Английская Википедия:2022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For multi Шаблон:Distinguish Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsOK The 2022 United States Senate election in Oklahoma was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Oklahoma.[1] Incumbent senator James Lankford won re-election to a second full term, defeating cybersecurity professional Madison Horn (no relation to former U.S. Representative Kendra Horn, who ran for the concurrent special election to the Class II seat) in a landslide, winning all 77 counties by more than 50% of the vote in each one.
Lankford was first elected in 2014 special election with 68% of the vote, succeeding retiring fellow Republican Tom Coburn.[2] He won re-election to a first full term in 2016 with 68% of the vote.[3]
The primary elections for the Republican, Democratic, and Libertarian parties' nominations took place on June 28, 2022, with runoffs taking place on August 23, 2022.[1] All candidates had to file between the days of April 13–15, 2022.[1]
Republican primary
On March 16, 2021, Jackson Lahmeyer announced his campaign for the Republican nomination for United States Senate seat held by James Lankford. While Lankford had not formally announced, he was expected to run for reelection.[4] On April 6, Lankford officially announced he would seek reelection in an interview with the Tulsa World.[5] The Oklahoman reported that Joan Farr announced her candidacy for the Oklahoma and Kansas U.S. Senate seats sometime in August.[6] On September 28, state senator Nathan Dahm announced his campaign for Lankford's seat.[6] In November the Tulsa World reported that Jessica Jean Garrison, the daughter of former state senator Earl Garrison, would also campaign in the contested Republican primary.[7] On February 28, 2022, Nathan Dahm announced he had switched his campaign to the special election in the Class 2 seat.[8] Jessica Jean Garrison also switched her campaign to the special election when filing. Lankford won the June primary with 67% of the vote.[9]
Candidates
Nominee
- James Lankford, incumbent U.S. Senator[5]
Eliminated in primary
- Joan Farr, independent candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2014 and 2020[6]
- Jackson Lahmeyer, pastor for Sheridan Church, former Oklahoma State Coordinator for Billy Graham Evangelistic Association, and former Crusade Director for Christ for All Nations[4]
Withdrew before filing
- Nathan Dahm, State Senator for the 33rd district (2013–present) (ran for the Class 2 U.S. Senate seat)[8]
- Jessica Jean Garrison, author, dietician, and daughter of former state senator Earl Garrison (ran for the Class 2 U.S. Senate seat)[7]
Endorsements
James Lankford and Jackson Lahmeyer courted the endorsement of Donald Trump, 45th president of the United States, but Trump did not endorse a candidate prior to the primary.[10][11]
On June 29, 2021, Lankford's campaign published its supposed endorsement by state representative Kevin McDugle. McDugle later went on social media claiming to have never made the endorsement; Lankford's campaign subsequently removed his name from their endorsement list.[12]
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Debates
The Oil & Gas Workers Association of Oklahoma offered to host a debate for the Republican primary. Invitations were extended to candidates Jackson Lahmeyer and James Lankford, but Lankford refused the invitation.[13]
| Шаблон:Abbr | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant Шаблон:Colors Absent Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee Шаблон:Colors Invitee Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn | |||||||
| Joan Farr |
Jackson Lahmeyer |
James Lankford | |||||
| 1 | Cancelled | Oil & Gas Workers Association of Oklahoma | - | - | Шаблон:No | Шаблон:D-I | Шаблон:D-I |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joan Farr |
Jackson Lahmeyer |
James Lankford |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amber Integrated (R) | June 6–9, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 4% | 12% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|68% | – | 15% |
| SoonerPoll | April 25 – May 11, 2022 | 306 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 2% | 8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|74% | – | 16% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | March 24–27, 2022 | 455 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 0% | 10% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|63% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 24% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | December 15–19, 2021 | 253 (RV) | ± 6.2% | – | 8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|56% | 12%Шаблон:Efn | 24% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | September 29 – October 3, 2021 | 253 (RV) | ± 6.2% | – | 21% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|62% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 12% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic primary
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in runoff
- Jason Bollinger, attorney and former State Department employee[16][15]
Eliminated in initial primary
- Arya Azma, security trader[17]
- Dennis Baker[17]
- Jo Glenn, attorney[18]
- Brandon Wade, machinery assembler[17]
Failed to file
- Bevon Rogers, businessman and 2020 candidate for Oklahoma Senate[19]
Declined
- Kendra Horn, former U.S. representative[20] (running in the concurrent special election for the Class 2 seat)[21]
First round
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no changeШаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Runoff
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 19, 2021 |
| Inside Elections[23] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | January 7, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[24] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 3, 2021 |
| Politico[25] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[26] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | January 10, 2022 |
| Fox News[27] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ[28] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[29] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[30] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements boxШаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
James Lankford (R) |
Madison Horn (D) |
Other Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight | September 15 – November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|56.9% | 34.9% | 8.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lankford +22.0 |
| 270towin | October 11 - November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|54.3% | 36.8% | 8.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lankford +17.5 |
| Average | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|55.6% | 35.8% | 8.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lankford +19.8 | ||
- Graphical summary
Шаблон:Graph:Chart
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
James Lankford (R) |
Madison Horn (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascend Action (R) | November 5–6, 2022 | 682 (LV) | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|56% | 36% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 4% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | October 26–28, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% | 38% | 7%Шаблон:Efn | 3% |
| Emerson College | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|57% | 33% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 8% |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|62% | 34% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | – | ||||
| Ascend Action (R) | October 24–28, 2022 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51% | 35% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 9% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | October 13–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% | 36% | 7%Шаблон:Efn | 4% |
| Ascend Action (R) | October 10–12, 2022 | 638 (LV) | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51% | 37% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 9% |
| SoonerPoll | October 3–6, 2022 | 301 (LV) | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% | 40% | 2%Шаблон:Efn | 6% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | September 19–21, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% | 34% | – | 14% |
| –(L)Шаблон:Efn | September 15–18, 2022 | 2,989 (LV) | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% | 27% | 11%Шаблон:Efn | 13% |
| SoonerPoll | September 2–7, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% | 35% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 13% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (RV) | ± 6.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|59% | 29% | – | 12% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box turnoutШаблон:Election box registered electors Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
By congressional district
Lankford won all 5 congressional districts.[31]
| District | Lankford | Horn | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 59% | 37.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Kevin Hern |
| rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 73.3% | 23.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Markwayne Mullin (117th Congress) |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Josh Brecheen (118th Congress) | |||
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 70.1% | 26.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Frank Lucas |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 63.1% | 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Tom Cole |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 57.6% | 38.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Stephanie Bice |
See also
Notes
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Kenneth Blevins (L) for Senate
- Jason Bollinger (D) for Senate
- Michael Delaney (I) for Senate
- Madison Horn (D) for Senate
- James Lankford (R) for Senate
Шаблон:2022 United States elections
- ↑ 1,0 1,1 1,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 4,0 4,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 5,0 5,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 6,0 6,1 6,2 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 7,0 7,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 8,0 8,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег
<ref>; для сносокprimaryresultsне указан текст - ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег
<ref>; для сносокGormanLankfordEndorseне указан текст - ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 15,0 15,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 17,0 17,1 17,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite report
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