Английская Википедия:2023 Aragonese regional election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Infobox election The 2023 Aragonese regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 2023, to elect the 11th Cortes of the autonomous community of Aragon. All 67 seats in the Cortes were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in eleven other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.
The election saw a victory for the People's Party (PP) which, together with the far-right Vox, was able to command a majority of seats in the Cortes. The previous government, formed by the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), Podemos, Aragonese Union (CHA) and the Aragonese Party (PAR) under two-term Aragonese president Javier Lambán, fell five seats short of a majority even with the support of United Left (IU). As a result, PP leader Jorge Azcón was able to become new regional president through a coalition with Vox.
Overview
Electoral system
The Cortes of Aragon were the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Aragon, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Aragonese Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[1] Voting for the Cortes was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in Aragon and in full enjoyment of their political rights. Amendments to the electoral law in 2022 abolished the "begged" or expat vote system (Шаблон:Lang-es), under which Spaniards abroad were required to apply for voting before being permitted to vote.[2] The expat vote system was attributed responsibility for a major decrease in the turnout of Spaniards abroad during the years it had been in force.[3]
The 67 members of the Cortes of Aragon were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of three percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied in each constituency. Seats were allocated to constituencies, corresponding to the provinces of Huesca, Teruel and Zaragoza, with each being allocated an initial minimum of 13 seats and the remaining 28 being distributed in proportion to their populations (provided that the seat-to-population ratio in the most populated province did not exceed 2.75 times that of the least populated one).[1][4]
As a result of the aforementioned allocation, each Cortes constituency was entitled the following seats:[5]
| Seats | Constituencies |
|---|---|
| 35 | Zaragoza |
| 18 | Huesca |
| 14 | Teruel |
The use of the D'Hondt method might result in a higher effective threshold, depending on the district magnitude.[6]
Election date
The term of the Cortes of Aragon expired four years after the date of their previous election, unless they were dissolved earlier. The election decree was required to be issued no later than the twenty-fifth day prior to the date of expiry of parliament and published on the following day in the Official Gazette of Aragon (BOA), with election day taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication. The previous election was held on 26 May 2019, which meant that the legislature's term would have expired on 26 May 2023. The election decree was required to be published in the BOA no later than 2 May 2023, with the election taking place on the fifty-fourth day from publication, setting the latest possible election date for the Assembly on Sunday, 25 June 2023.[1][4][7]
The president had the prerogative to dissolve the Cortes of Aragon and call a snap election, provided that no motion of no confidence was in process and that dissolution did not occur before one year had elapsed since the previous one. In the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot, the Cortes were to be automatically dissolved and a fresh election called.[1]
In November 2021, following emerging speculation on possible snap elections in Andalusia and Castile and León to be called by the spring of 2022,[8] as well as a similar move in the Valencian Community being considered by Valencian president Ximo Puig,[9] it transpired that Lambán had been evaluating the opportunity of a simultaneous early election in Aragon in order to catch the regional People's Party (PP) leaderless and off-guard and to benefit from an improving economic situation.[10] Lambán himself ruled out such possibility on 11 November and maintained that the election would be held in May 2023.[11]
The Cortes of Aragon were officially dissolved on 4 April 2023 after the publication of the dissolution decree in the BOA, setting the election date for 28 May and scheduling for the chamber to reconvene on 23 June.[5]
Parliamentary composition
The table below shows the composition of the parliamentary groups in the Cortes at the time of dissolution.[12]
| Groups | Parties | Legislators | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seats | Total | ||||
| width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Socialist Parliamentary Group | width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | PSOE | 24 | 24 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | People's Parliamentary Group in the Cortes of Aragon | width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | PP | 16 | 16 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Citizens–Party of the Citizenry Parliamentary Group | bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | CS | 12 | 12 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | We Can–Equo Aragon Parliamentary Group | bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Podemos | 5 | 5 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Aragonese Union Parliamentary Group | bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | CHA | 3 | 3 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Vox Parliamentary Group in Aragon | bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Vox | 3 | 3 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Aragonese Parliamentary Group | bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | PAR | 3 | 3 |
| Mixed Parliamentary Group | bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | IU | 1 | 1 | |
Parties and candidates
The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the constituencies for which they sought election, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[4][7]
Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:
In September 2021, citizen collectives of the so-called "Empty Spain" (Шаблон:Lang-es or España Vaciada), a coined term to refer to Spain's rural and largely unpopulated interior provinces,[30] agreed to look forward for formulas to contest the next elections in Spain, inspired by the success of the Teruel Existe candidacy (Spanish for "Teruel Exists") in the November 2019 Spanish general election.[31] By December 2021, the platform was seeking to field candidacies in all three Aragonese provinces ahead of the next regional election.[32]
Campaign
Election debates
| Date | Organisers | Moderator(s) | Шаблон:Smaller Шаблон:Colors Шаблон:Smaller | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSOE | PP | CS–TA | Podemos | CHA | Vox | PAR | IU | Existe | Audience | Шаблон:Abbr | |||
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | |||||
| 15 May | Aragón TV | Ana Laiglesia | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | Шаблон:Yes | 10.6% | [33] |
Opinion polls
The tables below list opinion polling results in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll.
