Английская Википедия:2022 Maine gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:See also Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsME The 2022 Maine gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the governor of Maine. Incumbent Democratic governor Janet Mills won re-election to a second term, defeating Republican nominee and former governor, Paul LePage. Neither candidate faced any primary opposition. An independent candidate, Sam Hunkler, received 2% of the vote, the lowest total for a third party or independent gubernatorial candidate in the state since 1982.

This was the first gubernatorial election in Maine since 1990 in which the winner was from the same party as the incumbent president. With over 376,000 votes, Mills won more votes than any other gubernatorial candidate in Maine history, breaking her own record set four years earlier. Her 13-point margin of victory was the largest for a statewide Democratic candidate since George J. Mitchell won over 80% of the vote in the 1988 United States Senate election.

Mills's victory was also the largest for any gubernatorial candidate since incumbent Angus King won 59% of the vote in 1998.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Janet Mills, Governor of Maine (2019–present)

Failed to qualify for ballot access

• John Glowa, wildlife activist

Declined

• Troy Jackson, President of the Maine Senate (2018–present) (endorsed Mills)

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

• Paul LePage, former governor of Maine (2011–2019)

Failed to qualify for ballot access

• Michael Heath, activist

Filed paperwork

• Martin Vachon

Independents

Candidates

Declared

• Sam Hunkler, physician

Declined

• Thomas Saviello, former state senator (2010–2018)

General election

With no other candidates challenging Mills or LePage in their respective primaries, the campaign started out with most prediction models giving Mills a slight edge over LePage. However, Maine had not elected a governor from the same party as the President since 1990, and some Democrats were afraid that Democratic president Joe Biden's low approval ratings would hurt Mills.

Access to abortion became a crucial issue following the Supreme Court's ruling in Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization, which overturned Roe v. Wade and eliminated the constitutional right to abortion, effectively returning the issue to the states. Following the leak of the draft opinion, Mills released a statement saying "I do not consider the rights of women to be dispensable. And I pledge that as long as I am governor, I will fight with everything I have to protect reproductive rights and to preserve access to reproductive health care in the face of every and any threat to it – whether from politicians in Augusta or Supreme Court Justices in Washington."

After the release of the draft opinion, LePage stated he supported some abortion restrictions, but pledged to preserve access to abortion in cases of rape, incest and life of the mother. However, this was seen as a reversal over his previous statements, including one in 2016 where he said that "we should not have abortion," and a 2018 statement in support of overturning Roe v. Wade. LePage would continue to struggle with questions on abortion, and a stumble in a debate with Mills on the topic led to national headlines.

Over the course of the campaign, Mills developed a fundraising advantage over LePage, while outside groups unaffiliated with either campaign broke records for spending, mostly on negative ads. Ads supporting Mills's candidacy or opposing LePage's candidacy accounted for over $9 million in spending, while ads supporting LePage or opposing Mills accounted for over $7 million.

Polls released after the primaries showed Mills having a moderate-to-large lead over LePage, with the closest poll showing her ahead by six points.

Mills was declared the winner by the Associated Press shortly before midnight on November 8. LePage did not immediately concede the race, but did concede on November 9 with a written statement. In his election night remarks, LePage concluded that he "missed the message" on abortion. Some observers saw the results as symbolic of the decline of the once-dominant Maine Republican Party, and Maine's movement towards becoming a solid blue state.

In the election, Mills broke her own record set four years earlier for most votes received by a Maine gubernatorial candidate.

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	March 4, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 22, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 18, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	August 12, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	January 10, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 11, 2022
538	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 18, 2022
Elections Daily	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 7, 2022

Polling

Aggregate polls

Source of poll aggregation	Dates administered	Dates updated	Janet Mills (D)	Paul LePage (R)	Other Шаблон:Efn	Margin
FiveThirtyEight	May 4 – November 6, 2022	November 6, 2022	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50%	43%	7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Mills +7

