Английская Википедия:2022 United States Senate election in Arizona
Шаблон:See alsoШаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Arizona sidebar
The 2022 United States Senate election in Arizona was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the state of Arizona.
The seat was previously held by Republican John McCain, who won his final term in 2016 and died on August 25, 2018. Governor Doug Ducey appointed former U.S. Senator Jon Kyl to fill the seat. Kyl resigned at the end of that year and Ducey replaced him with Martha McSally, who then lost to Democrat Mark Kelly in 2020.
Primaries in Arizona took place on August 2, 2022. Kelly won renomination without opposition, while venture capitalist Blake Masters won the Republican nomination against a large field of candidates. Although Arizona typically leans Republican, Kelly led Masters by low single digits in aggregate polling. Kelly held a significant fundraising advantage until many Republican-aligned groups began spending to assist Masters in the final weeks of the campaign.[1] On November 1, Libertarian nominee Marc Victor dropped out of the race and endorsed Masters.[2][3][4]
Kelly won re-election, defeating Masters by a comfortable margin.[5] This was the first time Democrats won a full term to this seat since 1962. The 2022 race was competitive and seen as crucial to determining party control of the U.S. Senate; with Kelly's victory in Arizona and a Democratic victory in Nevada, in addition to a Democratic gain in Pennsylvania, it was projected on November 12 that the Democratic caucus would retain control of the Senate in the 118th United States Congress.[6][7] Masters conceded the race to Kelly on November 15, 2022.[8]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Mark Kelly, incumbent U.S. Senator[9][10]
Endorsements
Results
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Republican primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Blake Masters, former president of the Thiel Foundation and former chief operating officer of Thiel Capital[11]
Eliminated in primary
- Mark Brnovich, Arizona Attorney General[12]
- Jim Lamon, solar power businessman[13]
- Mick McGuire, retired U.S. Air Force major general and former adjutant general of the Arizona National Guard[14]
- Justin Olson, member of the Arizona Corporation Commission[15]
Did not file
Declined
- Kirk Adams, former Chief of Staff to Governor Doug Ducey and former Speaker of the Arizona House of Representatives[18]
- Andy Biggs, U.S. Representative for Шаблон:Ushr[19][20]
- Doug Ducey, Governor of Arizona[21]
- Kari Lake, former KSAZ-TV news anchor (ran for governor)[22]
- Jack McCain, veteran and son of former U.S. Senator John McCain[23]
- Martha McSally, former U.S. Senator from Arizona (2019–2020)
- Kelli Ward, chair of the Arizona Republican Party, former state senator, and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2016 and 2018[24]
- Kimberly Yee, State Treasurer of Arizona (ran for re-election)[25][26]
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Mark Brnovich |
Jim Lamon |
Blake Masters |
Michael McGuire |
Justin Olson |
Undecided Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Clear Politics | July 27 – August 1, 2022 | August 2, 2022 | 14.5% | 22.0% | 37.0% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 17.7% | Masters +15.0 |
- Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Kirk Adams |
Andy Biggs |
Mark Brnovich |
Doug Ducey |
Jim Lamon |
Blake Masters |
Michael McGuire |
Justin Olson |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| co/efficient (R) | February 6–8, 2022 | 755 (LV) | ± 3.6% | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|14% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 3% | 1% | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|38% |
| OH Predictive Insights | January 11–13, 2022 | 302 (RV) | ± 5.6% | – | – | 13% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|35% | 4% | 4% | 9% | 2% | – | 34% |
| WPA Intelligence (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | April 5–6, 2021 | 505 (LV) | ± 4.4% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | 9% |
| OH Predictive Insights | March 8–12, 2021 | 690 (RV) | ± 3.7% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|27% | – | – | – | 2% | 3% | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|67% |
| 6%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|26% | – | – | – | 2% | 10% | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|56% | ||||
| Data Orbital (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | February 17–19, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|36% | – | – | 1% | 1% | 3% | – | 4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|53% |
Results
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Libertarian primary
Candidates
Nominee
- Marc Victor, attorney and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2012[27] (withdrew from general election, endorsed Blake Masters)[2]
Results
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General election
Initially expected to be one of the most widely contested elections in the nation, Kelly amassed a massive fundraising advantage over Masters, raising a record $75 million compared to Masters's $12 million.[28] Due to the Supreme Court's Dobbs v. Jackson Women's Health Organization decision, which reversed Roe v. Wade, Kelly spent the campaign heavily attacking Masters over his anti-abortion stance, which was seen as hurting Masters especially among women voters. He also attacked Masters's support for privatizing Social Security, as Arizona has many retired seniors that use the program. Masters's claim that the 2020 presidential election was stolen also hurt him among voters.[29]
With the limited amount of money he had, Masters attempted to portray Kelly as weak on illegal immigration, supportive of spending programs that caused inflation, and too supportive of President Joe Biden. In the final weeks of the campaign, Republican groups began to increase the amount of money they were spending on the race, and many news outlets moved the race from lean Democrat to tossup. However, in the end, Kelly relatively easily defeated Masters, which helped Democrats in retaining the Senate.[30] According to Ron Brownstein of CNN in 2023, Kelly won independent voters by double-digit margins, which contributed to Masters's defeat.[31]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[32] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 27, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[33] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 21, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[34] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 19, 2022 |