Graphical summary
Voting intention estimates
The table below lists weighted voting intention estimates. Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of "don't know" responses and those not intending to vote may vary between polling organisations. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 34 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Cortes of Aragon.
Voting preferences
The table below lists raw, unweighted voting preferences.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | PSOE | PP | CS | Podemos | CHA | Vox | PAR | IU | Файл:UPsimbol.svg | Mas País–CHA–Equo | Existe | Шаблон:Qmark | Шаблон:Cross | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | ||||||
| 2023 regional election | 28 May 2023 | Шаблон:N/A | 19.9 | Шаблон:Party shading/PP| 23.9 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 3.4 | 7.6 | 1.4 | 2.1 | – | – | 3.4 | Шаблон:N/A | 30.8 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 4.0 |
| CIS[p 17] | 10–26 Apr 2023 | 1,556 | 22.1 | Шаблон:Party shading/PP| 25.2 | 0.7 | 4.2 | 3.0 | 5.4 | 0.9 | 2.6 | – | – | 2.2 | 26.6 | 3.4 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 3.1 |
| CIS[p 36] | 17 Nov–2 Dec 2022 | 324 | Шаблон:Party shading/PSOE| 28.7 | 17.0 | 0.9 | Шаблон:Efn | 2.6 | 4.8 | – | Шаблон:Efn | 5.0 | – | 2.6 | 29.3 | 4.5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 11.7 |
| November 2019 general election | 10 Nov 2019 | Шаблон:N/A | Шаблон:Party shading/PSOE| 21.8 | 16.9 | 6.1 | Шаблон:Efn | 0.2 | 12.1 | 0.0 | Шаблон:Efn | 7.6 | 2.3 | 2.0 | Шаблон:N/A | 28.5 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 4.9 |
| 2019 regional election | 26 May 2019 | Шаблон:N/A | Шаблон:Party shading/PSOE| 20.8 | 14.1 | 11.3 | 5.5 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 3.4 | 2.2 | – | – | – | Шаблон:N/A | 31.9 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 6.7 |
Preferred President
The table below lists opinion polling on leader preferences to become president of the Government of Aragon.
Predicted President
The table below lists opinion polling on the perceived likelihood for each leader to become president.
