Английская Википедия:2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use American English Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Missouri The 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Missouri were held on November 8, 2022, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Missouri, one from each of the state's congressional districts. The elections coincided with other elections to the House of Representatives, elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections.

This was the first House of Representatives elections held in Missouri following the 2020 redistricting cycle. The associated primary elections were held on August 2, 2022.^[1]^[2] Шаблон:Toclimit

District 1

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 1st district encompasses the city of St. Louis and much of northern St. Louis County, including Florissant and University City. The incumbent is Democrat Cori Bush, who was elected with 78.8% of the vote in 2020 after defeating the incumbent, Lacy Clay, in the Democratic primary.^[3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Cori Bush, incumbent U.S. Representative^[4]

Eliminated in primary

Earl Childress, pastor^[5]
Michael Daniels, former aide to St. Louis mayor Freeman Bosley Jr.^[6]
Ron Harshaw, assistant high school football coach^[7]
Steve Roberts, state senator for the 5th district^[8]

Withdrew

David Koehr, Republican candidate for this district in 2014^[7]^[9]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Cori Bush	Steve Roberts	Other	Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	July 6–7, 2022	460 (LV)	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|40%	20%	9%Шаблон:Efn	32%
Lincoln Park Strategies (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	May 24–29, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic\|36%	18%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|45%

Results

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Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Andrew Jones, utility executive, nominee for mayor of St. Louis in 2017, and candidate in 2021^[5]

Eliminated in primary

Steven Jordan^[10]
Laura Mitchell-Riley^[10]

Results

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Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

George A. Zsidisin, professor and author^[10]

Results

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General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[11]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 19, 2022
Inside Elections^[12]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[13]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico^[14]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 19, 2022
RCP^[15]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News^[16]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ^[17]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
538^[18]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist^[19]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

Results

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District 2

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 2nd district is based in eastern Missouri, and includes the southern and western suburbs of St. Louis, including Arnold, Town and Country, Wildwood, Chesterfield, and Oakville. The incumbent is Republican Ann Wagner, who was re-elected with 51.9% of the vote in 2020.^[3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Ann Wagner, incumbent U.S. Representative^[20]

Eliminated in primary

Paul Berry III, 2018 and 2020 Republican nominee for St. Louis County Executive^[10]
Tony Salvatore^[10]
Wesley Smith, U.S. Army veteran^[21]^[22]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Trish Gunby, state representative^[23]

Eliminated in primary

Ray Reed, political organizer^[21]^[24]

Withdrew

Ben Samuels, former director of special projects for Massachusetts Governor Charlie Baker^[25]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Bill Slantz, consulting firm executive^[10]

Results

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General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[11]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 19, 2022
Inside Elections^[12]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[13]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico^[14]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 19, 2022
RCP^[15]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News^[16]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ^[17]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
538^[18]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist^[19]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

Results

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District 3

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The third district encompasses east-central Missouri, taking in Jefferson City, Troy, O'Fallon, and Washington. The incumbent is Republican Blaine Luetkemeyer, who was re-elected with 69.4% of the vote in 2020.^[3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Blaine Luetkemeyer, incumbent U.S. Representative^[26]

Eliminated in primary

Dustin Hill^[10]
Richard Skwira Jr.^[10]
Brandon Wilkinson, truck driver and candidate for this seat in 2020^[10]

Withdrew

Josh Ciskowski^[10]^[9]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Bethany Mann, technology specialist^[10]

Eliminated in primary

Andrew Daly, director of the Missouri School for the Deaf Activities^[10]
Dylan Durrwachter^[10]
Jon Karlen^[27]

Withdrawn

Josh Nicoloff, audit manager^[28]^[29]

Results

Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[11]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 19, 2022
Inside Elections^[12]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[13]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico^[14]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 19, 2022
RCP^[15]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News^[16]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ^[17]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
538^[18]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist^[19]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

Results

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District 4

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 4th district is based in predominantly rural west-central Missouri, taking in Columbia, Sedalia, Warrensburg, and Lebanon. The incumbent is Republican Vicky Hartzler, who was re-elected with 67.6% of the vote in 2020.^[3] Hartzler chose not to run for re-election and instead ran for U.S. Senate.^[30]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Mark Alford, former news anchor at WDAF-TV^[31]

Eliminated in primary

Rick Brattin, state senator^[32]
Kalena Bruce, cattle farmer^[33]
Taylor Burks, former Boone County Clerk^[34]
Jim Campbell, former professional ice hockey player^[35]
Bill Irwin, retired Navy Seal Captain and former Lee's Summit Police Officer^[36]
Kyle LaBrue, land developer^[37]

Deceased

Ed Emery, former state senator (Died August 6, 2021)^[38]

