |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hendrix College | February 7–8, 2022 | 961 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44% | 34% | 8% | 15% |
- Generic Republican vs. generic Democrat
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Generic Republican |
Generic Democrat |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Arkansas | October 12–24, 2021 | 800 (A) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 21% | 34% |
| 555 (LV) | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50% | 23% | 27% |
Debates
| Шаблон:Abbr | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Democratic | Libertarian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant Шаблон:Colors Absent Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee Шаблон:Colors Invitee Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn |
scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | ||||
| Sarah Huckabee Sanders | Chris Jones | Ricky Harrington Jr | |||||
| 1 | Oct, 2022 | Arkansas PBS | Link | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | |
Results
Шаблон:AlignШаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box totalШаблон:Election box turnoutШаблон:Election box registered electors Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Crittenden (Largest city: West Memphis)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Washington (Largest city: Fayetteville)
By congressional district
Huckabee Sanders won all 4 congressional districts.[29]
| District | Huckabee Sanders | Jones | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 70% | 28% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Rick Crawford |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 56% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|French Hill |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 60% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Steve Womack |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 68% | 30% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Bruce Westerman |
See also
Notes
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
- William E. Gates (I) for Governor
- Ricky Harrington (L) for Governor
- Chris Jones (D) for Governor
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) for Governor
Шаблон:Arkansas elections Шаблон:2022 United States elections Шаблон:Portal bar
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ 8,0 8,1 Шаблон:Cite news
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