| Politico[35] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 27, 2022 |
| RCP[36] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 25, 2022 |
| Fox News[37] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 25, 2022 |
| DDHQ[38] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 25, 2022 |
| FiveThirtyEight[39] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | October 25, 2022 |
| The Economist[40] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 1, 2022 |
Debates
| Шаблон:Abbr | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican | Libertarian |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Colors Participant Шаблон:Colors Absent Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee Шаблон:Colors Invitee
Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn |
scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | |||||
| Mark Kelly | Blake Masters | Marc Victor | |||||
| 1 | October 6, 2022 | Arizona PBS | Ted Simons | Youtube | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Mark Kelly (D) |
Blake Masters (R) |
Undecided Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RealClearPolitics | October 30 – November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | 48.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48.3% | 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Masters +0.3 |
| FiveThirtyEight | September 7, 2021 – November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48.6% | 47.1% | 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Kelly +1.5 |
| 270ToWin | November 3–7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47.9% | 46.6% | 5.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Kelly +1.3 |
| Average | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48.3% | 47.2% | 4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Kelly +1.1 | ||
- Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Mark Kelly (D) |
Blake Masters (R) |
Marc Victor (L) |
Other | Undecided | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | November 5–7, 2022 | 1,094 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% | 1% | – | 4% | ||||||||
| Data Orbital (R) | November 4–6, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 47% | 2% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 3% | ||||||||
| Research Co. | November 4–6, 2022 | 450 (LV) | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 46% | 2% | – | 3% | ||||||||
| Data for Progress (D) | November 2–6, 2022 | 1,359 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50% | 2% | – | – | ||||||||
| Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 560 (LV) | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 47% | 2% | – | – | ||||||||
| KAConsulting (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | November 2–3, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% | 46% | – | 1% | 6% | ||||||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | November 2, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 48% | 48% | 2% | – | 2% | ||||||||
| HighGround Inc. | November 1–2, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% | 45% | – | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 6% | ||||||||
| Remington Research Group (R) | November 1–2, 2022 | 1,075 (LV) | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 47% | 2% | – | 3% | ||||||||
| Marist College | October 31 – November 2, 2022 | 1,157 (RV) | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 45% | – | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 8% | ||||||||
| 1,015 (LV) | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 47% | – | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 2% | ||||||||||
| Big Data Poll (R) | October 31 – November 2, 2022 | 1,051 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% | – | – | 4% | ||||||||
| Patriot Polling (R) | October 30 – November 2, 2022 | 814 (RV) | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 48% | – | – | 4% | ||||||||
| Civiqs | October 29 – November 2, 2022 | 852 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 49% | 49% | – | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 1% | ||||||||
| Victor withdraws from the race and endorses Masters | ||||||||||||||||
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% | 3% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 1% | ||||||||
| 48% | 48% | 3% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | – | ||||||||||||
| The Phillips Academy | October 29–30, 2022 | 985 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 47% | 2% | – | 5% | ||||||||
| Fox News | October 26–30, 2022 | 1,003 (RV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% | 45% | – | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 5% | ||||||||
| Wick Insights (R) | October 26–30, 2022 | 1,122 (LV) | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 47% | – | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 1% | ||||||||
| Fabrizio, Lee and Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 24–26, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% | 46% | 3% | – | – | ||||||||
| OH Predictive Insights | October 24–26, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 46% | 3% | – | 3% | ||||||||
| Siena College/NYT | October 24–26, 2022 | 604 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% | 45% | 1% | – | 3% | ||||||||
| BSP Research/Shaw & Co.Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 19–26, 2022 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44% | 40% | – | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 11% | ||||||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 24–25, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45% | 43% | 6% | – | 6% | ||||||||