Withdrew

Ryan Johnson, Cass County commissioner^[39]^[40]
Sara Walsh, state representative^[41]^[42]

Declined

Sandy Crawford, state senator (running for re-election)^[43]^[10]
Vicky Hartzler, incumbent U.S. Representative (running for U.S. senate)^[30]
Caleb Rowden, Majority Leader of the Missouri Senate^[44]^[31]^[45]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Mark Alford	Rick Brattin	Kalena Bruce	Taylor Burks	Bill Irwin	Sara Walsh	Undecided
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	January 19–20, 2022	617 (LV)	± 3.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|21%	9%	6%	4%	4%	14%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|42%

Results

Файл:2022 MO-4 GOP Primary.svg

Primary results by county: Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list Шаблон:Collapsible list

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Jack Truman, candidate for this district in 2016^[10]

Results

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Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Randy Langkraehr^[10]

Results

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General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[11]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 19, 2022
Inside Elections^[12]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[13]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico^[14]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 19, 2022
RCP^[15]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News^[16]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ^[17]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
538^[18]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist^[19]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

Results

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District 5

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 5th district primarily consists of the inner ring of the Kansas City metropolitan area, including nearly all of Kansas City south of the Missouri River. The incumbent is Democrat Emanuel Cleaver, who was re-elected with 58.8% of the vote in 2020.^[3]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Emanuel Cleaver, incumbent U.S. Representative^[10]

Eliminated in primary

Maite Salazar, progressive activist and candidate for Missouri's 5th congressional district in 2020^[46]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Jacob Turk, perennial candidate for this seat in 2006, 2008, 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, and 2018^[10]

Eliminated in primary

Jerry Barham, candidate for this district in 2020^[10]
Herschel L. Young, former Cass County Commissioner and perennial candidate^[10]

Results

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Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Robin Dominick, truck driver and nominee for this district in 2020^[43]^[10]

Results

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General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[11]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 19, 2022
Inside Elections^[12]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[13]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico^[14]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 19, 2022
RCP^[15]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News^[16]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ^[17]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
538^[18]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist^[19]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

Results

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District 6

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 6th district encompasses rural northern Missouri, St. Joseph and much of Kansas City north of the Missouri River. The incumbent is Republican Sam Graves, who was re-elected with 67.1% of the vote in 2020.^[3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Sam Graves, incumbent U.S. Representative^[10]

Eliminated in primary

John Dady^[10]
Brandon Kleinmeyer, tax preparer^[10]
Christopher Ryan, perennial candidate^[10]
Dakota Shultz, software developer^[10]

Results

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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Henry Martin, U.S. Army veteran and candidate for this district in 2020^[47]^[10]

Eliminated in primary

Michael Howard^[10]
Charles West, Clark County school board member and candidate for this district in 2020^[47]^[10]

Results

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Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Edward A (Andy) Maidment U.S. Army veteran and Computer security professional ^[48]^[10]

Results

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General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[11]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 19, 2022
Inside Elections^[12]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[13]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico^[14]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 19, 2022
RCP^[15]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News^[16]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ^[17]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
538^[18]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist^[19]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

Results

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District 7

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 7th district is located in southwestern Missouri, taking in Springfield, Joplin, Branson, and Nixa. The incumbent was Republican Billy Long, who had been re-elected with 68.9% of the vote in 2020.^[3] Long chose not to run for re-election and instead ran for U.S. senate.^[49]

Файл:Jay Wasson Missouri Politician.jpg

Former state senator Jay Wasson from Nixa

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eric Burlison, state senator^[50]

Eliminated in primary

Sam Alexander, physician^[51]
Alex Bryant, minister^[52]
Camille Lombardi-Olive, candidate for this district in 2020 and Missouri's 1st congressional district in 2018^[10]
Mike Moon, state senator^[53]
Audrey Richards, nonprofit consultant and independent write-in candidate for this district in 2020^[54]^[55]^[10]
Jay Wasson, former mayor of Nixa and former state senator^[56]
Paul Walker^[10]

Declined

Bob Dixon, Greene County Presiding Commissioner and former state senator^[57]
Tim Garrison, former United States Attorney for the Western District of Missouri^[58]
Elijah Haahr, former Speaker of the Missouri House of Representatives^[59]
Lincoln Hough, state senator (running for re-election)^[43]^[10]
Billy Long, incumbent U.S. Representative (running for U.S. senate)^[49]
Gary Nodler, former state senator^[60]
Ron Richard, former state senator and former Speaker of the Missouri House of Representatives^[60]
Cody Smith, state representative^[59]
Bill White, state senator^[60]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Sam Alexander	Eric Burlison	Mike Moon	Audrey Richards	Jay Wasson	Other	Undecided
WPA Intelligence (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	May 20–22, 2022	404 (LV)	± 4.4%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|24%	16%	–	14%	6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|40%
American Viewpoint (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	May 10–12, 2022	400 (LV)	± 4.9%	–	15%	17%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|21%	16%	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|31%
Remington Research (R)/Missouri Scout Шаблон:Efn-ua	January 6–7, 2022	797 (LV)	± 3.4%	6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican\|21%	12%	3%	9%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided\|49%

