Английская Википедия:2024 Republican Party presidential primaries

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Presidential primaries and caucuses are being organized by state Republican parties and legislatures to select their delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention, to determine the party's nominee for president in the 2024 U.S. presidential election. The elections will take place individually in all 50 U.S. states, the District of Columbia, and five U.S. territories, between January and June 2024. The 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled to be held in July at the Fiserv Forum in Milwaukee, Wisconsin.

Former President Donald Trump announced he would run on November 15, 2022. Former Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley became the first to follow his entrance on February 14, followed by wealth management executive Vivek Ramaswamy one week later, businessman Perry Johnson on March 2, former Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson on April 6, radio host Larry Elder on April 20, U.S. Senator Tim Scott on May 19, Florida governor Ron DeSantis on May 24, former Vice President Mike Pence on June 5, former New Jersey governor Chris Christie on June 6, North Dakota governor Doug Burgum on June 7, Miami mayor Francis Suarez on June 14, and former U.S. Representative Will Hurd on June 22. Suarez dropped out of the race in August, with Hurd, Johnson, Elder, and Pence following in October, along with Scott on November 12 and Burgum on December 4.

Trump is considered the frontrunner and has maintained a consistent lead in primary polling since 2020. Some Republicans have expressed concerns about his nomination due to his loss in 2020, his ongoing criminal investigations, and the results of the 2022 midterms, in which several Trump-endorsed candidates lost key races and cost the party a widely anticipated red wave. However, many others have supported him and decried the investigations as politically motivated. Among non-Trump candidates, DeSantis initially polled in a close second behind Trump, but his polling numbers fell significantly in 2023, bringing him closer to the other candidates. Ramaswamy experienced a surge in polling during the same time period; by August, he was beginning to outpace DeSantis in some polls. However, Ramaswamy saw his own polling decline over the next several months, with Haley taking the third-place polling spot by October. As of December 2023, Trump remains far ahead. The Republican primary has been called a "race for second" due to Trump's consistent and prohibitive lead in polling.

Trump is the first president to run after leaving office since Herbert Hoover in 1940; if he wins the Republican nomination, he will be the first Republican to be nominated for president three separate times since Richard Nixon (Republican nominee in 1960, 1968, and 1972), and the first person to be the Republican presidential nominee in three consecutive elections. If he wins the general election, he will be the first president to serve non-consecutive terms since Grover Cleveland, who won his second term in 1892. Meanwhile, Pence's candidacy made him the first vice president to run against the president under whom they served since John Nance Garner in 1940, while Burgum was the first person born in North Dakota to run for a major party's presidential nomination.

On December 19, 2023, the state of Colorado disqualified Trump from its primary ballot after the state's Supreme Court found he was ineligible under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment. Trump will remain on the ballot pending an appeal. The Colorado Republican Party is considering holding a caucus in place of the state-sanctioned primary if the decision stands.

Candidates

Шаблон:Main As of December 2023, more than 300 candidates have filed with the Federal Election Commission (FEC) to run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2024. In previous cycles, the majority of these candidates did not appear on any ballots, raise money, or otherwise attempt to formally run a campaign.

Timeline

2021

December 2021

On December 2, perennial candidate John Anthony Castro announced his campaign for the presidency in a tweet and said that he'd sue Donald Trump to have him judicially declared ineligible for public office.

2022

March 2022

On March 10, 2022, former Montana Secretary of State Corey Stapleton announced he was forming an exploratory committee for the Republican nomination in 2024.

November 2022

Three days after the 2022 midterm elections, Stapleton confirmed his candidacy for the presidency in 2024.

A week after the 2022 midterm elections, at Mar-a-Lago, former president Donald Trump announced that he would run again for the presidency in 2024. If elected, he would become the only president other than Grover Cleveland to serve two non-consecutive terms.

2023

February 2023

On February 2, former Cranston, Rhode Island mayor Steve Laffey announced he was entering the race in a video statement.

On February 14, former South Carolina governor and former U.N. ambassador Nikki Haley released a video announcing her presidential candidacy.

On February 21, businessman Vivek Ramaswamy announced his presidential candidacy on Tucker Carlson Tonight.

March 2023

On March 2, businessman Perry Johnson, a Michigan gubernatorial candidate in 2022, who had been deemed ineligible to appear on the primary ballot by the Board of State Canvassers due to alleged fraudulent signatures, announced his intent to run for president of the United States.