| co/efficient (R) | October 20–21, 2022 | 1,111 (LV) | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% | 45% | 4% | – | 4% | ||||||||
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 14–18, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 45% | 2% | <1%Шаблон:Efn | 6% | ||||||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 16–17, 2022 | 1,078 (LV) | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% | 46% | 3% | – | 4% | ||||||||
| Data for Progress (D) | October 11–17, 2022 | 893 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 47% | 47% | 3% | – | 4% | ||||||||
| Wick Insights (R) | October 8–14, 2022 | 1,058 (LV) | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 46% | – | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 3% | ||||||||
| HighGround Inc.Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 12–13, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|42% | 40% | 5% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 10% | ||||||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 11, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% | 42% | 5% | – | 7% | ||||||||
| Kurt Jetta (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 9–10, 2022 | 894 (RV) | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% | 32% | – | – | 15% | ||||||||
| 551 (LV) | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% | 38% | – | – | 7% | |||||||||||
| Ascend Action (R) | October 8–10, 2022 | 954 (LV) | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 44% | – | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 2% | ||||||||
| OnMessage Inc. (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | October 8–10, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% | 43% | 4% | – | 7% | ||||||||
| OH Predictive Insights | October 4–6, 2022 | 674 (LV) | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% | 33% | 15% | – | 7% | ||||||||
| Big Data Poll (R) | October 2–5, 2022 | 970 (LV) | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% | 45% | 2% | – | 7% | ||||||||
| YouGov/CBS News | September 30 – October 4, 2022 | 1,164 (RV) | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% | 48% | – | – | 1% | ||||||||
| CNN/SSRS | September 26 – October 2, 2022 | 900 (RV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% | 42% | – | 7%Шаблон:Efn | – | ||||||||
| 795 (LV) | ± 4.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% | 45% | – | 4%Шаблон:Efn | – | ||||||||||
| Fox News | September 22–26, 2022 | 1,008 (RV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% | 40% | – | 6%Шаблон:Efn | 9% | ||||||||
| Suffolk University | September 21–25, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 42% | 2% | – | 7% | ||||||||
| Marist College | September 19–22, 2022 | 1,260 (RV) | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% | 41% | – | – | 8% | ||||||||
| 1,076 (LV) | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 45% | – | – | 5% | ||||||||||
| Data for Progress (D) | September 15–19, 2022 | 768 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 47% | 2% | – | 3% | ||||||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | September 14–17, 2022 | 1080 (LV) | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% | 45% | 3% | – | 5% | ||||||||
| Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | September 8–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 42% | 4% | – | 4% | ||||||||
| Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% | 45% | – | – | 3% | ||||||||||||
| OnMessage Inc. (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | September 6–11, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 40% | 6% | – | 5% | ||||||||
| Kurt Jetta (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | September 9–10, 2022 | 972 (RV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|53% | 32% | – | – | 15% | ||||||||
| 563 (LV) | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55% | 35% | – | – | 9% | |||||||||||
| OH Predictive Insights | September 6–9, 2022 | 654 (LV) | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% | 35% | 6% | – | 12% | ||||||||
| Emerson College | September 6–7, 2022 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% | 45% | – | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 5% | ||||||||
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | September 6–7, 2022 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45% | 39% | 4% | – | 12% | ||||||||
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 773 (RV) | ±4.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|52% | 37% | – | – | 11% | ||||||||
| The Trafalgar Group (R) | August 24–27, 2022 | 1,074 (LV) | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 44% | 4% | – | 4% | ||||||||
| RMG Research | August 16–22, 2022 | 750 (LV) | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 43% | – | – | 7% | ||||||||
| Fox News | August 12–16, 2022 | 1,012 (RV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 42% | – | 2% | 6% | ||||||||
| Kurt Jetta (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | August 4–8, 2022 | 1,107 (A) | ± 2.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 34% | – | – | 19% | ||||||||
| 877 (RV) | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 34% | – | – | 16% | ||||||||||
| 512 (LV) | ± 4.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|54% | 40% | – | – | 7% | ||||||||||
| OnMessage Inc. (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | August 1–2, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 44% | – | – | 7% | ||||||||
| Beacon Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | July 5–20, 2022 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 34% | – | 1% | 13% | ||||||||
| 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% | 39% | – | 2% | 8% | ||||||||||
| Fabrizio Lee (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | July 13–14, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 44% | – | – | 7% | ||||||||
| Change Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | June 24–27, 2022 | 705 (LV) | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 39% | – | – | 13% | ||||||||
| Blueprint Polling (D) | May 12–16, 2022 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 32% | – | – | 19% | ||||||||
