Английская Википедия:2022 United States Senate election in Utah
Шаблон:See alsoШаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Utah sidebar The 2022 United States Senate election in Utah was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Utah. Incumbent senator Mike Lee, who was first elected in 2010, won re-election to a third term, defeating Evan McMullin, an independent candidate who was endorsed by the Utah Democratic Party.
This was the first Senate election in Utah's history in which there was no Democratic nominee. Lee's performance was the worst for a Republican in a Utah U.S. Senate election since 1974, while McMullin's was the best ever for an independent in a Utah U.S. Senate race and the best for a non-Republican since 1976.
Republican primary
Incumbent U.S. Senator Mike Lee won over 70% of the vote at the Utah Republican Party state convention on April 23, 2022. Though considered by the party to be its nominee, a primary was still held on June 28, 2022, after two other candidates garnered enough signatures to qualify.[1]
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated in primary
- Becky Edwards, state representative (2009–2018)[4]
- Ally Isom, business executive, former director of institutional messaging for the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, and former deputy chief of staff and communications director to former governor Gary Herbert[5]
Eliminated at convention
- Evan Barlow, assistant professor at Weber State University[6]
- Loy Arlan Brunson, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2012 and 2018[7]
- Jeremy Friedbaum, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010, 2012 and 2018[7]
- Laird Hamblin, biologist, children's songwriter[8] (running as write-in)
Did not file
- Tyrone Jensen, political podcaster, candidate for U.S. Senate in 2018 and Шаблон:Ushr in 2020[9][10]
- Benjamin Davis[9]
Withdrawn
- Brendan Wright, area planning manager for the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints[11][12][13] (endorsed Edwards)
Declined
- Henry Eyring, assistant professor of accounting at London School of Economics and grandson of Henry B. Eyring[14]
- Erin Rider, attorney[15]
- Thomas Wright, real estate broker, chair of the Utah Republican Party (2011–2013) and candidate for Governor of Utah in 2020.[12]
Endorsements
Polling
- Graphical summary
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Evan Barlow |
Loy Brunson |
Becky Edwards |
Jeremy Friedbaum |
Laird Hamblin |
Ally Isom |
Tyrone Jensen |
Mike Lee |
Brendan Wright |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates | May 7–13, 2022 | 503 (LV) | ± 4.3% | – | – | 19% | – | – | 6% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% | – | – | 26% |
| Dan Jones & Associates | March 9–21, 2022 | 484 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 6% | 1% | 19% | 2% | 1% | 4% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|67% | – | – | – |
| OH Predictive Insights | February 7–14, 2022 | 366 (RV) | ± 5.1% | – | – | 5% | – | – | 2% | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51% | 2% | – | 37% |
| Dan Jones & Associates | October 14–21, 2021 | 469 (LV) | ± 4.5% | – | – | 7% | – | – | 2% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|53% | – | 6% | 32% |
| OH Predictive Insights | August 2–8, 2021 | 337 (RV) | ± 5.3% | – | – | 3% | – | – | 2% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45% | 3% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|48% |
| RMG Research | June 24–25, 2021 | 587 (LV) | ± 4.0% | – | – | 11% | – | – | – | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | – | 8% | 33% |
Results
Convention
| colspan="5" Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | State Republican Convention results, 2022 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Candidate | First ballot | Pct. |
| Шаблон:Sortname | 2,621 | 70.74% |
| Шаблон:Sortname | 436 | 11.77% |
| Шаблон:Sortname | 358 | 9.66% |
| Шаблон:Sortname | 132 | 3.56% |
| Шаблон:Sortname | 75 | 2.02% |
| Шаблон:Sortname | 71 | 1.92% |
| Шаблон:Sortname | 12 | 0.32% |
| Total | Шаблон:Sort | Шаблон:Sort |
Primary
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic convention
The Utah Democratic Party state convention took place on April 23, 2022.[16] Kael Weston was the only Democrat still running; however, the party endorsed Evan McMullin's independent bid in lieu of nominating a candidate,[17] following encouragement from many prominent Democrats in the state, including former Rep. Ben McAdams and Salt Lake County Mayor Jenny Wilson, to back McMullin's campaign.
