Английская Википедия:2024 California's 47th congressional district election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Broader Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in California The 2024 California's 47th congressional district election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the United States Representative for California's 47th congressional district, concurrently with elections for the other U.S. House districts in California and the rest of the country, as well as the 2024 U.S. Senate race in California, other elections to the United States Senate, and various state and local elections. The primary election will be held on March 5, 2024, concurrently with the Super Tuesday presidential primaries. The Southern California-based 47th district is centered in Orange County and includes the cities of Costa Mesa, Huntington Beach, Irvine, Newport Beach, and Seal Beach, as well as portions of Laguna Beach, Laguna Hills, and Laguna Woods.

The incumbent is Democrat Katie Porter, who was re-elected with 51.7% of the vote in 2022. She is not seeking re-election, instead choosing to run for the U.S. Senate. Porter was first elected in 2018, unseating incumbent Republican Mimi Walters. She later gained national fame for her progressive politics and frequently went viral for grilling corporate executives during congressional hearings.

The candidates leading in fundraising are state senator Dave Min and community activist Joanna Weiss, both Democrats, and former state assemblyman Scott Baugh and businessman Max Ukropina, both Republicans. Democratic former congressman Harley Rouda was previously in the race and led in fundraising, but dropped out due to complications from an injury. California State Board of Equalization member Mike Schaefer, also a Democrat, is a more recent entrant into the race.

The race is expected to be highly competitive as it is a slightly blue suburban district with no incumbent. Both House Democrats and House Republicans have listed California's 47th district among their highest-priority districts in the 2024 election. Democrat Joe Biden won the district with 54.5% of the vote in the 2020 presidential election.

Candidates

Declared

• Scott Baugh (Republican), former state assemblyman, former chair of the Orange County Republican Party, and runner-up for this district in 2022
• James Brian Griffin (Republican), real estate broker and candidate for the 48th district in 2020
• Dave Min (Democratic), state senator and candidate for this districtШаблон:Efn in 2018
• Mike Schaefer (Democratic), member of the California State Board of Equalization from the 4th district (2019–present)
• Max Ukropina (Republican), businessman and former congressional aide
• Joanna Weiss (Democratic), community activist

Filed paperwork

• Brian Burley (Republican), IT analyst and candidate for this district in 2022
• Lori Kirkland Baker (Democratic), Emmy-winning television producer

Withdrawn

• Julia Hashemieh (Republican), outpatient surgery company CEO
• Dom Jones (Democratic), gym owner and The Amazing Race 34 contestant (running for state assembly)
• Harley Rouda (Democratic), former U.S. Representative (endorsed Weiss)

Publicly expressed interest

• Steven Choi (Republican), former state assemblyman for the 68th district (2016–2022) and former mayor of Irvine (2012–2016)

Declined

• Katrina Foley (Democratic), Orange County supervisor (endorsed Rouda, then Weiss)
• Josh Newman (Democratic), state senator (running for re-election)
• Katie Porter (Democratic), incumbent U.S. Representative (running for U.S. Senate, endorsed Min)

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of September 30, 2023
Candidate	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Dom Jones (D)Шаблон:Efn	$9,135	$7,329	$636
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Dave Min (D)	$1,236,179	$410,636	$825,542
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|Joanna Weiss (D)	$1,231,555Шаблон:Efn	$398,916	$832,638
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Scott Baugh (R)	$1,500,882	$139,533	$1,374,856
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|James Brian Griffan (R)	$100	$64	$35
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|Max Ukropina (R)	$440,898	$117,801	$323,097
Source: Federal Election Commission

Polling

Scott Baugh vs. Dave Min

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Scott Baugh (R)	Dave Min (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 24–30, 2023	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43%	42%	15%
Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	June 14–15, 2023	555 (LV)	± 4.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|39%	37%	24%

Scott Baugh vs. Joanna Weiss

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Scott Baugh (R)	Joanna Weiss (D)	Undecided
Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua	October 24–30, 2023	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43%	15%

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	February 2, 2023
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	March 10, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	February 23, 2023
Elections Daily	Шаблон:USRaceRating	June 8, 2023
CNalysis	Шаблон:USRaceRating	November 16, 2023

External links

Official campaign websites

• Scott Baugh (R) for Congress
• James Brian Griffin (R) for Congress
• Dave Min (D) for Congress
• Max Ukropina (R) for Congress
• Joanna Weiss (D) for Congress