Английская Википедия:2022 Bahia gubernatorial election
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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Infobox election
The 2022 Bahia state election took place in the state of Bahia, Brazil on 2 October 2022. The elections saw voters choose a Governor and Vice Governor, one Senator, 39 representatives for the Chamber of Deputies, and 63 Legislative Assembly members. The incumbent Governor, Rui Costa, of the Workers' Party (PT), was not eligible for a third term since he ran for governor in 2014 and 2018.[1] In a significant upset, PT nominee and Secretary of Education Jerônimo led Mayor of Salvador ACM Neto in the first round of elections despite the vast majority of registered opinion polls indicating the leadership or even outright victory of Neto. In the end, Jerônimo obtained 49.45% of valid votes to ACM's 40.8%; less than a percentage point within of winning the election in the first round. Nevertheless, as no candidate obtained a majority of the vote, there will be a second round election on October 30 2022.
In the election for Federal Senate from the state of Bahia, incumbent Senator Otto Alencar (PSD) whose seat was up for election ran for re-election.[2] and was successfully re-elected with 58.3% of valid votes.
Electoral calendar
| Electoral calendar | |
|---|---|
| May 15 | Start of crowdfunding of candidates |
| July 20 to August 5 | Party conventions for choosing candidates and coalitions |
| August 16 to September 30 | Period of exhibition of free electoral propaganda on radio, television and on the internet related to the first round |
| October 2 | First round of 2022 elections |
| October 7 to October 28 | Period of exhibition of free electoral propaganda on radio, television and on the internet related to a possible second round |
| October 30 | Possible second round of 2022 elections |
| until December 19 | Delivery of electoral diplomas for those who were elected in the 2022 elections by the Brazilian Election Justice |
Gubernatorial candidates
Political parties have until August 15, 2022 to formally register their candidates.[3]
Candidates in Runoff
Candidates failing to make Runoff
| Файл:Logomarca do Partido Socialismo e Liberdade.png Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL) |
Kleber Rosa |
Teacher. | Файл:Logomarca do Partido Socialismo e Liberdade.png Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL) |
Ronaldo Mansur | Let's Govern Together | 50 | [6] | ||
| Файл:Logo do Partido Liberal (Brasil).png Liberal Party (PL) |
João Roma João Roma |
Minister of Citizenship (2021–2022) |
Brazilian Woman's Party (PMB) | Leonídia Umbelina | Bahia, Hand in Hand with Brazil
|
22 | [8] | ||
| Файл:PCB logo.svg Brazilian Communist Party (PCB) |
Giovani Damico |
Teacher. | Файл:PCB logo.svg Brazilian Communist Party (PCB) |
João Coimbra | None. | 21 | [9] | ||
| 'Файл:Logomarca do Partido da Causa Operária, do Brasil.png Workers' Cause Party (PCO) |
Marcelo Millet | App driver. | 'Файл:Logomarca do Partido da Causa Operária, do Brasil.png Workers' Cause Party (PCO) |
Roque Vieira Jr. | None. | 29 | [10] |
Senatorial candidates
Political parties have until August 15, 2022 to formally register their candidates.[3]
Potential candidates
| Party | Candidate | Most recent political office | Details | Ref. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Файл:PSD Brazil logo.svg Social Democratic Party (PSD) |
Otto Alencar Otto Alencar |
Senator for Bahia (since 2015) |
