Английская Википедия:2022 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska
Шаблон:Short descriptionШаблон:For Шаблон:About Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Alaska sidebar
The November 2022 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska was held on Tuesday, November 8, to elect a member of the United States House of Representatives to represent the state of Alaska. Democratic incumbent Mary Peltola won reelection to a full term in office, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III and Libertarian Chris Bye in the runoff count.[1]
Following voter approval of Ballot Measure 2 during the 2020 elections in Alaska, this was the second U.S. House election in Alaska held under the new election process, after the special election for the same seat on August 16, 2022, where Peltola was elected to succeed Republican Don Young, who died on March 18, 2022.[2] All candidates ran in a nonpartisan blanket top-four primary on the same day as the special election, with each voter casting a single vote for their preferred candidate. The four candidates who received the most votes were eventual incumbent Mary Peltola, Sarah Palin, Nick Begich III, and Tara Sweeney. However, Sweeney withdrew from the race, so fifth-place finisher Chris Bye moved on to the general election in her place.[3][4]
In the general election, Peltola led the first round by over twenty percentage points, but since no candidate received a majority of the votes in the first round, the instant runoff was triggered. Palin received support from 66.8% of Begich's voters after he was eliminated. This was not enough to catch Peltola, who won the final round by ten percentage points.[5]
Peltola's final-round vote share of 55% was the best performance for a statewide Democratic candidate in Alaska since the 1974 Senate race and the best performance for any statewide candidate in the state since the 2012 House race. Peltola was one of only five House Democrats in the 2022 midterm elections who won a district that Donald Trump carried in the 2020 presidential election;Шаблон:Efn she outran Joe Biden's vote share by more than 20%, the highest overperformance of any House Democrat in the midterms.
Primary election
Democratic Party
Advanced to general
- Mary Peltola, incumbent U.S. Representative and former state representative[6][7]
Withdrew
- Christopher Constant, Anchorage Assembly member (endorsed Peltola)[8]
- Mike Milligan, former Kodiak Island Borough Assembly member, Green nominee for this district in 1992 and for lieutenant governor in 1998 (endorsed Peltola)[8]
- Adam Wool, state representative[6][9][8]
Declined
- Les Gara, former state representative (running for governor)[10]
- Elvi Gray-Jackson, state senator[11]
- Emil Notti, engineer, former commissioner of the Alaska Department of Commerce, Community and Economic Development, former chair of the Alaska Democratic Party, nominee for this district in 1973, and candidate for this district in the 2022 special election[6][12][13]
Republican Party
Advanced to general
- Nick Begich III, Alaska Policy Forum board member, grandson of former U.S. Representative Nick Begich, and nephew of former U.S. Senator Mark Begich and Alaska Senate Minority Leader Tom Begich[6][14]
- Sarah Palin, former governor of Alaska (2006–2009) and nominee for Vice President of the United States in 2008[6][15]
Withdrew after advancing to general
Eliminated in primary
- Jay Armstrong[6]
- Robert "Bob" Lyons, case manager[6][17]
- Randy Purham, businessman and U.S. Army veteran[18]
- Brad Snowden[18]
- Denise Williams[18]
Withdrawn
- John Coghill, former majority leader of the Alaska Senate, former majority leader of the Alaska House of Representatives, son of former lieutenant governor Jack Coghill, and U.S. Air Force veteran (endorsed Begich)[6][19][20]
- Mikel Melander[6][18]
- Josh Revak, state senator and U.S. Army veteran[6][21][9][22]
- Jesse Sumner, Matanuska-Susitna Borough Assembly member[6][23]
Declined
- Mead Treadwell, former lieutenant governor of Alaska (endorsed Palin and Sweeney)[24]
Libertarian Party
Advanced to general
Eliminated in primary
- J. R. Myers, founder of the Alaska Constitution Party and its nominee for governor in 2014[6]
Alaskan Independence Party
Declined
- John Howe, machinist and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020 (ran for governor)[6]
