Английская Википедия:2022 California gubernatorial election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in California
The 2022 California gubernatorial election was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of California, with the statewide top-two primary election taking place on June 7, 2022.[1] Incumbent Democratic Party Governor Gavin Newsom was re-elected to a second term after surviving a recall election in 2021, during his first term.
The elections featured universal mail-in ballots; in-person voting was also available.[2] All statewide elected offices are currently held by Democrats. Newsom won 61.9% of the vote in both the 2018 gubernatorial election and the 2021 recall election. He received 55.9% of the top-two primary vote and faced Republican Party state senator Brian Dahle, who received 17.7% of the primary vote, in the general election.[3] Newsom received 59.2% of the vote to Dahle's 40.8%, a smaller margin of victory than in 2018 and the first time the Democratic candidate failed to win 60% of the vote since 2014. Dahle flipped five counties that Newsom carried in 2018, namely Lake, Merced (although Merced voted to recall Newsom), Orange, San Bernardino, and San Joaquin. Dahle received 32% of the vote in Los Angeles County, the highest percentage received by a Republican in the state's most populous county since 2014.[4] Dahle also managed to carry two congressional districts represented by Democrats (CA-09 and CA-47). This election marks the fourth consecutive California gubernatorial election in which a Democratic candidate won.
Candidates
Democratic Party
Advanced to general
- Gavin Newsom, incumbent governor[5]
Eliminated in primary
- Anthony Fanara, restaurant owner[6]
- Armando Perez-Serrato, businessman and candidate in the 2021 recall election[6]
- Joel Ventresca, former Service Employees International Union committee member, retired airport analyst and perennial candidateШаблон:Efn[6]
Republican Party
Advanced to general
- Brian Dahle, state senator from the 1st district and former Minority Leader of the California State Assembly[7]
Eliminated in primary
- Ronald A. Anderson, contractor and businessman[6]
- Gurinder Bhangoo (write-in)[8]
- Shawn Collins, U.S. Navy veteran and attorney[9]
- Ron Jones, former police officer[6]
- Jenny Rae Le Roux, entrepreneur and candidate in the 2021 recall election[6]
- David Lozano, attorney and candidate in the 2021 recall election[6]
- Daniel R. Mercuri, businessman, candidate in the 2021 recall election and for Шаблон:Ushr in 2020[6]
- Cristian Raul Morales, manufacturing executive[6]
- Robert C. Newman, psychologist and candidate in the 2021 recall election[6]
- Lonnie Sortor, business owner[6]
- Anthony Trimino, entrepreneur and candidate in the 2021 recall election[10]
- Major Williams, entrepreneur and write-in candidate in the 2021 recall election[11]
- Leo S. Zacky, businessman, broadcaster, and candidate in the 2021 recall election[6]
Declined
- Larry Elder, conservative talk show host, author, and candidate in the 2021 recall election[12]
- Kevin Faulconer, former mayor of San Diego (2014–2020) and candidate in the 2021 recall election[13]
- Kimberly Guilfoyle, television personality, former advisor to Donald Trump and ex-wife of Gavin Newsom[14]
- Kevin Kiley, state assemblyman from the 6th district (2016–present) and candidate in the 2021 recall election (running for CA-03)[15]
Green Party
Eliminated in primary
- Heather Collins, small business owner and candidate in the 2021 recall election[6]
- Luis J. Rodriguez, poet, novelist, and candidate for governor in 2014[16][6]
American Independent Party
Eliminated in primary
- Jeff Scott (write-in)[8]
No party preference
Eliminated in primary
- Serge Fiankan, small business owner[6]
- James G. Hanink, former Loyola Marymount University philosophy professor and candidate in the 2021 recall electionШаблон:Notetag[6]
- Woodrow Sanders III, entrepreneur and engineer[6]
- Frederic C. Schultz, attorney[6]
- Reinette Senum, former mayor of Nevada City[17]
- Michael Shellenberger, environmental policy writer and Democratic candidate for governor in 2018[18]
- Bradley Zink, children's book author[6]
Withdrew
- Adriel Hampton, digital media businessman and candidate for Шаблон:Ushr in 2009[19][20]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements boxШаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Primary election
The list of candidates was announced on Mar 31, 2022 by the secretary of state.[21]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkeley IGS | May 24–31, 2022 | 3,438 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 1% | 0% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|16% |
| SurveyUSA | May 13–15, 2022 | 709 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 7% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|40% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|18% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box total no changeШаблон:Election box end
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2022 |
| Politico[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | January 10, 2022 |
| Fox News[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | May 12, 2022 |
| 538[28] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 8, 2022 |
| Elections Daily[29] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2022 |
Debates