Born in Ruy Barbosa, Bahia in 1947. Teacher, medical doctor, former Governor of Bahia (2002-2003) and Vice Governor of Bahia for two periods (1999–2002) and (2011–2015) . | [11] | |
| Файл:Progressistas logo.png Progressistas (PP) |
Cacá Leão Cacá Leão |
Federal Deputy from Bahia (since 2015) |
Born in Salvador, Bahia in 1979. Businessman and former state deputy of Bahia (2011–2014). | [12] | |
| Файл:Logo do Partido Liberal (Brasil).png Liberal Party (PL) |
José Ronaldo Raíssa Soares |
Health Secretary of Porto Seguro (2021)[13][14] |
Born in Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais in 1970.[15][16] Medical doctor and Former Health Secretary of Porto Seguro (2021).[17] | [18] | |
| Файл:Logomarca do Partido Socialismo e Liberdade.png Socialism and Liberty Party (PSOL) |
Tâmara Azevedo Professor Max Zen Costa (group candidacy) |
No prior public office | Tâmara: Sociologist. José Ademaques dos Santos (Professor Max): Geographer and physical education teacher[19][20] Zen Costa: environment and culture activist.[21] |
[22] | |
| Файл:PMN logo.svg Party of National Mobilization (PMN) |
Marcelo Barreto Luz Para Todos | No prior public office | Born in Salvador, Bahia in 1966. Administrator | ||
Withdrawn candidates
- João Leão (PP) - Vice Governor of Bahia since 2015; Federal Deputy from Bahia 1995–2015 and Mayor of Lauro de Freitas 1989–93. The Vice-Governor of Bahia said that the reason he gave up running for the Federal Senate is due to his advanced age and the difficulty in keeping up with the pace of the candidate for the government of Bahia, ACM Neto.[23]
- José Ronaldo (Brazil Union) - Former Mayor of Feira de Santana, former Federal Deputy, and candidate for governor of Bahia in 2018. He decided to coordinate ACM Neto's campaign for governor instead, supporting the coalition candidate Cacá Leão.[24]
Legislative Assembly
The result of the last state election and the current situation in the Legislative Assembly of Bahia is given below:
Opinion polls
Governor
First round
The first round is scheduled to take place on 2 October 2022.[27]
2022
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Neto Шаблон:Small |
Jerônimo Шаблон:Small |
Roma Шаблон:Small |
Rosa Шаблон:Small |
Damico Шаблон:Small |
Millet Шаблон:Small |
Abst. Undec |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14-18 Sep 2022 | 1,540 | 51.2% | 24.2% | 10.4% | 1% | 0,4% | 1% | 11.8% | 27% |
| DataFolha/Metrópole | 12–14 Sep 2022 | 1,212 | 49% | 28% | 7% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 14% | 21% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 1-5 Sep 2022 | 1,540 | 52.9% | 20.5% | 11.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1% | 12.7% | 32.4% |
| Real Big Time Data | 2-3 Sep 2022 | 1,200 | 49% | 24% | 9% | – | – | – | 18% | 25% |
| IPEC/TV Bahia | 23-25 Aug 2022 | 1,008 | 56% | 16% | 8% | 1% | – | 2% | 20% | 43% |
| DataFolha/Metrópole | 22-24 Aug 2022 | 1,008 | 54% | 16% | 8% | – | 1% | 1% | 20% | 38% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 11-15 Aug 2022 | 1,640 | 53.5% | 18.2% | 11.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 15.7% | 35.3% |
| 9 August 2022 | The Workers' Cause Party launches Marcelo Millet as candidate for Bahia State Government in 2022.[28] | |||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Neto Шаблон:Small |
Jerônimo Шаблон:Small |
Roma Шаблон:Small |
Rosa Шаблон:Small |
Damico Шаблон:Small |
Others | Abst. Undec |
Lead |
| AtlasIntel/A Tarde | 30 Jul–4 Aug 2022 | 1,600 | 38.8% | 37.8% | 13.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% | – | 8.6% | 1% |