American Independent Party
Eliminated in primary
- Robert Ornelas, pastor and perennial candidate[6]
Independents
Eliminated in primary
- Gregg Brelsford, lawyer and former Bristol Bay Borough manager[6][25]
- Lady Donna Dutchess, judicial reform activist[6]
- Ted Heintz[6]
- David Hughes[6]
- David LeBlanc[18]
- Sherry Mettler[6]
- Silvio Pellegrini, businessman[26]
- Andrew Phelps[18]
- Sherry Strizak[18]
- Tremayne Wilson[18]
Withdrawn
- Al Gross, orthopedic surgeon, commercial fisherman, son of former Alaska Attorney General Avrum Gross, and Democratic-endorsed nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020[6][27][28] (endorsed Peltola and Sweeney)[29]
- William Hibler III, former glaciologist with the University of Alaska Fairbanks and Democratic candidate for this district in 2016 and 2020[6][18]
- Jeff Lowenfels, attorney and gardening writer[6][11][18]
Declined
- Santa Claus, North Pole city councillor and candidate for this district in the 2022 special election[6][9][13] (endorsed Peltola)[30]
- Andrew Halcro, former Republican state representative, candidate for Governor of Alaska in 2006, and candidate for this district in the 2022 special election[6][11][9][13]
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box total no changeШаблон:Election box end
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[31] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[32] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[33] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2022 |
| Politico[34] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 26, 2022 |
| RCP[35] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2022 |
| Fox News[36] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2022 |
| DDHQ[37] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 8, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[38] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2022 |
| The Economist[39] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 2, 2022 |
Debates and forums
As of September 2022, there had been one debate featuring the general election candidates.
A little over an hour before election results came in for the final round of the 2022 Alaska's at-large congressional district special election, a debate was held for candidates of this house seat. All four candidates were included in the debate.
| Шаблон:Abbr | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Colors Participant Шаблон:Colors Absent Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee Шаблон:Colors InviteeШаблон:Color box Withdrawn | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | ||||
| Nick Begich III | Chris Bye | Sarah Palin | Mary Peltola | |||||
| 1 | August 31, 2022 | Alaska Oil and Gas Association | Dave Karp | YouTube | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
| 2 | October 4, 2022 | Kodiak Chamber of Commerce/KMXT (FM) | Dan Rohr | [1] | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
| 3 | October 10, 2022 | Anchorage Chamber of Commerce | Julie Hasquet | YouTube | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:No | Шаблон:Yes |
| 4 | October 21, 2022 | Alaska Federation of Natives | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | ||
| 5 | October 26, 2022 | Alaska Public Media/Alaska's News Source | Lori Townsend, Mike Ross | YouTube | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
RCV count |
Mary Peltola (D) |
Sarah Palin (R) |
Nick Begich (R) |
Chris Bye (L) |
Undecided / Not Ranked / Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dittman Research | November 2–3, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | ||||||
| 1 | 48% | 25% | 23% | 3% | 1% U 1% O | ||||
| 2 | 49% | 26% | 25% | Elim | — | ||||
| 3 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56% | 44% | Elim | Elim | — | ||||
| Alaska Survey Research | October 19–22, 2022 | 1,276 (LV) | ± 3.0% | ||||||
| 1 | 49% | 26% | 21% | 5% | — | ||||
| 2 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% | 27% | 22% | Elim | — | ||||
| 3 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|57% | 43% | Elim | Elim | — | ||||
| 3*Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56% | Elim | 44% | Elim | — | ||||
| Dittman Research | October 4–8, 2022 | 411 (LV) | ± 4.8% | ||||||
| 1 | 45% | 23% | 28% | 3% | — | ||||
| 2 | 46% | 24% | 30% | Elim | — | ||||