| OH Predictive Insights | September 7–12, 2021 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44% | 35% | – | – | 21% | ||||||||
- Mark Kelly vs. Mark Brnovich
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Mark Kelly (D) |
Mark Brnovich (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beacon Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | July 5–20, 2022 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 35% | 1% | 11% |
| 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% | 40% | 2% | 7% | ||
| Blueprint Polling (D) | May 12–16, 2022 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 33% | – | 18% |
| Data for Progress (D) | January 21–24, 2022 | 1,469 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49% | 47% | – | 4% |
| OH Predictive Insights | September 7–12, 2021 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43% | 39% | – | 18% |
| OH Predictive Insights | May 3–5, 2021 | 935 (RV) | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% | 36% | – | 18% |
- Mark Kelly vs. Jim Lamon
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Mark Kelly (D) |
Jim Lamon (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beacon Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | July 5–20, 2022 | 802 (RV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 34% | 2% | 14% |
| 504 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 40% | 2% | 9% | ||
| Change Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | June 24–27, 2022 | 705 (LV) | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% | 41% | – | 12% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | May 12–16, 2022 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 34% | – | 18% |
| OH Predictive Insights | September 7–12, 2021 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43% | 36% | – | 21% |
- Mark Kelly vs. Michael McGuire
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Mark Kelly (D) |
Michael McGuire (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | September 7–12, 2021 | 882 (RV) | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44% | 37% | 19% |
| OH Predictive Insights | May 3–5, 2021 | 935 (RV) | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44% | 35% | 21% |
- Mark Kelly vs. Andy Biggs
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Mark Kelly (D) |
Andy Biggs (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | May 3–5, 2021 | 935 (RV) | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% | 36% | 18% |
- Mark Kelly vs. Doug Ducey
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Mark Kelly (D) |
Doug Ducey (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Data for Progress (D) | January 21–24, 2022 | 1,469 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% | 47% | 4% |
- Mark Kelly vs. Kelli Ward
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Mark Kelly (D) |
Kelli Ward (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | May 3–5, 2021 | 935 (RV) | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% | 36% | 18% |
- Mark Kelly vs. Kari Lake
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Mark Kelly (D) |
Kari Lake (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | May 3–5, 2021 | 935 (RV) | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% | 35% | 19% |
- Mark Kelly vs. Jack McCain
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Mark Kelly (D) |
Jack McCain (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | May 3–5, 2021 | 935 (RV) | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43% | 29% | 28% |
- Mark Kelly vs. Kimberly Yee
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Mark Kelly (D) |
Kimberly Yee (R) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | May 3–5, 2021 | 935 (RV) | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45% | 35% | 19% |
- Mark Kelly vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Mark Kelly (D) |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | May 9–16, 2022 | 938 (RV) | ± 3.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|40% | 39% | – | 21% |
| HighGround Public Affairs (R) | March 26–27, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45% | 41% | 2% | 12% |
| OH Predictive Insights | March 7–15, 2022 | 753 (RV) | ± 3.6% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|39% | – | 24% |
| Change Research (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | March 2022 | – (LV) | – | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | – | 11% |
| OH Predictive Insights | January 11–13, 2022 | 855 (RV) | ± 3.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|42% | 38% | – | 19% |
| OH Predictive Insights | November 1–8, 2021 | 713 (RV) | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|40% | 39% | – | 21% |
- Mark Kelly vs. generic opponent
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Mark Kelly (D) |
Generic Opponent |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio Lee (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | July 13–14, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent|48% | 7% |
- Generic Democrat vs. generic Republican
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio Lee (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | July 13–14, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 46% | 8% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party link Шаблон:Election box totalШаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
By congressional district
Kelly won 5 out of 9 congressional districts, including two that elected Republicans.[41]
See also
- 2022 United States Senate elections
- 2022 United States House of Representatives elections in Arizona
- 2022 Arizona gubernatorial election
- 2022 Arizona elections
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
Шаблон:Elections in Arizona footer Шаблон:2022 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 2,0 2,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite report
- Английская Википедия
- Страницы с неработающими файловыми ссылками
- United States Senate elections in Arizona
- 2022 United States Senate elections
- 2022 Arizona elections
- Страницы, где используется шаблон "Навигационная таблица/Телепорт"
- Страницы с телепортом
- Википедия
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