Английская Википедия:2024 California's 45th congressional district election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Broader Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in California The 2024 California's 45th congressional district election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the United States Representative for California's 45th congressional district, concurrently with elections for the other U.S. House districts in California and the rest of the country, as well as the 2024 U.S. Senate race in California, other elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary election will be held on March 5, 2024, concurrently with the Super Tuesday presidential primaries.

Based in Orange County and Los Angeles County, the 45th district contains all of Fountain Valley, Westminster, Garden Grove, Cypress, Buena Park, Cerritos, Artesia, La Palma, Placentia, Hawaiian Gardens, Los Alamitos, and Rossmoor, as well as portions of Brea, Lakewood, Fullerton, and Yorba Linda.[1] One-third of all registered voters in the district are Asian American, with Vietnamese Americans alone comprising 16% of the district's voters.[2]

The incumbent is Republican Michelle Steel, who was re-elected with 52.4% of the vote in 2022. Steel, who is Korean American, was first elected in 2020, unseating incumbent Democrat Harley Rouda. She previously served as a member of the Orange County Board of Supervisors and the California State Board of Equalization.

The race is expected to be highly competitive. Both House Democrats and House Republicans have listed California's 45th district among their highest-priority districts in the 2024 election.[3][4] Joe Biden carried this district by a 6% margin in the 2020 presidential election.[5] Steel is one of 18 House Republicans representing a Biden-won district.[6]

Candidates

Шаблон:Multiple image

Declared

Filed paperwork

  • Brian Forde (Democratic)[11]

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

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Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate Raised Spent Cash on hand
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Michelle Steel (R) $3,201,388Шаблон:Efn $1,277,364 $2,380,560
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Cheyenne Hunt (D) $272,211Шаблон:Efn $127,644 $144,566
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Kim Bernice Nguyen-
Penaloza (D)
$206,844 $157,445 $49,398
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Aditya Pai (D) $146,239Шаблон:Efn $105,269 $40,870
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Jimmy Pham (D)Шаблон:Efn $29,899Шаблон:Efn $29,899 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[16]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[17] Шаблон:USRaceRating February 2, 2023
Inside Elections[18] Шаблон:USRaceRating March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[19] Шаблон:USRaceRating February 23, 2023
Elections Daily[20] Шаблон:USRaceRating June 8, 2023
CNalysis[21] Шаблон:USRaceRating November 16, 2023

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
of error
Cheyenne
Hunt (D)
Шаблон:Small Aditya
Pai (D)
Michelle
Steel (R)
Derek
Tran (D)
Undecided
Tulchin ResearchШаблон:Efn-ua November 13–19, 2023 500 (LV) ± 4.9% 6% 10% 2% Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|39% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|11% Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|32%

Notes

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Partisan clients

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References

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External links

Official campaign websites

Шаблон:2024 United States elections Шаблон:Elections in California footer