Английская Википедия:2022 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota

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Шаблон:Short descriptionШаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in North Dakota The 2022 United States House of Representatives election in North Dakota was held on November 8, 2022, to elect the U.S. representative from North Dakota's at-large congressional district. The election coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Kelly Armstrong was re-elected with 69.0% of the vote in 2020. His only opponent in the general election was Independent Cara Mund after Democratic nominee Mark Haugen withdrew.

Although Armstrong won by a large margin, his 62.2% showing was his worst since his first election in 2018, and Mund's 37.6% was the best showing for a non-Republican in a North Dakota U.S. House race since 2014. Mund's vote share was at least 10% higher than every 2022 statewide Democratic–NPL candidate in North Dakota and nearly 6% higher than incumbent president Democrat Joe Biden's vote share in the 2020 presidential election. Mund also had the second-best performance of any Independent in the 2022 congressional elections, only surpassed by Evan McMullin in the Utah Senate race.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Kelly Armstrong, incumbent U.S. Representative

Democratic primary

Candidates

Withdrew after winning primary

• Mark Haugen, student counselor and nominee for State Treasurer in 2020

Aftermath

Following the overturning of Roe v. Wade in June 2022, Haugen faced criticism among Democrats for his anti-abortion beliefs. Many within the Democratic–NPL Party preferred independent candidate Cara Mund, who is pro-choice, and urged Haugen to drop out of the race. Haugen ended his campaign in September and the Democratic–NPL Party endorsed Mund shortly after.

Independents

Declared

• Cara Mund, lawyer and former Miss America

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 5, 2021
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 11, 2021
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 5, 2021
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 5, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
538	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Kelly Armstrong (R)	Cara Mund (I)	Other	Undecided
DFM Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 19–21, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44%	40%	2%	14%
Axis Research (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 16–19, 2022	402 (LV)	± 5.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52%	30%	–	18%
1982 Polling (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 10–12, 2022	518 (LV)	± 4.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48%	31%	–	13%
Odney (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	August 18–28, 2022	403 (LV)	± 4.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49%	20%	15%Шаблон:Efn	16%

Results

Counties that flipped from Republican to Independent

• Cass (largest city: Fargo)

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Independent

• Rolette (Largest CDP: Belcourt)
• Sioux (Largest CDP: Cannon Ball)

See also

• 2022 North Dakota elections

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

• Kelly Armstrong (R) for Congress
• Cara Mund (I) for Congress