Английская Википедия:2022 Illinois gubernatorial election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy datesШаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsIL The 2022 Illinois gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Illinois, concurrently with the 2022 Illinois general election. Gubernatorial candidates ran on tickets with candidates for lieutenant governor. The incumbent governor and lieutenant governor, first-term Democrats J. B. Pritzker and Juliana Stratton, sought re-election together against Republican nominees Illinois State Senator Darren Bailey and his running mate Stephanie Trussell.
On election day, Pritzker won re-election with 54.9% of the vote, 0.4% higher than his 2018 performance, and the best raw vote percentage for a Democrat for governor since 1960. However, his margin of victory declined from 15.7% in 2018 to just 12.5% in 2022. Pritzker's victory was once again the result of a strong performance in the Chicago metropolitan area—containing a majority of the state's population—winning a lopsided victory in strongly Democratic Cook County, the home of Chicago, as well as winning all but one of the neighboring collar counties. Bailey improved upon former Republican governor Bruce Rauner's performance in 2018 by just under 4%, largely due to the absence of a strong third-party conservative candidate that appeared in 2018. Subsequently, Bailey was able to flip the counties of Alexander, Fulton, Jackson, Knox, and Winnebago which Pritzker previously won, while Pritzker managed to flip McLean county, marking the first time since 1948 that it has voted for a Democrat in a gubernatorial election.
Pritzker was the first Illinois governor to serve a full term and be reelected for a second since Rod Blagojevich in 2006. If Pritzker serves the entirety of his term, he would become the first Democratic governor in the state's history to serve two full four-year terms, as every other Democratic governor had either been impeached, died or resigned before finishing their second term.
Election information
The primaries and general elections will coincide with those for federal congressional races, the state's U.S. Senate race, and those for other state offices. The election will be part of the 2022 Illinois elections.
The primary election was held on June 28.[1] The general election was held on November 8, 2022.
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- J. B. Pritzker, incumbent governor[2]
- Running mate: Juliana Stratton, incumbent lieutenant governor[2]
Eliminated in primary
Endorsements
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Darren Bailey, state senator[5]
- Running mate: Stephanie Trussell, former radio talk show host[6] from Lisle, Illinois.
Eliminated in primary
- Richard Irvin, mayor of Aurora[7]
- Running mate: Avery Bourne, state representative[7]
- Gary Rabine, businessman[8]
- Running mate: Aaron Del Mar, Palatine Township Republican Committeeman[9]
- Paul Schimpf, former state senator and nominee for Attorney General in 2014[10]
- Running mate: Carolyn Schofield, McHenry County Board member[11]
- Max Solomon, Attorney[4]
- Running Mate: Latasha Fields[12]
- Jesse Sullivan, venture capitalist[13][14][15]
- Running mate: Kathleen Murphy, former director of communications for state representative Jeanne Ives[16]
Removed from ballot
Declined
- Rodney Davis, U.S. representative for Шаблон:Ushr (ran for re-election)[19]
- Kirk Dillard, chair of the Regional Transportation Authority, former state senator, and candidate for governor in 2010 and 2014[20]
- Adam Kinzinger, U.S. representative for Шаблон:Ushr[21][22][23][24][25]
- Todd Ricketts, finance chair of the Republican National Committee, member of the TD Ameritrade Board of Directors, and co-owner of the Chicago Cubs[26]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
- Graphical summary
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Darren Bailey |
Richard Irvin |
Gary Rabine |
Paul Schimpf |
Max Solomon |
Jesse Sullivan |
Other Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | June 6–13, 2022 | June 15, 2022 | 35.0% | 18.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 11.5% | 22.0% | Bailey +16.5 |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Darren Bailey |
Richard Irvin |
Gary Rabine |
Paul Schimpf |
Max Solomon |
Jesse Sullivan |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ogden & Fry (R) | June 24, 2022 | 518 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|38% | 13% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 17% | – | 20% |
| Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | June 20–22, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|37% | 14% | 7% | 4% | <1% | 17% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 18% |
| Remington Research Group (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | June 14–15, 2022 | 889 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 27% | 13% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 27% | – | 26% |
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | June 10–13, 2022 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|38% | 20% | 8% | 5% | 1% | 12% | – | 16% |
| Ogden & Fry (R) | June 11–12, 2022 | 662 (LV) | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|31% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 11% | – | 30% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | June 6–7, 2022 | 677 (LV) | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|32% | 17% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 11% | – | 27% |
| Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | June 1–2, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|27% | 20% | 12% | 3% | – | 13% | – | 24% |
| 1892 Polling (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | May 24–25, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 25% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|31% | 8% | 2% | 1% | 11% | – | 22% |
| Emerson College | May 6–8, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 20% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|24% | 8% | 2% | 2% | 7% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|37% |
| Cor Strategies (R) | April 29 – May 2, 2022 | 671 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 21% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|33% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 10% | – | 25% |
| Cor Strategies (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | April 18–21, 2022 | 536 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|30% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|38% |
| Cor Strategies (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | ~February 11, 2022 | – (LV) | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|23% | 10% | 6% | 5% | 1% | 11% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|44% |
| Ogden & Fry (R) | October 3–4, 2021 | 404 (LV) | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|33% | – | 5% | 3% | – | 6% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|49% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Libertarian convention
Candidates
Nominee
- Scott Schluter, veteran, diesel technician, and chair of the Southern Illinois Libertarian Party[27]
- Running mate: John Phillips[28]
Withdrew
Other parties and independents
Independents
Declared but never filed
- Mancow Muller, radio personality[30]
