Английская Википедия:2022 United States Senate election in Alaska

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Шаблон:See alsoШаблон:Short description Шаблон:Distinguish Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Alaska sidebar The 2022 United States Senate election in Alaska was held on November 8, 2022. Incumbent senator Lisa Murkowski won reelection to a fourth full term, defeating fellow Republican Kelly Tshibaka and Democrat Patricia Chesbro.

After the voter approval of Ballot Measure 2 during the 2020 Alaska elections, this was the first U.S. Senate election in Alaska to be held under a new election process. All candidates ran in a nonpartisan blanket top-four primary on August 16, 2022, and the top four candidates advanced to the general election, where voters will utilize ranked-choice voting.

Murkowski was appointed to the Senate in 2002 by her father, Frank Murkowski, who served as a U.S. senator from Alaska from 1981 until he was elected governor of Alaska. Murkowski has won three Senate elections since then, including a notable write-in campaign in the 2010 election, although she has never won an election with an outright majority of the vote.

Murkowski was the only Republican senator running for reelection in 2022 who voted to convict former president Donald Trump in his second impeachment trial in 2021. On March 16, 2021, the Alaska Republican Party voted to censure Murkowski and announced that it would recruit a Republican challenger in the 2022 election cycle. Following Murkowski's opposition to some of Trump's initiatives and her vote to convict him, Trump endorsed Tshibaka and campaigned against Murkowski. The Alaska Republican Party endorsed Tshibaka; Republican Senate leader Mitch McConnell and the National Republican Senatorial Committee supported Murkowski.

In addition to Murkowski and Tshibaka, Democrat Pat Chesbro and Republican Buzz Kelley also advanced to the general election. On September 13, Kelley suspended his campaign and endorsed Tshibaka. Murkowski received a plurality of first-place votes, but because no candidate received a majority of the votes in the first round, the instant runoff was triggered. Murkowski won reelection in the third and final round, winning most of the second-choice votes from Chesbro's voters. Since Murkowski won her three previous elections to the U.S. Senate (2004, 2010, and 2016) without a majority of the vote, this election became the fourth election in which she did not receive a majority of the vote in the first round (the other three elections did not employ ranked choice voting with multiple rounds). Murkowski thus holds the record for the most number of elections won by a U.S. Senator without winning a majority of the votes.

Primary election

Republican Party

Advanced to general

• Lisa Murkowski, incumbent U.S. senator
• Kelly Tshibaka, former commissioner of the Alaska Department of Administration

Withdrew after advancing to general

• Buzz Kelley, retired mechanic (remained on ballot; endorsed Tshibaka)Шаблон:Efn

Eliminated in primary

• Sam Merrill, businessman
• Pat Nolin, mechanic
• John Schiess, perennial candidate
• Kendall L. Shorkey
• Karl Speights, retired U.S. Air Force officer and advisor to Donald Trump's 2020 presidential campaign

Disqualified

• Sam Little, musician, truck driver, National Guard veteran and candidate for governor of Alaska in 2010

Declined

• Mike Dunleavy, governor of Alaska (ran for re-election)
• Sarah Palin, former governor of Alaska and nominee for vice president of the United States in 2008 (ran for U.S. House)
• Bob Lochner, mechanic and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016

Democratic Party

Advanced to general

• Pat Chesbro, teacher

Eliminated in primary

• Edgar Blatchford, professor, former mayor of Seward, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2020
• Ivan R. Taylor

Withdrew

• Elvi Gray-Jackson, state senator for District I and former Anchorage Assembly member (ran for re-election)

Libertarian Party

Eliminated in primary

• Sean Thorne, veteran

Alaskan Independence Party

Eliminated in primary

• Dustin Darden, city maintenance worker and perennial candidate
• Joe Stephens

Declined

• John Howe, machinist and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2020 (ran for governor)

Independents

Eliminated in primary

• Dave Darden, perennial candidate
• Shoshana Gungurstein, businesswoman
• Sid Hill, political gadfly and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014
• Jeremy Keller, television personality
• Huhnkie Lee, attorney, army veteran and Republican candidate for Alaska Senate in 2020

Declined

• Al Gross, orthopedic surgeon, commercial fisherman, son of former Alaska Attorney General Avrum Gross, and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020 (ran for U.S. House)

Results

Файл:2022 United States Senate primary election in Alaska by State House district.svg

Primary election results by state house district

General election

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	March 4, 2022
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	April 1, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	March 1, 2022
Politico	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 5, 2022
RCP	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 15, 2022
Fox News	Шаблон:USRaceRating	May 12, 2022
DDHQ	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 20, 2022
FiveThirtyEight	Шаблон:USRaceRating	October 24, 2022
The Economist	Шаблон:USRaceRating	September 7, 2022