April 2023

On April 1, businessman and pastor Ryan Binkley filed to run with the Federal Election Commission.

On April 2, former Arkansas governor Asa Hutchinson announced his candidacy during an interview with ABC News' Jonathan Karl.

On April 6, Hutchinson filed his run with the Federal Election Commission.

On April 12, the junior U.S. Senator from South Carolina Tim Scott announced an exploratory committee to run for president.

On April 20, former California gubernatorial candidate Larry Elder announced his campaign on Tucker Carlson Tonight.

On April 23, Binkley announced his presidential campaign at the University of Texas at Dallas campus.

May 2023

On May 19, Tim Scott submitted FEC paperwork to run; he announced his presidential run publicly on May 22.

On May 24, Florida governor and former U.S. representative Ron DeSantis submitted his FEC paperwork to run, and announced that he was running for president during a Twitter Spaces interview with Twitter owner Elon Musk.

June 2023

On June 5, former Vice President Mike Pence filed paperwork to run for president and North Dakota governor Doug Burgum released a campaign video.

On June 6, Burgum published an announcement opinion-editorial piece announcing his presidential run in the Wall Street Journal, making him the first person born in North Dakota to seek a major party's president nomination.Шаблон:Efn The same day, former New Jersey governor and 2016 presidential candidate Chris Christie publicly announced a presidential campaign in New Hampshire.

On June 7, Pence publicly announced his bid with a campaign video. Also, Burgum delivered a public announcement speech in Fargo.

On June 14, Miami mayor Francis Suarez filed his run with the Federal Election Commission. He delivered a speech the next day at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library to publicly announce his campaign, as four other Republicans in the race had done in the last year.

On June 22, former CIA agent and representative of Texas Will Hurd launched a run, after previously expressing interest in launching a presidential bid.

July 2023

On July 14, pastor E. W. Jackson announced his candidacy.

August 2023

On August 1, Donald Trump was indicted a third time for trying to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election.

On August 14, Donald Trump was indicted a fourth time for trying to overturn the results of the 2020 presidential election in the state of Georgia.

Trump said he would not attend the first debate, and instead planned a show with Tucker Carlson during the same time slot.

On August 21, the slate of candidates that officially qualified for the debate was released: Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Asa Hutchinson, Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Tim Scott.

On August 23, the first Republican candidates debate took place in Milwaukee, broadcast by Fox News. To be eligible for this debate, a candidate must have polled at least one percent, received donations from 40,000 individuals, and signed a loyalty pledge to back whoever ultimately wins the party presidential nomination. Candidates deemed eligible for the debate were Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Asa Hutchinson, Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy and Tim Scott. Trump did not participate in the debate, instead filming an interview with Tucker Carlson that was released minutes before the debate was scheduled to begin.

On August 29, Francis Suarez suspended his presidential campaign, becoming the first major candidate to do so.

September 2023

On September 18, Donald Trump's campaign announced that he would be giving a speech in Detroit before striking United Auto Workers union members at the same time as the second debate in California. However, United Auto Workers president Shawn Fain pointed out that Trump's speech was being held at a non-union plant whose workers were not connected to the strike.

On September 20, a senior advisor to the Trump campaign told Bloomberg News that Trump plans to skip the third debate in Miami.

On September 26, the slate of candidates that qualified and would attend are: Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Tim Scott, Vivek Ramaswamy, Mike Pence, Chris Christie and Doug Burgum. Asa Hutchinson, who appeared for the first debate, did not qualify.

On September 27, the second Republican presidential debate took place at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in Simi Valley, California. The requirements to attend the debate were to be polling at three percent in at least three reputable national polls, while the donor requirement increases to 50,000 unique donations.

October 2023

On October 2, the Supreme Court of the United States declined to hear John Anthony Castro's case to disqualify Donald Trump from appearing on the ballot.

On October 6, former Cranston, Rhode Island mayor Steve Laffey dropped out of the race.

On October 9, former Representative Will Hurd withdrew from the race.

On October 13, former Montana Secretary of State Corey Stapleton dropped out of the race.

On October 17, judge for the United States District Court for the District of Columbia, Tanya S. Chutkan, issued a gag order on Donald Trump from targeting prosecutors, court staff or “any reasonably foreseeable witness” marking the first time in U.S. history where the speech of a presidential candidate was limited by the courts.

On October 20, businessman Perry Johnson suspended his campaign. Additionally, Judge Chutkan lifted the gag order on Donald Trump to allow Trump's legal team to appeal the order.