| 3 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% | Elim | 48% | Elim | — | ||||
| Alaska Survey Research | September 25–27, 2022 | 1,282 (LV) | ± 3.0% | ||||||
| 1 | 49% | 23% | 26% | 2% | — | ||||
| 2 | 50% | 24% | 26% | Elim | — | ||||
| 3 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% | Elim | 46% | Elim | — | ||||
| 3*Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|56% | 44% | Elim | Elim | — | ||||
| Dittman Research | September 6–14, 2022 | 394 (LV) | ± 4.9% | ||||||
| 1 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 27% | 20% | 3% | 1% U 1% O | ||||
| 2 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% | 28% | 21% | Elim | — | ||||
| 3 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|58% | 42% | Elim | Elim | — | ||||
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | September 6–11, 2022 | 1,050 (LV) | Шаблон:Efn | N/AШаблон:Efn | 45% | 30% | 20% | 2% | 3% U |
| 1 | 46% | 31% | 20% | 2% | 3% NR | ||||
| 2 | 47% | 32% | 21% | ElimШаблон:Efn | 4% NR | ||||
| 3 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% | 47% | ElimШаблон:Efn | Elim | 10% NR |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
RCV count |
Nick Begich (R) |
Sarah Palin (R) |
Mary Peltola (D) |
Tara Sweeney (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alaska Survey Research | July 20–25, 2022 | 1,253 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 1 | 26% | 27% | 39% | 8% | – |
| 2 | 29% | 29% | 42% | Elim | – | ||||
| 3 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|54% | Elim | 46% | Elim | – | ||||
| 3*Шаблон:Efn | Elim | 48% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% | Elim | – | ||||
| Alaska Survey Research | July 2–5, 2022 | 1,201 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 1 | 27% | 27% | 38% | 8% | – |
| 2 | 31% | 29% | 41% | Elim | – | ||||
| 3 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|56% | Elim | 44% | Elim | – |
Results
| Party | Candidate | First choice | Round 1 | Round 2 | Round 3 | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | Transfer | Votes | % | |||
| style="background-color:Шаблон:Party color" | | Democratic | Шаблон:Sortname (incumbent) | 128,553 | 48.77% | +202 | 128,755 | 48.66% | +1,031 | 129,786 | 49.22% | +7,477 | 137,263 | 54.96% |
| style="background-color:Шаблон:Party color" | | Republican | Шаблон:Sortname | 67,866 | 25.74% | +464 | 68,330 | 25.82% | +1,069 | 69,399 | 26.32% | +43,072 | 112,471 | 45.04% |
| style="background-color:Шаблон:Party color" | | Republican | Шаблон:Sortname | 61,513 | 23.33% | +992 | 62,505 | 23.62% | +1,994 | 64,499 | 24.46% | -64,499 | Eliminated | |
| style="background-color:Шаблон:Party color" | | Libertarian | Шаблон:Sortname | 4,570 | 1.73% | +429 | 4,999 | 1.89% | -4,999 | Eliminated | ||||
| style="background-color:Шаблон:Party color" | | Write-in | 1,108 | 0.42% | -1,108 | Eliminated | ||||||||
| Total votes | 263,610 | 264,589 | 263,684 | 249,734 | |||||||||
| Blank or inactive ballots | 2,208 | +905 | 3,113 | +13,950 | 17,063 | ||||||||
| style="background-color:Шаблон:Party color" | | Democratic hold | ||||||||||||
See also
- 2022 United States House of Representatives elections
- 2022 United States Senate election in Alaska
- 2022 Alaska gubernatorial election
- 2022 Alaska Senate election
- 2022 Alaska House of Representatives election
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Nick Begich III (R) for Congress
- Sarah Palin (R) for Congress
- Mary Peltola (D) for Congress
- Tara Sweeney (R) for Congress
Шаблон:2022 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ 6,00 6,01 6,02 6,03 6,04 6,05 6,06 6,07 6,08 6,09 6,10 6,11 6,12 6,13 6,14 6,15 6,16 6,17 6,18 6,19 6,20 6,21 6,22 6,23 6,24 6,25 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 8,0 8,1 8,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 9,0 9,1 9,2 9,3 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 11,0 11,1 11,2 11,3 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 13,0 13,1 13,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 15,0 15,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 16,0 16,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 18,0 18,1 18,2 18,3 18,4 18,5 18,6 18,7 18,8 18,9 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite tweet
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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