Английская Википедия:2022 United States Senate special election in Oklahoma
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For multi Шаблон:Distinguish
Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsOK
The 2022 United States Senate special election in Oklahoma was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate for Oklahoma. The election took place concurrently with the regularly scheduled election for Oklahoma's other Senate seat.[1] The candidate filing deadline was between April 13–15, 2022.[2]
This special election was held to fill the remaining four years of incumbent Republican Senator Jim Inhofe's term. In February 2022, Inhofe announced that he would resign early at the end of the 117th United States Congress on January 3, 2023.[3] He was first elected in a 1994 special election with 55% of the vote to succeed Democratic senator David Boren in the wake of his impending resignation to become president of the University of Oklahoma.[4] Most recently, Inhofe was re-elected to a fifth full term in 2020 with 62.9% of the vote.[5]
Former U.S. Representative Kendra Horn secured the Democratic nomination by default, while the primary election for the Republican nomination took place on June 28, 2022. U.S. Representative Markwayne Mullin won the Republican primary runoff on August 23, defeating former State House Speaker T. W. Shannon.[2] Mullin ultimately won the election.[6]
Mullin, a member of the Cherokee Nation, became the first Native American to serve in the U.S. Senate since fellow Republican Ben Nighthorse Campbell retired from Congress in 2005, and the first Native American representing this state since Robert Owen in 1925.[7] Conversely, Horn won Oklahoma County, making her the first Democrat since 2008 to carry any Oklahoma county in a Senate election.
Republican primary
On February 25, 2022, Jim Inhofe, the state's longest-serving U.S. Senator, announced he would leave office at the end of the 117th Congress, triggering a special election for his U.S. Senate seat in Oklahoma.[8] A crowded field of candidates was expected in the Republican primary following the announcement of Inhofe's retirement.[9]
Luke Holland, Inhofe's former chief of staff, launched his campaign for Inhofe's seat on the same day with Inhofe's endorsement.[8] The next day, Markwayne Mullin, a U.S. Representative for Oklahoma's 2nd congressional district, announced his campaign.[10] By February 28, Oklahoma State Senator Nathan Dahm had announced he was switching his campaign from running for Oklahoma's Class III seat to running for the special election seat.[11] On March 8, former United States National Security Council chief of staff Alex Gray announced his campaign.[12] T. W. Shannon, a former Speaker of the Oklahoma House of Representatives, officially announced his campaign on March 11.[13] Scott Pruitt, former Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency, filed to run on April 15.[14]
Candidates
Nominee
- Markwayne Mullin, U.S. representative for Шаблон:Ushr[10]
Eliminated in runoff
- T. W. Shannon, former speaker of the Oklahoma House of Representatives (2013–2014), former state representative for the 62nd district (2007–2015), and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014[15]
Eliminated in initial primary
- Michael Coibion[16]
- Nathan Dahm, state senator for the 33rd district (2012–present) and candidate for Шаблон:Ushr in 2010 and 2018[11]
- Jessica Jean Garrison, author, dietician and daughter of former state senator Earl Garrison[17][16]
- Randy Grellner, physician[18]
- Luke Holland, former chief of staff for U.S. Senator Jim Inhofe[19]
- Adam Holley, office manager[16]
- Laura Moreno[16]
- Scott Pruitt, former Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (2017–2018) and former attorney general of Oklahoma (2011–2017)[14]
- Paul Royse[16]
- John Tompkins, orthopedic surgeon and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2020[18]
Withdrew before primary
- Alex Gray, former United States National Security Council chief of staff (Endorsed Luke Holland in primary and Markwayne Mullin in runoff)[20]
Declined
- Stephanie Bice, U.S. representative for Шаблон:Ushr (running for re-election)[3]
- Jim Bridenstine, former administrator of the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (2018–2021) and former U.S. representative for Шаблон:Ushr (2013–2018)[21]
- G. T. Bynum, mayor of Tulsa[11]
- Gentner Drummond, attorney (running for attorney general)[22]
- Kevin Hern, U.S. representative for Шаблон:Ushr (running for re-election)[23]
- Jackson Lahmeyer, pastor (ran for the Class 3 U.S. Senate seat)[24]
- Frank Lucas, U.S. representative for Oklahoma's 3rd congressional district (running for re-election)[8]
- Charles McCall, Speaker of the Oklahoma House of Representatives[25]
- Kyle McCarter, former U.S. Ambassador to Kenya[26]
- John M. O'Connor, attorney general of Oklahoma (running for attorney general)[21]
- Matt Pinnell, lieutenant governor of Oklahoma (running for re-election)[27]
- Kevin Stitt, governor of Oklahoma (running for re-election)[28]
- R. Trent Shores, former U.S. attorney for the Northern District of Oklahoma (2017–2021)[22]