| Instituto França de Pesquisas | 18–28 Jul 2022 | 1,213 | 53.72% | 12.78% | 8.47% | 0.07% | 1.07% | – | 23.89% | 40.94% |
| 44.95% | 23.86% | 13.89% | – | – | Шаблон:Efn | 17.3% | 21.09% | |||
| Séculus | 23–26 Jul 2022 | 1,526 | 60.94% | 13.04% | 7.86% | – | – | – | 18.16% | 47.8% |
| Quaest/Genial | 9–12 Jul 2022 | 1,140 | 61% | 11% | 6% | 1% | 0% | – | 21% | 50% |
| 65% | 13% | – | 2% | – | – | 19% | 52% | |||
| 63% | 12% | 7% | – | – | – | 18% | 51% | |||
| 43% | 38% | 11% | – | – | Шаблон:Efn | 8% | 5% | |||
| Real Time Big Data | 6–7 Jul 2022 | 1,500 | 56% | 18% | 10% | 1% | – | Шаблон:Efn | 15% | 38% |
| EXAME/IDEIA | 1–6 Jul 2022 | 1,000 | 51% | 18% | 13% | 2% | – | – | 16% | 33% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 30 Jun–4 Jul 2022 | 1,640 | 58% | 15.8% | 9.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | – | 16.7% | 42.2% |
| Séculus | 6–9 Jun 2022 | 1,526 | 60.55% | 12.19% | 7.14% | – | – | – | 20.12% | 48.36% |
| 56.42% | 19.92% | 8.52% | – | – | Шаблон:Efn | 15.14% | 36.5% | |||
| Real Time Big Data | 7–8 Jun 2022 | 1,500 | 56% | 18% | 10% | 1% | – | – | 15% | 38% |
| Real Time Big Data | 14–16 May 2022 | 1,500 | 55% | 18% | 10% | 1% | – | – | 16% | 37% |
| Quaest/Genial | 13–16 May 2022 | 1,140 | 67% | 6% | 5% | 1% | – | – | 20% | 61% |
| 70% | 8% | – | 2% | – | – | 19% | 62% | |||
| 47% | 34% | 10% | – | – | Шаблон:Efn | 10% | 13% | |||
| Opnus | 28 Apr–2 May 2022 | 1,500 | 44% | 32% | 12% | 1% | – | Шаблон:Efn | 11% | 12% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–24 Apr 2022 | 1,820 | 55.4% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 1% | 0.5% | – | 16.7% | 39.3% |
| Séculus | 20–22 Apr 2022 | 1,526 | 61.54% | 11.26% | 5.47% | 0.77% | 0.45% | – | 8.3% | 50.28% |
| Séculus | 24–26 Mar 2022 | 1,526 | 63.48% | 6.54% | 5.69% | 1.83% | – | – | 22.45% | 56.94% |
| 55.63% | 20.29% | 6.54% | – | – | Шаблон:Efn | 17.54% | 35.34% | |||
| Quaest/Genial[29] | 16–19 Mar 2022 | 1,140 | 66% | 4% | 5% | 2% | – | – | 23% | 62% |
| 69% | 6% | – | 3% | – | – | 22% | 63% | |||
| 43% | 37% | 9% | – | – | Шаблон:Efn | 11% | 6% | |||
| Opnus | 16–18 Mar 2022 | 1,500 | 65% | 6% | 8% | 1% | – | – | 20% | 57% |
| 11–25 March 2022 | Jerônimo Rodrigues is announced as the official candidate for the government by the Workers' Party (PT),[30] along with other official candidates.[31] João Roma leaves Republicanos and decides to join the Liberal Party (PL).[32] | |||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Neto Шаблон:Small |
Jaques Шаблон:Small |
Roma Шаблон:Small |
Bernadete Шаблон:Small |
Otto Шаблон:Small |
Others | Abst. Undec |
Lead |
| Real Time Big Data | 21–22 Feb 2022 | 1,200 | 45% | 30% | 9% | 5% | – | – | 11% | 15% |
| 48% | – | 10% | 7% | 17% | – | 18% | 31% | |||
| 8 Feb 2022 | Democrats (DEM) and the Social Liberal Party (PSL)'s merger, Brazil Union (UNIÃO), is approved by the Superior Electoral Court (TSE).[33] | |||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Neto Шаблон:Small |
Jaques Шаблон:Small |
Roma Шаблон:Small |
Raíssa Шаблон:Small |
Mendes Шаблон:Small |
Others | Abst. Undec |
Lead |
| BN/Séculus | 24–27 Jan 2022 | 1,526 | 54.72% | 24.57% | 4.26% | 0.59% | – | 3.68%Шаблон:Efn | 12.19% | 30.15% |
| 55.7% | 25.56% | 5.57% | – | – | 1,05%Шаблон:Efn | 12.12% | 30.14% | |||
| Opnus/Metrópole | 19–22 Jan 2022 | 1,500 | 52% | 29% | 5% | – | 1% | – | 13% | 23% |
| 33% | 46% | 11% | – | 1% | Шаблон:Efn | 9% | 13% | |||
2021
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Neto Шаблон:Small |
Jaques Шаблон:Small |
Roma Шаблон:Small |
Raíssa Шаблон:Small |
Mendes Шаблон:Small |