On October 26, former talk radio show host Larry Elder suspended his campaign and endorsed Trump.

On October 28, former Vice President of the United States Mike Pence suspended his campaign.

On October 30, Judge Chutkan reinstated the gag order on Donald Trump.

November 2023

On November 3, the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit lifted the gag order on Donald Trump until at least November 20, when oral arguments for or against the gag order will be heard by a three judge panel.

On November 6, the RNC announced that the following candidates qualified for the third presidential debate; Donald Trump, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Vivek Ramaswamy, Chris Christie and Tim Scott. The criteria to qualifiy for the third debate were having more than 70,000 unique donations and polling at 4% or better in national polls and local polls in Iowa or New Hampshire.

On November 8, the third Republican presidential debate took place in Miami, Florida.

On November 12, Tim Scott, U.S. Senator from South Carolina, dropped out of the race.

On November 20, the United States Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit reached a compromise between Trump and Chutkan, issuing a narrow gag order preventing Trump from "insulting" prosecutors, court personnel and potential witnesses, but allowing him to speak freely about outside counsel and issues relating to his presidential campaign.

On November 27, the suspension of the gag order on Donald Trump in relation to his civil fraud case in New York expired. Trump, through his legal team, argued that the Attorney General of New York, Letitia James, was directly and partisanly influencing the proceedings mostly by tracking her donations to the case's judge, Arthur Engoron, as well as her frequent "consultations" with Engoron on the case, concluding that she pressured the judge into not renewing the suspension and to not allow an appeal of the gag order to a panel of judges.

On November 30, DeSantis debated Democratic California Governor Gavin Newsom.

December 2023

On December 4, Governor of North Dakota Doug Burgum announced his withdrawal from the race.

On December 6, the fourth Republican presidential debate took place at the University of Alabama in Tuscaloosa, Alabama. Christie, DeSantis, Haley and Ramaswamy all qualified for the debate.

On December 19, 2023, after a ruling by the Colorado Supreme Court, Colorado became the first and currently only state to disqualify former President Donald Trump from its primary ballot under Section 3 of the 14th Amendment. Trump will remain on the ballot pending an appeal. The Colorado Republican Party is considering holding a caucus in place of the state-sanctioned primary if the decision stands.

2024

January 2024

On January 10, the fifth Republican presidential debate will be held at Drake University in Des Moines, hosted by CNN. The requirements to attend are: finishing in the top three in local polls in Iowa, and be polling at at least 10% in both national and local polls.

On January 15, the first election of the cycle takes place with the 2024 Iowa Republican presidential caucuses.

On January 18, the sixth Republican debate will be hosted by ABC News.

On January 21, the seventh Republican presidential debate will be held at St. Anselm College in Goffstown, New Hampshire, hosted by CNN. The requirements to attend are similar to the fifth debate, however, the local polls must be in New Hampshire.

The 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary will be the first official primary in the nation, taking place on January 23, 2024.

Overview

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	Active campaign		Exploratory committee		Withdrawn candidate		Republican National Convention
	Midterm elections		Debates		Primaries

Debates

Шаблон:Main The first Republican debate was held on August 23, hosted by Fox News and moderated by Bret Baier and Martha MacCallum. To be eligible for the debate, a candidate must have polled with at least 1% of voter support, received donations from 40,000 individuals, and signed a loyalty pledge to back whoever ultimately wins the party presidential nomination. Doug Burgum, Chris Christie, Ron DeSantis, Nikki Haley, Asa Hutchinson, Mike Pence, Vivek Ramaswamy, and Tim Scott all qualified for the first debate. Donald Trump gave an interview with Tucker Carlson during the same time slot.

The second Republican debate was held on September 27, in Simi Valley, California, at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library. The requirements were similar to the first debate, but increased the number of individual donors required to 50,000 and required the candidates to poll at or above three percent in two national polls or in one national poll and two "early state" polls. Seven candidates were invited to the second debate: Burgum, Christie, DeSantis, Haley, Pence, Ramaswamy, and Scott.

The third debate was held in Miami, Florida, on November 8. The donor threshold for the third debate increases to 70,000 unique donors, including 200 donors in 20 or more states, while the polling threshold increases to four percent in two national polls or four percent in one national poll and four percent in two statewide polls in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, or South Carolina. Christie, DeSantis, Haley, Ramaswamy, and Scott qualified for the third debate.