| Polling firm/Commissioner | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Файл:Javier Lambán 2021 (cropped).jpg | Файл:Jorge Azcón 2019b (cropped).jpg | Other/ None/ Not care |
Шаблон:Qmark | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | ||||||
| Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | ||||||
| A+M/Heraldo de Aragón[p 56] | 14–18 Jan 2023 | 1,400 | Шаблон:Party shading/PSOE| 29.8 | 28.4 | 41.8 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 1.4 | |
Results
Overall
| Parties and alliances | Popular vote | Seats | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | % | ±pp | Total | +/− | ||
| width="1" bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | People's Party (PP) | 237,817 | 35.51 | +14.64 | 28 | +12 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) | 197,919 | 29.55 | –1.29 | 23 | –1 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Vox (Vox) | 75,349 | 11.25 | +5.17 | 7 | +4 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Aragonese Union (CHA) | 34,163 | 5.10 | –1.16 | 3 | ±0 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Exists Coalition (Existe) | 33,190 | 4.96 | New | 3 | +3 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | We Can–Green Alliance (Podemos–AV) | 26,923 | 4.02 | –4.09 | 1 | –4 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | United Left of Aragon (IU) | 20,959 | 3.13 | –0.19 | 1 | ±0 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Aragonese Party (PAR) | 13,988 | 2.09 | –2.99 | 1 | –2 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Citizens–You Aragon (CS–Tú Aragón) | 8,595 | 1.28 | –15.39 | 0 | –12 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Animalist Party with the Environment (PACMA)1 | 3,343 | 0.50 | –0.18 | 0 | ±0 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Blank Seats to Leave Empty Seats (EB) | 2,860 | 0.43 | +0.21 | 0 | ±0 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Federation of Independents of Aragon (FIA) | 1,248 | 0.19 | +0.07 | 0 | ±0 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Greens Equo (Equo) | 1,156 | 0.17 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Communist Party of the Workers of Spain (PCTE) | 878 | 0.13 | +0.05 | 0 | ±0 |
| bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color"| | Lower Cinca Between Everyone (ETXSBC) | 541 | 0.08 | New | 0 | ±0 |
| Blank ballots | 10,846 | 1.62 | +0.64 | |||
| Total | 669,775 | 67 | ±0 | |||
| Valid votes | 669,775 | 98.77 | –0.56 | |||
| Invalid votes | 8,337 | 1.23 | +0.56 | |||
| Votes cast / turnout | 678,112 | 66.54 | +0.38 | |||
| Abstentions | 340,938 | 33.46 | –0.38 | |||
| Registered voters | 1,019,050 | |||||
| Sources[12][34] | ||||||
| Шаблон:Hidden | ||||||
Distribution by constituency
| Constituency | PP | PSOE | Vox | CHA | Existe | Podemos | IU | PAR | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | colspan="2" style="background:Шаблон:Party color"| | |||||||||
| % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | % | S | |
| Huesca | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 35.2 | 8 | 30.1 | 7 | 10.1 | 2 | 5.5 | 1 | 3.2 | − | 3.9 | − | 2.6 | − | 3.3 | − |
| Teruel | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 31.1 | 5 | 22.8 | 4 | 10.5 | 1 | 2.0 | − | 20.7 | 3 | 1.9 | − | 2.2 | − | 6.5 | 1 |
| Zaragoza | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 36.2 | 15 | 30.5 | 12 | 11.6 | 4 | 5.5 | 2 | 3.0 | − | 4.4 | 1 | 3.4 | 1 | 1.1 | − |
| Total | style="background:Шаблон:Party color; color:white;"| 35.5 | 28 | 29.6 | 23 | 11.2 | 7 | 5.1 | 3 | 5.0 | 3 | 4.0 | 1 | 3.1 | 1 | 2.1 | 1 |
| Sources[34] | ||||||||||||||||
Aftermath
| Investiture Jorge Azcón (PP) | ||
| Ballot → | 10 August 2023 | |
|---|---|---|
| Required majority → | 34 out of 67 Шаблон:Tick | |
| Шаблон:Collapsible list | Шаблон:Composition bar | |
| Шаблон:Collapsible list | Шаблон:Composition bar | |
| Abstentions | Шаблон:Composition bar | |
| Absentees | Шаблон:Composition bar | |
| Sources[35] | ||
Notes
References
- Opinion poll sources
- Other
Шаблон:Aragonese elections Шаблон:Regional elections in Spain in the 2020s
- ↑ 1,0 1,1 1,2 1,3 Шаблон:Cite act
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 4,0 4,1 4,2 Шаблон:Cite act
- ↑ 5,0 5,1 Шаблон:Cite journal
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 7,0 7,1 Шаблон:Cite act
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 12,0 12,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 34,0 34,1 Шаблон:Cite journal
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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