Results

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Kristen Radaker-Sheafer, business owner^[10]

Eliminated in primary

Bryce F. Lockwood^[10]
John M. Woodman, business owner^[10]

Results

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Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Kevin Craig, founder of a Christian anarchist group and perennial candidate^[10]

Results

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General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[11]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 19, 2022
Inside Elections^[12]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[13]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico^[14]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 19, 2022
RCP^[15]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News^[16]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ^[17]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
538^[18]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist^[19]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

Results

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District 8

Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:See also The 8th district is the most rural district of Missouri, taking in rural southeastern Missouri, including the Missouri Bootheel, as well as the cities of Cape Girardeau and Poplar Bluff. The incumbent is Republican Jason Smith, who was re-elected with 76.9% of the vote in 2020.^[3]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Jason Smith, incumbent U.S. Representative^[61]

Eliminated in primary

Jacob Turner^[10]

Endorsements

Шаблон:Endorsements box

Results

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Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Randi McCallian^[10]

Results

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Libertarian primary

Candidates

Nominee

Jim Higgins, perennial candidate^[10]

Results

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General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[11]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 19, 2022
Inside Elections^[12]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[13]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 25, 2022
Politico^[14]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 19, 2022
RCP^[15]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 9, 2022
Fox News^[16]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 11, 2022
DDHQ^[17]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
538^[18]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 30, 2022
The Economist^[19]	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 28, 2022

Results

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Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

Partisan clients

Шаблон:Notelist-ua

References

Шаблон:Reflist

External links

Шаблон:Citation
Шаблон:Citation
Шаблон:Cite web (State affiliate of the U.S. League of Women Voters)
Шаблон:Ballotpedia

Official campaign websites for 1st district candidates

Official campaign websites for 2nd district candidates

Official campaign websites for 3rd district candidates

Blaine Luetkemeyer (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 4th district candidates

Mark Alford (R) for Congress

Official campaign websites for 5th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 6th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 7th district candidates

Official campaign websites for 8th district candidates

Jason Smith (R) for Congress

Шаблон:Missouri elections Шаблон:2022 United States elections

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↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^3,0 ^3,1 ^3,2 ^3,3 ^3,4 ^3,5 ^3,6 ^3,7 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^5,0 ^5,1 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^7,0 ^7,1 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^9,0 ^9,1 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^10,00 ^10,01 ^10,02 ^10,03 ^10,04 ^10,05 ^10,06 ^10,07 ^10,08 ^10,09 ^10,10 ^10,11 ^10,12 ^10,13 ^10,14 ^10,15 ^10,16 ^10,17 ^10,18 ^10,19 ^10,20 ^10,21 ^10,22 ^10,23 ^10,24 ^10,25 ^10,26 ^10,27 ^10,28 ^10,29 ^10,30 ^10,31 ^10,32 ^10,33 ^10,34 ^10,35 ^10,36 ^10,37 ^10,38 ^10,39 ^10,40 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^11,0 ^11,1 ^11,2 ^11,3 ^11,4 ^11,5 ^11,6 ^11,7 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^12,0 ^12,1 ^12,2 ^12,3 ^12,4 ^12,5 ^12,6 ^12,7 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^13,0 ^13,1 ^13,2 ^13,3 ^13,4 ^13,5 ^13,6 ^13,7 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^14,0 ^14,1 ^14,2 ^14,3 ^14,4 ^14,5 ^14,6 ^14,7 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^15,0 ^15,1 ^15,2 ^15,3 ^15,4 ^15,5 ^15,6 ^15,7 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^16,0 ^16,1 ^16,2 ^16,3 ^16,4 ^16,5 ^16,6 ^16,7 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^17,0 ^17,1 ^17,2 ^17,3 ^17,4 ^17,5 ^17,6 ^17,7 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^18,0 ^18,1 ^18,2 ^18,3 ^18,4 ^18,5 ^18,6 ^18,7 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^19,0 ^19,1 ^19,2 ^19,3 ^19,4 ^19,5 ^19,6 ^19,7 Шаблон:Cite news
↑ Шаблон:Cite news
↑ ^21,0 ^21,1 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite news
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^30,0 ^30,1 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^31,0 ^31,1 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite news
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^43,0 ^43,1 ^43,2 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^47,0 ^47,1 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^49,0 ^49,1 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^59,0 ^59,1 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ ^60,0 ^60,1 ^60,2 Шаблон:Cite web
↑ Шаблон:Cite web