A fourth debate was held in Tuscaloosa, Alabama, on December 6. The donor threshold increased to 80,000 unique donors, while the polling threshold increased to six percent in two national polls, or six percent in one national poll and six percent in two polls from different states among Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, or South Carolina.

Opinion polling

Файл:Nationwide opinion polling for the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries.svg

Local regression graph of all polls conducted since January 2023.

Campaign finance

Шаблон:Main This is an overview of the money used by each campaign as it is reported to the Federal Election Commission (FEC). Totals raised include individual contributions, loans from the candidate, and transfers from other campaign committees. Individual contributions are itemized (catalogued) by the FEC when the total value of contributions by an individual comes to more than $200. The last column, Cash On Hand, shows the remaining cash each campaign had available for its future spending as of September 30, 2023. Campaign finance reports for the fourth quarter of 2023 will become available on January 15, 2024.

This table does not include contributions made to Super PACs or party committees supporting the candidate. Each value is rounded up to the nearest dollar.

Overview of campaign financing for candidates in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries

through September 30, 2023

Candidate	Total raised	Total raised since Шаблон:Abbr	Individual contributions			Debt	Spent	Spent since Шаблон:Abbr	Cash on hand
			Total	Шаблон:Abbr	Шаблон:Abbr
Christie	$5,439,033	$3,782,647	$5,405,108	$1,515,736	28.0%	$0	$1,523,814	$1,457,602	$3,915,219
DeSantis	$31,647,462	$11,159,968	$29,053,203	$5,587,634	19.2%	$1,089,428	$19,320,557	$11,073,186	$12,326,905
Haley	$18,709,236	$8,240,333	$14,115,020	$3,413,529	24.2%	$0	$7,157,544	$3,502,174	$11,551,692
Hutchinson	$1,249,302	$666,781	$1,127,734	$466,918	41.4%	$0	$924,015	$720,172	$325,287
Ramaswamy	$26,609,180	$7,444,499	$9,560,937	$4,466,614	46.7%	$15,250,000	$22,361,303	$12,227,262	$4,247,877
Trump	$60,523,078	$24,535,602	$198,506	$48,495	24.4%	$295,222	$22,981,118	$9,510,032	$37,541,961
Burgum	$15,179,666	$3,411,365	$2,935,366	$593,430	20.2%	$12,200,653	$12,857,090	$4,742,728	$2,322,576
Elder	$1,437,945	$970,414	$1,412,068	$958,737	63.7%	$0	$1,193,444	$1,050,530	$244,501
Hurd	$1,452,538	$1,179,025	$1,449,065	$731,948	50.5%	$0	$1,229,463	$1,201,069	$223,074
Johnson	$14,569,477	$5,762,284	$147,720	$0	0%	$12,502,240	$13,441,587	$7,174,976	$1,127,750
Pence	$4,525,729	$3,356,996	$4,345,294	$1,830,940	42.1%	$621,445	$3,344,277	$3,269,934	$1,181,451
Scott	$13,048,548	$4,597,516	$11,085,680	$3,676,600	33.2%	$927,827	$21,902,702	$12,374,262	$13,330,124Шаблон:Efn
Suarez	$1,425,517	$480,067	$1,425,517	$125,798	8.8%	$35,903	$1,365,124	$1,318,524	$60,393

Primaries and caucus calendar

Caucuses and primaries in the 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries

Date	Total delegates		Primaries/caucuses
January 15	40		Iowa caucus
January 23	22		New Hampshire primary
February 6	-		Nevada primaryШаблон:Efn
February 8	35	26 9	Nevada caucus Virgin Islands caucus
February 24	50		South Carolina primary
February 27	55		Michigan primary
March 2	86	32 54	Idaho caucus Missouri caucus
March 1–3	19		District of Columbia primary
March 4	29		North Dakota caucus
March 5 (Super Tuesday)	874	49 28 9 40 169 37 20 40 39 75 43 58 162 40 17 48	Alabama primary Alaska primary American Samoa caucus Arkansas primary California primary Colorado primary Maine primary Massachusetts primary Minnesota primary North Carolina primary Oklahoma primary Tennessee primary Texas primary Utah primary Vermont primary Virginia primary
March 9	9		Guam caucus
March 10	32	9 23	Northern Marianas caucus Puerto Rico primary
March 12	160	59 19 39 43	Georgia primary Hawaii caucus Mississippi primary Washington primary
March 19	349	43 125 64 39 78	Arizona primary Florida primary Illinois primary Kansas primary Ohio primary
March 23	46		Louisiana primary
April 2	195	28 16 91 19 41	Connecticut primary Delaware primary New York primary Rhode Island primary Wisconsin primary
April 18–20	29		Wyoming caucus
April 23	67		Pennsylvania primary
May 7	58		Indiana primary
May 14	104	37 36 31	Maryland primary Nebraska primary West Virginia primary
May 21	77	46 31	Kentucky caucus Oregon primary
June 4	131	31 49 22 29	Montana primary New Jersey primary New Mexico primary South Dakota primary