Others | Abst. Undec |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná Pesquisas | 24–28 Nov 2021 | 2,002 | 54.8% | 23.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.9%Шаблон:Efn | 14.3% | 31.7% |
| 55.1% | 23.3% | 4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | – | 14.4% | 31.8% | |||
| 56.2% | 23.5% | 5.2% | – | – | 15.1% | 32.7% | ||||
| 36.6% | 36.8% | 13.6% | Шаблон:Efn | 13% | 0.2% | |||||
| Real Time Big Data | 24–25 Nov 2021 | 1,000 | 43% | 30% | 9% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 15% | 13% | ||
| 45% | 30% | – | – | 25% | 15% | |||||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 4–7 Aug 2021 | 2,008 | 50% | 24.1% | 3% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 16.9% | 25.9% | |
| 52.3% | 25.4% | 4.5% | – | – | 17.8% | 26.9% | ||||
| 37.9% | 35% | 13.7% | Шаблон:Efn | 13,5% | 2.9% | |||||
| Real Time Big Data | 13–15 Jul 2021 | 1,200 | 41% | 27% | 4% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 26% | 14% | ||
| 35% | 29% | 15% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 19% | 6% | |||||
| Instituto Ranking | 10–14 Jul 2021 | 2,000 | 27.35% | 18.15% | 0.75% | 1.75% | 0.55% | 5.45%Шаблон:Efn | 46% | 9.2% |
| 42.15% | 27% | 1.05% | 3.1% | 0,85% | 8.3%Шаблон:Efn | 17.55% | 15.15% | |||
| Paraná Pesquisas | 12–15 May 2021 | 2,002 | 38% | 33.6% | 15.2% | – | – | – | 13.2% | 4.4% |
Second round
The second round (if necessary) is scheduled to take place on 30 October 2022.[34]
ACM Neto vs. Jerônimo
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Neto Шаблон:Small |
Jerônimo Шаблон:Small |
Abst. Undec |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DataFolha/Metrópole | 12–14 Sep 2022 | 1,212 | 60% | 33% | 7% | 27% |
| DataFolha/Metrópole | 22–24 Aug 2022 | 1,008 | 68% | 23% | 10 | 45% |
| AtlasIntel/A Tarde | 30 Jul–8 Aug 2022 | 1,600 | 42.7% | 39.9% | – | 2.8% |
| Quaest/Genial | 9–12 Jul 2022 | 1,140 | 66% | 17% | 17% | 49% |
| EXAME/IDEIA | 1–6 Jul 2022 | 1,000 | 58% | 19% | 23% | 39% |
| Quaest/Genial | 13–16 May 2022 | 1,140 | 73% | 11% | 16% | 62% |
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Neto Шаблон:Small |
Roma Шаблон:Small |
Abst. Undec |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel/A Tarde | 30 Jul–8 Aug 2022 | 1,600 | 49.7% | 25.3% | – | 24.4% |
| Quaest/Genial | 9–12 Jul 2022 | 1,140 | 68% | 13% | 18% | 55% |
| EXAME/IDEIA | 1–6 Jul 2022 | 1,000 | 61% | 14% | 25% | 47% |
| Quaest/Genial | 13–16 May 2022 | 1,140 | 73% | 10% | 20% | 63% |
João Roma vs. Jerônimo
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Roma Шаблон:Small |
Jerônimo Шаблон:Small |
Abst. Undec |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AtlasIntel/A Tarde | 30 Jul–8 Aug 2022 | 1,600 | 23.8% | 48.2% | – | 24.4% |
| Quaest/Genial | 9–12 Jul 2022 | 1,140 | 23% | 26% | 52% | 3% |
| EXAME/IDEIA | 1–6 Jul 2022 | 1,000 | 30% | 46% | 24% | 16% |
| Quaest/Genial | 13–16 May 2022 | 1,140 | 24% | 22% | 55% | 2% |
Senator
2022
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Otto Шаблон:Small |
Leão Шаблон:Small |
Raíssa Шаблон:Small |
Barreto Шаблон:Small |
Tâmara Шаблон:Small |
Cícero Шаблон:Small |
Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraná Pesquisas | 14-18 Sep 2022 | 1,540 | 33.9% | 19.2% | 14% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 26.7% | 14.7% |
| DataFolha/Metrópole | 12-14 Sep 2022 | 1,212 | 39% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 28% | 22% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 1-5 Sep 2022 | 1,540 | 31.8% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 29.6% | 14.7% |