- Greg Treat, president pro tempore of the Oklahoma Senate[29]
- J. C. Watts, former U.S. representative for Oklahoma's 4th congressional district (1995–2003)[15]
- Paul Wesselhoft, legislator for the 9th district of the Citizen Potawatomi Nation (2007–present) and former state representative for the 54th district (2004–2016)[30]
First round
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Debates
| Шаблон:Abbr | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant Шаблон:Colors Absent Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee Шаблон:Colors Invitee Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn | |||||||||
| Nathan Dahm |
Luke Holland |
Markwayne Mullin |
Scott Pruitt |
T.W. Shannon | |||||
| 1 | June 9, 2022 | News on 6 | Amanda Taylor | Link | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:D-A | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
| 2 | June 22, 2022 | News on 6 | Alex Cameron | Link | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:D-A | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Nathan Dahm |
Jessica Garrison |
Alex Gray |
Randy Grellner |
Luke Holland |
Adam Holley |
Markwayne Mullin |
Scott Pruitt |
T.W. Shannon |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoonerPoll | June 13–21, 2022 | 350 (LV) | ± 5.2% | 8% | – | 2% | 1% | 5% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|39% | 2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|13% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|30% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | June 6–9, 2022 | 400 (LV) | ± 4.9% | 5% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|38% | 6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|19% | 0%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|22% |
| SoonerPoll | April 25 – May 11, 2022 | 306 (LV) | ± 5.6% | 6% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|38% | 3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|16% | 0%Шаблон:Efn | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|31% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | March 24–27, 2022 | 455 (LV) | ± 4.6% | 6% | – | 1% | – | 2% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|39% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|14% | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|38% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box candidate with party link no changeШаблон:Election box total no changeШаблон:Election box end
Runoff
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Debates
| Шаблон:Abbr | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Key: Шаблон:Colors Participant Шаблон:Colors Absent Шаблон:Colors Non-invitee Шаблон:Colors Invitee Шаблон:Color box Withdrawn | |||||||||
| Markwayne Mullin |
T.W. Shannon | ||||||||
| 1 | August 2, 2022 | News on 6 | Link | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | ||||
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Markwayne Mullin |
T.W. Shannon |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SoonerPoll | August 11–17, 2022 | 322 (LV) | ± 5.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|53% | 47% | 0% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | August 11–15, 2022 | 684 (LV) | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% | 31% | 20% |
| Battleground Connect (R) | July 31 – August 1, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 38% | 16% |
| SoonerPoll | July 25 – August 1, 2022 | 383 (LV) | ± 5.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|63% | 35% | 1% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin no change Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link no change Шаблон:Election box total no change Шаблон:Election box end
Democratic nomination
Former U.S. Representative Kendra Horn was the only Democrat to file to run and was automatically awarded the Democratic nomination.[31]
General election
Candidates
- Markwayne Mullin (Republican), U.S. Representative for Шаблон:Ushr[32]
- Kendra Horn (Democratic), former U.S. Representative for Шаблон:Ushr[16]
- Robert Murphy (Libertarian), retired University of Oklahoma data technician, U.S. Marine Corps veteran, and carpenter[33]
- Ray Woods (independent), candidate for U.S. Senate in 2014[18]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[34] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | February 24, 2022 |
| Inside Elections[35] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | February 24, 2022 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[36] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | March 1, 2022 |
| Politico[37] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | April 1, 2022 |
| RCP[38] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | February 24, 2022 |
| Fox News[39] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | May 12, 2022 |
| DDHQ[40] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | July 20, 2022 |
| 538[41] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | June 30, 2022 |
| The Economist[42] | Шаблон:USRaceRating | September 7, 2022 |
Endorsements
Шаблон:Endorsements box Шаблон:Endorsements box