Governor Gavin Newsom and State Senator Brian Dahle met on October 23 for their only debate.[30]
| Шаблон:Abbr | Date | Host | Moderators | Link | Participants | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Colors Participant Шаблон:Colors Absent Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee Шаблон:Colors Invitee Шаблон:Colors Withdrawn | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | |||||
| Gavin Newsom | Brian Dahle | |||||
| 1 | October 23, 2022 | KQED | Scott Shafer Marisa Lagos |
YouTube | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
Brian Dahle (R) |
Other Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | September 22 – October 23, 2022 | November 3, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55.0% | 34.3% | 10.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Newsom +20.7 |
| FiveThirtyEight | September 2 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|59.6% | 38.7% | 1.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Newsom +20.9 |
| 270ToWin | October 27 – November 7, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|57.4% | 37.0% | 5.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Newsom +20.4 |
| Average | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|57.3% | 36.7% | 6.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Newsom +20.6 | ||
- Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
Brian Dahle (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56% | 37% | 7% | |
| USC | October 30 – November 2, 2022 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|62% | 38% | – | – |
| UC Berkeley | October 25–31, 2022 | 5,972 (LV) | ± 2.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|58% | 37% | – | 4% |
| ActiVote | July 29 – October 27, 2022 | 200 (LV) | ± 7.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|61% | 39% | – | – |
| Public Policy Institute of California | October 14–23, 2022 | 1,060 (LV) | ± 5.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% | 36% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 5% |
| SurveyUSA | October 7–10, 2022 | 1,013 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|57% | 35% | – | 8% |
| UC Berkeley | September 22–27, 2022 | 6,939 (LV) | ± 2.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% | 32% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 13% |
| Public Policy Institute of California | September 2–11, 2022 | 1,060 (LV) | ± 5.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|58% | 31% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 7% |
| UC Berkeley | August 9–15, 2022 | 9,254 (RV) | ± 2.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% | 25% | 4% | 19% |
| 6,321 (LV) | ± 2.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% | 31% | 3% | 11% |
- Gavin Newsom vs. Kevin Faulconer
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
Kevin Faulconer (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkeley IGS | August 30 – September 6, 2021 | 9,809 (RV) | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 27% | 24% |
- Gavin Newsom vs. John Cox
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
John Cox (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkeley IGS | August 30 – September 6, 2021 | 9,809 (RV) | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% | 26% | 23% |
- Gavin Newsom vs. Larry Elder
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
Larry Elder (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkeley IGS | August 30 – September 6, 2021 | 9,809 (RV) | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% | 30% | 18% |
- Gavin Newsom vs. Kevin Kiley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Gavin Newsom (D) |
Kevin Kiley (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkeley IGS | August 30 – September 6, 2021 | 9,809 (RV) | ± 2.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 25% | 25% |
Results
Шаблон:Align Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box totalШаблон:Election box turnoutШаблон:Election box registered electorsШаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
- Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Lake (largest municipality: Clearlake)
- Merced (largest municipality: Merced)
- Orange (largest municipality: Anaheim)
- San Bernardino (largest municipality: San Bernardino)
- San Joaquin (largest municipality: Stockton)
By congressional district
Newsom won 38 of 52 congressional districts, with the remaining 14 going to Dahle, including two that elected Democrats.[31]
Notes
Шаблон:Notelist Шаблон:NoteFoot
See also
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
Шаблон:2022 United States elections Шаблон:California elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 6,00 6,01 6,02 6,03 6,04 6,05 6,06 6,07 6,08 6,09 6,10 6,11 6,12 6,13 6,14 6,15 6,16 6,17 6,18 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 8,0 8,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web,
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web,
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite report
- Английская Википедия
- Страницы с неработающими файловыми ссылками
- California gubernatorial elections
- 2022 United States gubernatorial elections
- 2022 California elections
- Gavin Newsom
- Страницы, где используется шаблон "Навигационная таблица/Телепорт"
- Страницы с телепортом
- Википедия
- Статья из Википедии
- Статья из Английской Википедии