| 2-3 Sep 2022 | 1,200 | 25% | 17% | 12% | – | 4% | – | 42% | 8% | |
| IPEC/TV Bahia | 23-25 Aug 2022 | 1,008 | 30% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 37% | 19% |
| DataFolha/Metrópole | 22-24 Aug 2022 | 1,008 | 32% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 6% | 37% | 22% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 11-15 Aug 2022 | 1,640 | 32.2% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 36.5% | 18.5% |
| 1-9 August 2022 | Marcelo Barreto launches candidacy for Federal Senate by the Party of National Mobilization.[35] Marcelo Nilo confirms pre-candidacy for re-election to the Chamber of Deputies.[36] Workers' Cause Party launches Cícero Araújo as candidate for the Senate.[28] | |||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Otto Шаблон:Small |
Leão Шаблон:Small |
Raíssa Шаблон:Small |
Marcelo Шаблон:Small |
Tâmara Шаблон:Small |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| AtlasIntel/A Tarde | 30 Jul–4 Aug 2022 | 1,600 | 39.2% | 12.9% | 16.2% | – | 5% | – | 23% | 26.7% |
| Séculus | 23–26 Jul 2022 | 1,526 | 28.8% | 12.9% | 9.5% | – | 2.8% | – | 45.8% | 15.9% |
| Quaest/Genial | 9–12 Jul 2022 | 1,140 | 32% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 4% | – | 42% | 22% |
| 34% | 12% | 8% | – | 5% | – | 41% | 22% | |||
| 36% | 14% | – | – | 8% | – | 41% | 22% | |||
| Real Time Big Data | 6–7 Jul 2022 | 1,500 | 29% | 8% | 10% | – | 6% | – | 47% | 19% |
| EXAME/IDEIA | 1–6 Jul 2022 | 1,000 | 22% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 5% | – | 43% | 9% |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 30 Jun–4 Jul 2022 | 1,640 | 33.9% | 12.8% | 7.4% | – | 4.2% | – | 41.7% | 21.1% |
| Séculus | 6–9 Jun 2022 | 1,526 | 26.21% | 9.5% | 8.19% | – | 2.03% | – | 54.06% | 16.71% |
| Real Time Big Data | 7–8 Jun 2022 | 1,500 | 29% | 6% | 11% | – | 5% | – | 49% | 18% |
| Real Time Big Data | 14–16 May 2022 | 1,500 | 30% | 6% | 10% | – | 4% | – | 50% | 20% |
| Quaest/Genial | 13–16 May 2022 | 1,140 | 34% | 8% | 6% | 9% | 3% | – | 39% | 25% |
| 38% | 10% | 7% | – | 5% | – | 39% | 28% | |||
| 41% | 10% | – | – | 9% | – | 40% | 31% | |||
| Opnus | 28 Apr–2 May 2022 | 1,500 | 29% | 12% | 10% | – | 3% | – | 46% | 17% |
| 46% | 17% | – | – | – | Шаблон:Efn | 37% | 29% | |||
| João Leão gives up on his candidacy to the Federal Senate in favor of his son Cacá Leão.[37] | ||||||||||
| Pollster/client(s) | Date(s) conducted |
Sample size |
Otto Шаблон:Small |
Leão Шаблон:Small |
Raíssa Шаблон:Small |
Marcelo Шаблон:Small |
Tâmara Шаблон:Small |
Others | Abst. Undec. |
Lead |
| Paraná Pesquisas | 19–24 Apr 2022 | 1,820 | 32.7% | 15.4% | 7% | – | 5.6% | – | 39.2% | 17.3% |
| Séculus | 20–22 Apr 2022 | 1,526 | 28.44% | 16.09% | 8,49% | – | 1.61% | – | 45.37% | 12.35% |
| Séculus | 24–26 Mar 2022 | 1,526 | 26.17% | 16.36% | 9.10% | – | 3.01% | – | 45.35% | 9.81% |
| Quaest/Genial | 16–19 Mar 2022 | 1,140 | 21% | 12% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 20%Шаблон:Efn | 35% | 1% |
| 24% | 13% | 7% | – | 4% | 16%Шаблон:Efn | 36% | 8% | |||
| 26% | 16% | – | – | – | 20%Шаблон:Efn | 38% | 6% | |||
| Opnus | 16–18 Mar 2022 | 1,500 | 27% | 11% | – | – | – | 11%Шаблон:Efn | 50% | 16% |
Results
Governor
Шаблон:Election results Шаблон:Bar box Шаблон:Bar box
Senator
Шаблон:Election results Шаблон:Bar box
Chamber of Deputies
Legislative Assembly
Notes
References
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- ↑ 28,0 28,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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