Английская Википедия:2023 Nigerian presidential election in Bayelsa State
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The 2023 Nigerian presidential election in Bayelsa State will be held on 25 February 2023 as part of the nationwide 2023 Nigerian presidential election to elect the president and vice president of Nigeria.[1] Other federal elections, including elections to the House of Representatives and the Senate, will also be held on the same date while state elections will be held two weeks afterward on 11 March.
Background
Bayelsa State is a small state in the South South mainly populated by Ijaw peoples; although its oil reserves make it one of the most resource-rich states in the nation, Bayelsa has faced challenges in security and environmental degradation in large part due to years of systemic corruption and illegal oil bunkering.
Politically, the state's early 2019 elections were categorized as the continuation of the PDP's dominance albeit with the APC making considerable gains by gaining one senate and two House of Representatives seats. The APC also gained ground in the assembly election and Bayelsa also was the state that swung the most towards Buhari in the presidential election, although that could be chalked up to former Governor Goodluck Jonathan no longer being PDP nominee. Later in 2019, the swing towards the APC dramatically increased as its gubernatorial nominee David Lyon won by a large margin but Diri was declared victor after Lyon was disqualified before the inauguration.
Polling
| Polling organisation/client | Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Файл:Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu (5980497975) (Cropped).png | Файл:Peter Obi.png | Шаблон:CSS image crop | Файл:Atiku Abubakar-2010 (cropped).jpg | Others | Undecided | Undisclosed | Not voting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tinubu APC |
Obi LP |
Kwankwaso NNPP |
Abubakar PDP | |||||||
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color" | | |||||||
| BantuPage | January 2023 | N/A | 9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Labour Party (Nigeria)|27% | 2% | 13% | – | 13% | 20% | 16% |
| Nextier (Bayelsa crosstabs of national poll) |
27 January 2023 | N/A | 11.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Labour Party (Nigeria)|62.9% | – | 20.0% | – | 5.7% | – | – |
| SBM Intelligence for EiE (Bayelsa crosstabs of national poll) |
22 January-6 February 2023 | N/A | 9% | 41% | – | 47% | – | 2% | – | – |
Projections
| Source | Projection | As of | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Nowrap[2] | Lean Obi | 24 February 2023 | |
| DataphyteШаблон:Efn[3] | |||
| Tinubu: | 20.87% | 11 February 2023 | |
| Obi: | Шаблон:Party shading/Labour Party (Nigeria)| 45.03% | ||
| Abubakar: | 28.05% | ||
| Others: | 6.05% | ||
| Enough is Enough- Шаблон:Nowrap |
Abubakar | 17 February 2023 | |
| SBM IntelligenceШаблон:Efn[4] | Abubakar | 15 December 2022 | |
| ThisDayШаблон:Efn[5] | |||
| Tinubu: | 20% | 27 December 2022 | |
| Obi: | 30% | ||
| Kwankwaso: | – | ||
| Abubakar: | 40% | ||
| Others/Undecided: | 10% | ||
| Шаблон:Nowrap | Abubakar | 12-19 February 2023 | |
General election
Results
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By senatorial district
The results of the election by senatorial district.
| Senatorial District | Bola Tinubu APC |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Others | Total Valid Votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | ||
| Bayelsa Central Senatorial DistrictШаблон:Efn | 18,438 | 21.72% | 30,056 | 35.40% | 413 | 0.49% | 34,560 | 40.70% | 1,439 | 1.69% | 84,906 |
| Bayelsa East Senatorial DistrictШаблон:Efn | 15,133 | 35.79% | 10,801 | 25.55% | 87 | 0.21% | 14,905 | 35.26% | 1,351 | 3.20% | 42,277 |
| Bayelsa West Senatorial DistrictШаблон:Efn | 9,001 | 23.60% | 9,118 | 23.91% | 40 | 0.10% | 19,353 | 50.74% | 630 | 1.65% | 38,142 |
| Totals | 42,572 | 25.75% | 49,975 | 30.23% | 540 | 0.33% | 68,818 | 41.62% | 3,420 | 2.07% | 165,325 |
By federal constituency
The results of the election by federal constituency.
| Federal Constituency | Bola Tinubu APC |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Others | Total Valid Votes | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | ||
| Brass/Nembe Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn | 6,689 | 33.68% | 4,080 | 20.54% | 40 | 0.20% | 8,543 | 43.02% | 508 | 2.56% | 19,860 |
| Ogbia Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn | 8,444 | 37.67% | 6,721 | 29.98% | 47 | 0.21% | 6,362 | 28.38% | 843 | 3.76% | 22,417 |
| Sagbama/Ekeremor Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn | 9,001 | 23.60% | 9,118 | 23.91% | 40 | 0.10% | 19,353 | 50.74% | 630 | 1.65% | 38,142 |
| Southern Ijaw Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn | 7,650 | 32.22% | 4,400 | 18.53% | 190 | 0.80% | 11,280 | 47.51% | 224 | 0.94% | 23,744 |
| Yenagoa/Kolokuna/Opokuma Federal ConstituencyШаблон:Efn | 10,788 | 17.64% | 25,656 | 41.95% | 223 | 0.36% | 23,280 | 38.06% | 1,215 | 1.99% | 61,162 |
| Totals | 42,572 | 25.75% | 49,975 | 30.23% | 540 | 0.33% | 68,818 | 41.62% | 3,420 | 2.07% | 165,325 |
By local government area
The results of the election by local government area.
| LGA | Bola Tinubu APC |
Peter Obi LP |
Rabiu Kwankwaso NNPP |
Atiku Abubakar PDP |
Others | Total Valid Votes | Turnout Percentage | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | Votes | Percentage | |||
| Brass[6] | 3,684 | 29.70% | 2,273 | 18.32% | 25 | 0.20% | 6,209 | 50.06% | 213 | 1.72% | 12,404 | 13.86% |
| Ekeremor[7] | 4,398 | 24.00% | 4,489 | 24.49% | 16 | 0.09% | 9,113 | 49.73% | 310 | 1.69% | 18,326 | 13.71% |
| Kolokuma/Opokuma[8] | 4,137 | 24.63% | 3,395 | 20.21% | 34 | 0.20% | 8,972 | 53.42% | 259 | 1.54% | 16,797 | 26.65% |
| Nembe[9] | 3,005 | 40.30% | 1,807 | 24.24% | 15 | 0.20% | 2,334 | 31.30% | 295 | 3.96% | 7,456 | 7.81% |
| Ogbia[10] | 8,444 | 37.67% | 6,721 | 29.98% | 47 | 0.21% | 6,362 | 28.38% | 843 | 3.76% | 22,417 | 20.89% |
| Sagbama[11] | 4,603 | 23.23% | 4,629 | 23.36% | 24 | 0.12% | 10,240 | 51.68% | 320 | 1.61% | 19,816 | 17.13% |
| Southern Ijaw[12] | 7,650 | 32.22% | 4,400 | 18.53% | 190 | 0.80% | 11,280 | 47.51% | 224 | 0.94% | 23,744 | 13.50% |
| Yenagoa[13] | 6,651 | 14.99% | 22,261 | 50.18% | 189 | 0.43% | 14,308 | 32.25% | 956 | 2.15% | 44,365 | 21.41% |
| Totals | 42,572 | 25.75% | 49,975 | 30.23% | 540 | 0.33% | 68,818 | 41.62% | 3,420 | 2.07% | 165,325 | 16.38% |
See also
Notes
References
Шаблон:Reflist Шаблон:2023 Nigeria elections Шаблон:Elections in Bayelsa State
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