Timing

Republican Party rules mandate that changes to all contest dates must occur by September 2023, and there appears to be a trend of contests being scheduled earlier than usual. They also specify that all must occur between March and June 11, 2024 – except for Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada, and South Carolina – which are allowed to hold contests in February. Iowa, however, chose to hold its caucus the earliest in over a decade, on a federal holiday – January 15 – as the rules are not legally binding. New Hampshire is expected in late January, a result of state law requiring it to be held at least a week prior to other primaries. Nevada is expected on February 6, with South Carolina on February 24 and Michigan on February 27. The bulk of contests will be concentrated in March, as in previous presidential primaries.

Nevada controversy

After the 2020 presidential election, the Democratic-controlled Nevada Legislature moved to establish a presidential primary for the Republican and Democratic parties. Previously, party-organized caucuses were used in Nevada to determine delegates in presidential elections.

In May 2023, the Nevada Republican Party sued the state of Nevada in an effort to continue the use of caucuses as the means to determine its delegate allocation. It was stated in a court filing from the Nevada Attorney General's office that the Nevada Republican Party was allowed to choose between a primary or caucus, since the primary is non-binding and because state law does not mandate specific rules governing how political parties are to choose its candidate for president.

On August 14, 2023, the Nevada Republican Party announced it would hold its caucuses on February 8 with the February 6 state primary being non-binding.

Michigan controversy

The Michigan primary will take place 2 weeks early, on February 27, 2024 – if its legislature adjourns as expected a month early by November 29, 2023. Michigan legislature laws not passed with a supermajority go into effect 90 days after the adjournment of its session.

The Michigan primaries were originally scheduled to be held in March and thus in accordance with Republican rules, but Democrats (who are in control of the Michigan legislature and governorship after the 2022 midterm elections) decided to move up both primaries as part of their own 2024 presidential delegate selection plan. As a result, the earlier date of February 27 violates Republican rules – which state that only Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina can vote earlier than March 1, 2024.

Michigan Republicans are facing a harsh penalty of up to 90% of their delegates being stripped, if they go forward with their earlier primary. Republicans in Michigan have criticized Democrats in Michigan for their unilateral move and are considering boycotting the earlier primary and instead are considering a party-run caucus later in March.

Delegates

There will be an estimated total of 2,467 delegates to the 2024 Republican National Convention. In contests until March 15, delegates must be awarded on a proportional basis, either by percentage of statewide vote or share of congressional districts won. However, some states have established thresholds between 4 and 20% for proportionality to kick in, under which a candidate receives no delegates. A vast majority, 41 contests totaling 1,920 delegates, operate this way using methods that are hybrid between proportionality and majority-take-all. New York for example has a 20% threshold for proportionality but if a candidate wins a majority, they take all delegates. North Dakota, Wyoming, American Samoa, Guam, Virgin Islands, and 51 of Pennsylvania's 67 delegates are unpledged (free to vote for anyone at the convention), totaling 119. Florida, New Jersey, Ohio, Colorado, Arizona, Nebraska, South Dakota, and Montana's delegates are strictly awarded on a plurality-take-all basis, totaling 428. It will be possible for a candidate to take all 928 delegates of 19 contests by simply winning a threshold of votes. By Super Tuesday, over 40% of delegates will have been awarded, and most by March 19. Republican Party rules mandate changes to delegate allocation methods happen by September 30. The primaries will conclude with a final vote on the nominee by a majority of delegates at the newly elected Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, which will be held July 15–18.

Candidate filing deadlines

As of August 2023, at least 20 states have announced their filing deadlines for presidential candidates seeking the nomination of their party in order to appear on the state's ballots. Between September 1 and October 15, 2023, Nevada has the nation's first filing window and deadline for its February 8, 2024, presidential caucus. The filing window for the New Hampshire primary will be between October 11–27. 13 additional states, including populous California and Texas, have filing deadlines by December 22, 2023.

See also

• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Republican National Convention
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Democratic National Convention