Graphical summary

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Janet Mills (D)	Paul LePage (R)	Other	Undecided
University of New Hampshire	November 2–6, 2022	922 (LV)	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52%	44%	2%Шаблон:Efn	2%
SurveyUSA	October 28 – November 2, 2022	1,116 (LV)	± 3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49%	43%	4%Шаблон:Efn	5%
Ascend Action	October 26–29, 2022	471 (LV)	± 4.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55%	40%	1%Шаблон:Efn	4%
Pan Atlantic Research	October 7–15, 2022	400 (LV)	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49%	39%	2%Шаблон:Efn	10%
Emerson College	September 19–20, 2022	1,164 (LV)	± 2.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53%	41%	2%Шаблон:Efn	4%
University of New Hampshire	September 15–19, 2022	694 (LV)	± 3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53%	39%	2%Шаблон:Efn	5%
Maine People's Resource Center	September 1–9, 2022	814 (RV)	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49%	38%	3%	10%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)	May 10–13, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51%	46%	–	3%
Pan Atlantic Research	April 21 – May 5, 2022	824 (LV)	± 3.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46%	42%	7%	4%
Digital Research Inc.	March 14 – April 7, 2022	622 (RV)	± 3.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|42%	39%	6%Шаблон:Efn	13%
SurveyUSA (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	August 24–31, 2021	1,242 (RV)	± 3.5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46%	41%	–	13%
SurveyUSAШаблон:Efn-ua	May 13–19, 2021	514 (RV)	± 5.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45%	38%	3%Шаблон:Efn	12%

Debates

2022 Maine gubernatorial debates

Шаблон:Abbr	Date	Organizer	Moderator	Location	Link	Democratic	Republican	Independent
Шаблон:Colors Participant  Шаблон:Colors Absent  Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee  Шаблон:Colors Invitee Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn						scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|		scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|
						Janet Mills	Paul LePage	Sam Hunkler
1	October 4, 2022	Maine Public, Portland Press Herald, Sun Journal	Jennifer Rooks	Lewiston	C-SPAN	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes
2	October 6, 2022	Portland Regional Chamber of Commerce	Quincy Hentzel	Portland	YouTube	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	N
3	October 24, 2022	Bangor Daily News, WGME-TV	Gregg Lagerquist	Portland	YouTube	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	N
4	October 27, 2022	Maine State Chamber of Commerce, News Center Maine	Pat Callaghan	Portland	YouTube	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	N

Results

	Janet Mills Шаблон:Small		Paul LePage Шаблон:Small		Sam Hunkler Шаблон:Small		Total
County	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes	%	Votes
Androscoggin	22,915	48.5%	23,220	49.1%	884	1.9%	47,281
Aroostook	11,587	40.2%	16,530	57.3%	515	1.8%	28,844
Cumberland	112,188	68.8%	47,201	29.0%	2,462	1.5%	162,969
Franklin	7,406	49.4%	7,179	47.9%	343	2.3%	15,001
Hancock	17,446	56.7%	12,527	40.7%	566	1.8%	30,749
Kennebec	30,838	50.8%	28,368	46.7%	1,140	1.9%	60,685
Knox	13,441	60.0%	8,430	37.6%	385	1.7%	22,397
Lincoln	11,853	56.3%	8,744	41.5%	349	1.6%	21,051
Oxford	12,875	46.2%	14,229	51.0%	631	2.3%	27,897
Penobscot	31,844	46.2%	35,496	51.5%	1,303	1.9%	68,983
Piscataquis	3,098	37.5%	4,960	60.0%	158	1.9%	8,266
Sagadahoc	12,414	59.3%	8,049	38.4%	379	1.8%	20,948
Somerset	9,083	39.6%	13,233	57.7%	500	2.2%	22,945
Waldo	11,508	54.4%	9,099	43.0%	400	1.9%	21,146
Washington	6,046	40.6%	8,160	54.8%	553	3.7%	14,892
York	60,772	57.9%	41,662	39.7%	1,994	1.9%	105,010

See also

• 2022 United States gubernatorial elections
• 2022 Maine elections

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

• Sam Hunkler (I) for Governor
• Paul LePage (R) for Governor
• Janet Mills (D) for Governor Шаблон:Webarchive