[1] Шаблон:Cite web

[2] Шаблон:Cite web

[MOgenr-3] 3,0 ^3,1 ^3,2 ^3,3 ^3,4 ^3,5 ^3,6 ^3,7 Шаблон:Cite web

[4] Шаблон:Cite web

[11-09-SLPD-5] 5,0 ^5,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[6] Шаблон:Cite web

[:0-7] 7,0 ^7,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[8] Шаблон:Cite web

[:1-9] 9,0 ^9,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[filings-10] 10,00 ^10,01 ^10,02 ^10,03 ^10,04 ^10,05 ^10,06 ^10,07 ^10,08 ^10,09 ^10,10 ^10,11 ^10,12 ^10,13 ^10,14 ^10,15 ^10,16 ^10,17 ^10,18 ^10,19 ^10,20 ^10,21 ^10,22 ^10,23 ^10,24 ^10,25 ^10,26 ^10,27 ^10,28 ^10,29 ^10,30 ^10,31 ^10,32 ^10,33 ^10,34 ^10,35 ^10,36 ^10,37 ^10,38 ^10,39 ^10,40 Шаблон:Cite web

[Cook_PR-11] 11,0 ^11,1 ^11,2 ^11,3 ^11,4 ^11,5 ^11,6 ^11,7 Шаблон:Cite web

[IE-12] 12,0 ^12,1 ^12,2 ^12,3 ^12,4 ^12,5 ^12,6 ^12,7 Шаблон:Cite web

[Sabato's_Crystal_Ball-13] 13,0 ^13,1 ^13,2 ^13,3 ^13,4 ^13,5 ^13,6 ^13,7 Шаблон:Cite web

[Politico-14] 14,0 ^14,1 ^14,2 ^14,3 ^14,4 ^14,5 ^14,6 ^14,7 Шаблон:Cite web

[RCP-15] 15,0 ^15,1 ^15,2 ^15,3 ^15,4 ^15,5 ^15,6 ^15,7 Шаблон:Cite web

[Fox_News-16] 16,0 ^16,1 ^16,2 ^16,3 ^16,4 ^16,5 ^16,6 ^16,7 Шаблон:Cite web

[DDHQ-17] 17,0 ^17,1 ^17,2 ^17,3 ^17,4 ^17,5 ^17,6 ^17,7 Шаблон:Cite web

[FiveThirtyEight-18] 18,0 ^18,1 ^18,2 ^18,3 ^18,4 ^18,5 ^18,6 ^18,7 Шаблон:Cite web

[The_Economist-19] 19,0 ^19,1 ^19,2 ^19,3 ^19,4 ^19,5 ^19,6 ^19,7 Шаблон:Cite news

[20] Шаблон:Cite news

[MO1-21] 21,0 ^21,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[22] Шаблон:Cite web

[23] Шаблон:Cite news

[24] Шаблон:Cite web

[25] Шаблон:Cite web

[26] Шаблон:Cite web

[27] Шаблон:Cite web

[28] Шаблон:Cite web

[29] Шаблон:Cite web

[Hartzler-30] 30,0 ^30,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[alford-31] 31,0 ^31,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[32] Шаблон:Cite web

[33] Шаблон:Cite web

[34] Шаблон:Cite web

[35] Шаблон:Cite web

[36] Шаблон:Cite web

[37] Шаблон:Cite web

[38] Шаблон:Cite web

[39] Шаблон:Cite web

[40] Шаблон:Cite web

[41] Шаблон:Cite news

[42] Шаблон:Cite web

[politics1-43] 43,0 ^43,1 ^43,2 Шаблон:Cite web

[inside-44] Шаблон:Cite web

[45] Шаблон:Cite web

[46] Шаблон:Cite web

[MO06-47] 47,0 ^47,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[48] Шаблон:Cite web

[BLong-49] 49,0 ^49,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[50] Шаблон:Cite web

[51] Шаблон:Cite web

[52] Шаблон:Cite web

[53] Шаблон:Cite web

[54] Шаблон:Cite web

[55] Шаблон:Cite web

[56] Шаблон:Cite web

[57] Шаблон:Cite web

[58] Шаблон:Cite web

[haahr-59] 59,0 ^59,1 Шаблон:Cite web

[southwest-60] 60,0 ^60,1 ^60,2 Шаблон:Cite web

[61] Шаблон:Cite web

[1]

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[5]

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[14]

[15]

[16]

[17]

[18]

[19]

[20]

[21]

[22]

[23]

[24]

[25]

[26]

[27]

[28]

[29]

[30]

[31]

[32]

[33]

[34]

[35]

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