Английская Википедия:2024 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsIA

The 2024 Iowa Democratic presidential caucuses will be held as part of the Democratic Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election.

In this cycle, in-person caucuses focusing only on party business will be held on January 15, but voting on candidates would be done exclusively via mail-in ballots from January 12 until Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024. This was the result of a compromise between the Iowa Democratic Party and the Democratic National Committee (DNC). Iowa traditionally holds its race first during the presidential primary and caucuses season, but the DNC originally wanted South Carolina to instead hold its race first on February 3.

46 delegates to the Democratic National Convention will be allocated to presidential candidates.[1]

Incumbent President Joe Biden announced his bid for a second term on April 25, 2023.[2] He faces a primary challenge from author, progressive activist, and 2020 presidential candidate Marianne Williamson,[3] and Representative Dean Phillips.[4] All three candidates filed to appear on the mail-in ballot and were certified by the filing deadline on December 1, 2023 - along with a choice to vote for "Uncommitted".[5]

Scheduling controversy

President Joe Biden sent a letter on December 1, 2022, to the Democratic National Committee (DNC), requesting that "diversity" should be emphasized in the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries, shifting Iowa's traditional status of the first state to hold a caucus.[6] A December 2022 vote by the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee the following day approved the change.[7]

On February 4, 2023, the DNC approved a new 2024 primary calendar, moving South Carolina to hold its race first on February 3. Iowa, which traditionally goes first, would then be held later in the primary season. Members of the Iowa Democratic Party and the New Hampshire Democratic Party opposed the move, since they would no longer be the first two states to hold their races.[8] Lee Saunders, a member of the Rules and Bylaws Committee who was in favor of the change, said that adjusting the calendar will give a truer representation of the composition of the country.[9]

Under normal circumstances, the Iowa caucuses operate very differently from primary elections used in most other U.S. states. Instead of going to polling places to cast ballots, Iowans instead gather in-person at local caucus meetings to discuss and vote on the candidates, which are typically held at selected schools, churches, public libraries, or even individuals' houses. In response to the chaotic 2020 Iowa caucuses and the DNC's new rules and calendar, the Iowa Democratic Party initially planned to allow voting-by-mail for the first time, hoping to gain a better spot on the primary calendar through closely abiding by the new rules and enlarging their voter base. They speculate that in doing so they could take the spot of another planned early state that fails to meet the date expected by the DNC. However in early June 2023, the Republican-controlled state legislature and Iowa Governor Kim Reynolds signed a new bill into law requiring the caucuses to be held in person in order to force Iowa Democrats not to follow the DNC plan and to secure Iowa's first-in-the-nation status.[10] Iowa Democrats want to hold the caucus in person, select delegates and complete party business, fulfilling the law like that, while they would still organize the presidential preference vote by mail-in cards and officially declare the results during the later timeframe sanctioned by the DNC.[11]

On October 6, the DNC and the Iowa Democratic Party reached a compromise in which the in-person caucuses could still be held in January, but delegate-determining mail-in voting will be held until Super Tuesday, March 5.[12]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Joe
Biden
Dean
Phillips
Marianne
Williamson
Other Undecided
Emerson College Dec 15–17, 2023 263 (RV) ± 6.0% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | 69% 1% 5% 25%

Шаблон:Hidden begin

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Joe
Biden
Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Marianne
Williamson
Other Undecided
Emerson College September 7–9, 2023 273 (A) ± 5.9% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50% 9% 7% 34%Шаблон:Efn
Victory Insights April 8, 2021 600 (V) Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|63% 11%Шаблон:Efn 26%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
sizeШаблон:Efn
Margin
Шаблон:Nowrap
Pete
Buttigieg
Kamala
Harris
John
Kerry
Amy
Klobuchar
Michelle
Obama
Alexandria
Ocasio-Cortez
Bernie
Sanders
Elizabeth
Warren
Other Undecided
Victory Insights April 8, 2021 600 (V) 15% Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|28% 7% 9% 12% 2% 2% 3% 5% 16%

Шаблон:Hidden end

Results

The results of the mail-in vote are expected to be released on Super Tuesday, March 5, 2024.[13]

See also

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:2024 Democratic presidential primaries