Debates and forums

2022 United States Senate election in Alaska debates

Шаблон:Abbr	Date	Host	Link	Participants
Шаблон:Colors Participant  Шаблон:Colors Absent  Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee  Шаблон:Colors Invitee  Шаблон:Colors Withdrawn				scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|	scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"|
				Lisa Murkowski	Kelly Tshibaka	Patricia Chesbro	Buzz Kelley
1	September 1, 2022	Denaʼina Civic and Convention Center Alaska Oil and Gas Association Anchorage Daily News	Youtube	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:No
2	October 10, 2022	Anchorage Chamber of Commerce	Youtube	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	Шаблон:Yes	W

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	RCV count	Lisa Murkowski (R)	Kelly Tshibaka (R)	Pat Chesbro (D)	Buzz Kelley (R)	Undecided / Not Ranked
Alaska Survey Research	October 19–22, 2022	1,276 (LV)	±3.0%
				1	41%	39%	16%	4%	—
				2	42%	41%	17%	—Шаблон:Efn	—
				3	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|56%	44%	–Шаблон:Efn		—
Alaska Survey Research	September 25–27, 2022	1,282 (LV)	±3.0%
				1	41%	39%	16%	4%	—
				2	42%	41%	17%	—Шаблон:Efn	—
				3	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|57%	43%	–Шаблон:Efn		—
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	September 6–11, 2022	1,050 (LV)	Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:SmallШаблон:Efn	35%	43%	13%	1%	7% Шаблон:Small
				1	38%	46%	14%	2%	7% Шаблон:Small
				2	38%	47%	14%	–Шаблон:Efn	8% Шаблон:Small
				3	50%	50%	–Шаблон:Efn		10% Шаблон:Small

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	RCV count	Pat Chesbro (D)	Dustin Darden (AIP)	Elvi Шаблон:Nowrap (D)	Al Gross (D/I)	John Howe (AIP)	Joe Miller (L)	Lisa Murkowski (R)	Sarah Palin (R)	Kelly Tshibaka (R)	Other	Undecided
Alaska Survey Research	July 2–5, 2022	1,201 (LV)	± 2.9%	1	17%	5%	–				35%	–	43%	–
				2	20%	–					36%		45%
				3	–						Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52%		48%
Cygnal (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	March 14–16, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.2%	1	–						29%	–	45%	26%	–
				?							49%	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51%	–
Alaska Survey Research	October 22–27, 2021	969 (RV)	± 3.2%	1	–		22%	–			35%	20%	23%	–
				2			23%				42%	–	35%
				3			–				Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|60%		40%
Alaska Survey Research	July 11–21, 2021	947 (LV)	± 3.2%	1	–		19%	–		18%	36%	–	27%	–
				2			21%			–	39%		40%
				3			–				Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|55%		45%
Change Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	May 22–25, 2021	1,023 (LV)	± 3.1%	Шаблон:Abbr	–			25%	4%	–	19%	–	39%	1%Шаблон:Efn	12%
				3Шаблон:Efn				46%	–		–		Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|54%	–

Lisa Murkowski vs. Kelly Tshibaka

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Lisa Murkowski (R)	Kelly Tshibaka (R)	Undecided
Alaska Survey Research	April 16–21, 2022	1,208 (LV)	± 2.9%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|55%	45%	–

Results

Файл:2022 Alaska United States Senate election preference flow.svg

Preference flow

2022 United States Senate election in Alaska

Party		Candidate	First Choice			Round 1			Round 2			Round 3
			Votes	%	Transfer	Votes	%	Transfer	Votes	%	Transfer	Votes	%
style="background-color:Шаблон:Party color" |	Republican	Шаблон:Sortname (incumbent)	113,495	43.37%	+623	114,118	43.39%	+1,641	115,759	44.49%	+20,571	136,330	53.70%
style="background-color:Шаблон:Party color" |	Republican	Шаблон:Sortname	111,480	42.60%	+621	112,101	42.62%	+3,209	115,310	44.32%	+2,224	117,534	46.30%
style="background-color:Шаблон:Party color" |	Democratic	Шаблон:Sortname	27,145	10.37%	+1,088	28,233	10.73%	+901	29,134	11.20%	−29,134	Eliminated
style="background-color:Шаблон:Party color" |	Republican	Шаблон:Sortname (withdrew)Шаблон:Efn	7,557	2.89%	+1,018	8,575	3.26%	−8,575	Eliminated
style="background-color:Шаблон:Party color" |	Write-in		2,028	0.77%	-2,028	Eliminated
Total votes			261,705			263,027			260,203			253,864
Blank or inactive ballots						3,770		+2,824	6,594		+6,339	12,933
style="background-color:Шаблон:Party color" |	Republican hold

See also

• 2022 United States Senate elections
• 2022 United States House of Representatives election in Alaska
• 2022 Alaska gubernatorial election
• 2022 Alaska Senate election
• 2022 Alaska House of Representatives election
• 2022 Alaska elections

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist Partisan clients Шаблон:Notelist-ua

External links

Official campaign websites

• Pat Chesbro (D) for Senate
• Buzz Kelley (R) for Senate
• Lisa Murkowski (R) for Senate
• Kelly Tshibaka (R) for Senate