Polling
- Aggregate polls
| Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Markwayne Mullin (R) |
Kendra Horn (D) |
Other Шаблон:Efn |
Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 270towin | October 11 – November 7, 2022 | November 7, 2022 | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|53.0% | 39.8% | 7.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Mullin +13.2 |
- Graphical summary
Шаблон:Graph:Chart
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Markwayne Mullin (R) |
Kendra Horn (D) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ascend Action (R) | November 5–6, 2022 | 682 (LV) | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|53% | 41% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 4% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | October 26–28, 2022 | 501 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% | 41% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 25–28, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|56% | 35% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 5% |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|59% | 36% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | – | ||||
| Ascend Action (R) | October 24–28, 2022 | 749 (LV) | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | 41% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 8% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | October 13–15, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% | 39% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 3% |
| Ascend Action (R) | October 10–12, 2022 | 638 (LV) | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50% | 39% | 1%Шаблон:Efn | 10% |
| SoonerPoll | October 3–6, 2022 | 301 (LV) | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51% | 42% | 3%Шаблон:Efn | 4% |
| Amber Integrated (R) | September 19–21, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50% | 39% | – | 11% |
| –(L)Шаблон:Efn-ua | September 15–18, 2022 | 2,989 (LV) | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% | 37% | 5%Шаблон:Efn | 9% |
| SoonerPoll | September 2–7, 2022 | 402 (LV) | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% | 40% | 4%Шаблон:Efn | 4% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 522 (RV) | ± 6.3% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|58% | 28% | – | 13% |
Results
Шаблон:Election box begin Шаблон:Election box winning candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box candidate with party link Шаблон:Election box total Шаблон:Election box turnoutШаблон:Election box registered electors Шаблон:Election box hold with party link no swing Шаблон:Election box end
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
- Oklahoma (Largest city: Oklahoma City)
By congressional district
Mullin won all 5 congressional districts.[43]
| District | Mullin | Horn | Representative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 56.5% | 40.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Kevin Hern |
| rowspan=2 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 72.5% | 24.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Markwayne Mullin (117th Congress) |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Josh Brecheen (118th Congress) | |||
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 67.3% | 29.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Frank Lucas |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 60.3% | 36.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Tom Cole |
| Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Шаблон:Ushr | 53.7% | 43.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Stephanie Bice |
See also
- 2022 United States Senate elections
- 2022 Oklahoma elections
- 118th United States Congress
- List of special elections to the United States Senate
Notes
Шаблон:Notelist-ua Шаблон:Notelist
References
External links
- Official campaign websites
- Kendra Horn (D) for Senate Шаблон:Webarchive
- Markwayne Mullin (R) for Senate
- Robert Murphy (L) for Senate
Шаблон:2022 United States elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 2,0 2,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 3,0 3,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite webШаблон:Dead link
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 8,0 8,1 8,2 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 10,0 10,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 11,0 11,1 11,2 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег
<ref>; для сносокTWSAnnounce-TWне указан текст - ↑ 14,0 14,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 15,0 15,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 16,0 16,1 16,2 16,3 16,4 16,5 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 18,0 18,1 18,2 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ 21,0 21,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 22,0 22,1 Шаблон:Cite news
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег
<ref>; для сносокCasteel25Febне указан текст - ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite report
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