Candidates
Eliminated at convention
- Kael Weston, former U.S. State Department official and nominee for Utah's 2nd congressional district in 2020[18]
Did not file
- Austin Searle, musician[19]
Withdrew
- Allen Glines, community activist and writer[20]
- Nicholas Mitchell, scientist and business owner[21] (running for Utah's 2nd congressional district)
Declined
- Ben McAdams, U.S. Representative for Шаблон:Ushr (2019–2021)[22][23] (endorsed McMullin)
- Steve Schmidt, political commentator for MSNBC, founder of The Lincoln Project, and former Republican political strategist[24]
Endorsements
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Allen Glines |
Nicholas Mitchell |
Steve Schmidt |
Austin Searle |
Kael Weston |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | February 7–14, 2022 | 110 (RV) | ± 9.3% | 2% | 5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|16% | 2% | 14% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|60% |
Convention vote
The Utah Democratic Party held a state convention on April 23, 2022, to endorse candidates for state offices.[25][26][27] Supporters of independent candidate Evan McMullin, led by Salt Lake County mayor Jenny Wilson, introduced a motion for the state party to forgo nominating a Democratic candidate for the U.S. Senate and to instead "join Evan McMullin’s independent coalition to beat Mike Lee",[26] contending that not doing so would split the anti-Lee vote in the general election.[26][27] The motion was opposed by supporters of Kael Weston, the lone Democratic candidate for the seat who thus would have received the nomination had the motion failed.[27] The delegates passed the motion by a 57%–43% margin.[26][27]
Libertarian convention
Candidates
Nominee
Eliminated at convention
- Lucky Bovo[7]
Independent American convention
Candidates
Declared
- Tommy Williams, perennial candidate[30]
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Evan McMullin, political activist, former CIA operations officer, and candidate for President of the United States in 2016[31] (endorsed by the Democratic Party, United Utah Party, and Forward Party)
Withdrawn
- Evan Barlow, assistant professor at Weber State University[32] (running as a Republican).[6]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[33] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | August 18, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[34] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 9, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[35] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | June 15, 2022 |
| Politico[36] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[37] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | November 5, 2022 |
| Fox News[38] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 20, 2022 |
| DDHQ[39] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[40] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 22, 2022 |
| The Economist[41] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Mike Lee (R) |
Evan McMullin (I) |
Undecided Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FiveThirtyEight | June 15 – November 8, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48.5% | 38.7% | 12.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lee +9.8 |
| 270towin | October 31 – November 1, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48.0% | 36.7% | 15.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lee +11.3 |
| Average | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48.2% | 37.7% | 14.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Lee +10.5 | ||
- Graphical summary
- Becky Edwards vs. Evan McMullin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Becky Edwards (R) |
Evan McMullin (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates | May 24 – June 15, 2022 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|31% | 29% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|34% |
| Dan Jones & Associates | May 24 – June 4, 2022 | 810 (RV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|29% | 28% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|37% |
- Ally Isom vs. Evan McMullin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Ally Isom (R) |
Evan McMullin (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Jones & Associates | May 24 – June 15, 2022 | 803 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 24% | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (US)|34% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|36% |
| Dan Jones & Associates | May 24 – June 4, 2022 | 810 (RV) | ± 3.5% | 23% | Шаблон:Party shading/Independent (US)|34% | 7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|36% |
- Mike Lee vs. Kael Weston vs. Evan McMullin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Mike Lee (R) |
Kael Weston (D) |
Evan McMullin (I) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Moore Information Group (R) | March 20–24, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% | 13% | 25% | 1% | 12% |
| Dan Jones & Associates | March 9–21, 2022 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43% | 11% | 19% | 3% | 24% |
| OH Predictive Insights | February 7–14, 2022 | 739 (RV) | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|34% | 12% | 24% | – | 30% |
- Mike Lee vs. Steve Schmidt vs. Evan McMullin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Mike Lee (R) |
Steve Schmidt (D) |
Evan McMullin (I) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | February 7–14, 2022 | 739 (RV) | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|36% | 11% | 23% | 30% |
- Mike Lee vs. Steve Schmidt
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Mike Lee (R) |
Steve Schmidt (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | February 7–14, 2022 | 739 (RV) | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45% | 25% | 30% |
- Mike Lee vs. Kael Weston
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Mike Lee (R) |
Kael Weston (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OH Predictive Insights | February 7–14, 2022 | 739 (RV) | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45% | 25% | 30% |
Debates
| Шаблон:Abbr | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Republican | Independent |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant Шаблон:Colors Absent Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee Шаблон:Colors Invitee Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn |
scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | scope="col" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | ||||
| Mike Lee | Evan McMullin | |||||
| 1 | Oct. 18, 2022 | Utah Debate Commission | Doug Wright | YouTube | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box write-in with party linkШаблон:Election box totalШаблон:Election box hold with party link no swingШаблон:Election box end
- Counties that flipped from Republican to Independent
- Grand (largest municipality: Moab)
- Salt Lake (largest municipality: Salt Lake City)
- Counties that flipped from Democratic to Independent
By congressional district
Lee won all 4 congressional districts.[42]
See also
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
- James Hansen (L) for Senate
- Mike Lee (R) for Senate
- Evan McMullin (I) for Senate
- Tommy Williams (Independent American) for Senate
Шаблон:2022 United States elections Шаблон:Notable third party performances in United States elections
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