Removed from ballot
- Tommy Belg[31]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[32] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | March 4, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[33] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | March 4, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | June 29, 2022 |
| Politico[35] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[36] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2022 |
| Fox News[37] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | August 22, 2022 |
| 538[38] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | June 30, 2022 |
| Elections Daily[39] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation | Dates administered | J.B Pritzker (D) | Darren Bailey (R) | Scott Schluter (L) | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight | June 21– November 8, 2022 | 56.1% | 39.9% | 4.8% | Pritzker +16.2 |
- Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
J. B. Pritzker (D) |
Darren Bailey (R) |
Scott Schluter (L) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victory Research (R) | November 5–7, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% | 42% | 5% | – | 4% |
| Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56% | 37% | 2% | – | 5% |
| Civiqs | October 22–25, 2022 | 659 (LV) | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56% | 39% | – | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 1% |
| Emerson College | October 20–24, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 41% | 3% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 4% |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% | 42% | 3% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | – | ||||
| University of Illinois Springfield | October 17 – 25, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |55% | 40% | 5% | – | – |
| Osage Research (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 13–15, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |44% | 42% | 4% | – | 10% |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | October 10–11, 2022 | 770 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 34% | 8% | – | 9% |
| Research America | October 5–11, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 28% | 6% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 13% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | September 25–27, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% | 45% | – | – | 5% |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |48% | 40% | 3% | – | 8% | ||||
| Emerson College | September 21–23, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |51% | 36% | – | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 8% |
| Osage Research (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | September 8–10, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |44% | 37% | 8% | – | 13% |
| Victory Research (R) | August 30 – September 1, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |47% | 36% | 2% | – | 15% |
| Victory Geek (D) | August 25–28, 2022 | 512 (LV) | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |56% | 38% | – | – | 6% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | August, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% | 38% | 3% | – | 10% |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |52% | 42% | – | – | 6% | ||||
| Victory Research (R) | July 17–19, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |49% | 39% | 2% | – | 10% |
| Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | June 20–21, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |50% | 43% | – | – | 7% |
| Victory Research (R) | January 18–20, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic |55% | 27% | – | – | 17% |
- J. B. Pritzker vs. Richard Irvin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
J. B. Pritzker (D) |
Richard Irvin (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victory Research (R) | January 18–20, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% | 22% | 25% |
- J. B. Pritzker vs. Gary Rabine
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
J. B. Pritzker (D) |
Gary Rabine (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victory Research (R) | January 18–20, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% | 28% | 19% |
- J. B. Pritzker vs. Paul Schimpf
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
J. B. Pritzker (D) |
Paul Schimpf (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victory Research (R) | January 18–20, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56% | 22% | 22% |
- J. B. Pritzker vs. Jesse Sullivan
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
J. B. Pritzker (D) |
Jesse Sullivan (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victory Research (R) | January 18–20, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% | 22% | 25% |
- J. B. Pritzker vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
J. B. Pritzker (D) |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victory Geek (D) | November 8–10, 2021 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 41% | 10% |
- J. B. Pritzker vs. generic opponent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
J. B. Pritzker (D) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victory Research (R) | July 17–19, 2022 | 1,208 (LV) | ± 2.8% | 47% | 47% | 6% |
| Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | June 20–21, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent|50% | 3% |
- Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio Lee & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | June 20–21, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% | 44% | 10% |
Debates
| Шаблон:Abbr | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Colors Participant Шаблон:Colors Absent Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee Шаблон:Colors Invitee
Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn |
scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | |||||
| J. B. Pritzker | Darren Bailey | |||||
| October 6, 2022 | Illinois State University | YouTube | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | ||
| October 18, 2022 | NewsNation | YouTube | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | ||
Results
Шаблон:AlignШаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party linkШаблон:Election box candidate with party linkШаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box total no changeШаблон:Election box turnout Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican
- Alexander (Largest city: Cairo)
- Fulton (Largest city: Canton)
- Jackson (Largest city: Carbondale)
- Knox (Largest city: Galesburg)
- Winnebago (Largest city: Rockford)
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- McLean (Largest city: Bloomington)
By congressional district
Pritzker won 14 of 17 congressional districts.[40]
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
Шаблон:2022 United States elections Шаблон:Illinois elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 2,0 2,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ 4,0 4,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ 7,0 7,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Jeff Rense.com radio interview 5-21-2021
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
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