Английская Википедия:2024 Sindh provincial election
Provincial elections are scheduled to be held in Sindh on 8 February 2024 to elect a new provincial legislature.[1] On 5 August 2023, after the approval of the results of the 2023 digital census by the Council of Common Interests headed by Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif, elections have been delayed for several months, as new delimitations will be published on 14 December 2023.[2][3] On 2 November 2023, the Election Commission of Pakistan announced, in agreement with the President of Pakistan, Arif Alvi, that the elections will be held on 8 February 2024.[4] This election will be held concurrently with nationwide general elections and other provincial elections.
Background
In the 2018 election, the Pakistan People's Party (PPP) won 99 seats, gaining a majority in the Provincial Assembly. It became the third consecutive time that the PPP was able to form government in Sindh Since 2008.[5]
The Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) became the largest party in Karachi by winning 21 out of 44 seats from the city. It was the first time since 1988 that any party other than the MQM-P got the mandate to represent the city on the provincial and national levels.[6] Overall, the PTI won 30 seats and became the second largest party, and the largest party in the opposition.
The Muttahida Qaumi Movement - Pakistan (MQM-P), which was the largest and most popular party in Karachi, Hyderabad and other urban areas of Sindh, faced a tough challenge from the rising popularity of the PTI and received its worst ever result. It won only 21 seats and became the third largest party in the province. The MQM-P also opted to join the opposition.
In April 2022, after circumstances arising during a political crisis in Pakistan after the successful no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Imran Khan, the MQM-P left the opposition and joined the PPP-led provincial government.
In September 2022, Former Prime Minister and Leader of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf Imran Khan announced to liberate Sindh from Zardari Mafia.[7] He stated that Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf will team up with the youth to liberate the poor and oppressed people of Interior Sindh from Feudal lords of Pakistan People's Party.[8] This was the very first time some party leader threatened dominance of People's Party in Sindh and upcoming election will be a battle for survival of PPP[9] in interior Sindh as Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf has support of the people of Karachi and Hyderabad and will be able to gain seats in Interior Sindh if they campaign well.[10]
Merger of MQM factions
Since the appointment of Kamran Tessori as the Governor of Sindh, efforts began to merge breakaway factions of the MQM-P like the Pak Sarzameen Party (PSP) and the Farooq Sattar group back into the MQM-P to unite their vote bank to overcome the growing popularity of Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI).[11][12] The Mohajir Qaumi Movement Pakistan - Haqiqi (MQM-H) was also approached, but refused to merge the with the MQM-P.[13]
On the evening of 12 January 2023 Syed Mustafa Kamal, the leader of the PSP, and Farooq Sattar announced their merger with the MQM-P in a press conference.[14]
Schedule
The schedule of the election was announced by the Election Commission of Pakistan on 15 December 2023.[15]
Sr no | Poll Event | Schedule |
---|---|---|
1 | Public Notice Issued by the Returning Officers | 19 December 2023 |
2 | Dates of filing Nomination papers with the Returning Officers by the candidates | 20 December 2023 to 24 December 2023 |
3 | Publication of names of the nominated candidates. | 24 December 2023 |
4 | Last date of scrutiny of nomination papers by the Returning Officer | 25 December 2023 to 30 December 2023 |
5 | Last date of filing appeals against decisions of the Returning Officer rejecting/accepting nomination papers. | 3 January 2024 |
6 | Last date for deciding of appeals by the Appellate Tribunal | 10 January 2024 |
7 | Publication of revised list of candidates | 11 January 2024 |
8 | Last date of withdrawal of candidate and publication of revised list of candidates | 12 January 2024 |
9 | Allotment of election symbol to contesting candidates | 13 January 2024 |
10 | Date of Polling and Counting of Votes | 8 February 2024 |
Electoral system
The 168 seats of the Sindh Assembly consist of 130 general seats, whose members are elected by the first-past-the-post voting system through single-member constituencies. 29 seats are reserved for women and 9 seats are reserved for non-Muslims. The members on these seats are elected through proportional representation based on the total number of general seats secured by each political party.
Opinion polls
Polling firm | Last date of polling |
Link | PPP | PTI | MQM(P) | [[List of political parties in Pakistan|Шаблон:Abbr]] | MMA | [[Independent politician|Шаблон:Abbr]] | Lead | Sample size |
Undecideds & Non-votersШаблон:Efn |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" data-sort-type="number" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" data-sort-type="number" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" data-sort-type="number"| | |||||||||
PA | 11 August 2023 | The Provincial Assembly is dissolved by Governor Kamran Tessori on the advice of Chief Minister Murad Ali Shah.[16] | |||||||||
Gallup Pakistan | 30 June 2023 | 42.2% | 43.4% | 2.4% | 10.8% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |1.2% | N/A | 17% | |||
Iris Communications | 5 April 2023 | 34.1% | 29.5% | 10.2% | 26.1% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |4.6% | 3,000 | 12% | |||
Sindh By-elections | 16 October 2022 | 25.6% | 50.0% | 12.5% | 11.8% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |24.4% | 146,470 | 1,493 | |||
NA-245 By-election | 21 August 2022 | [17] | 48.85% | 21.87% | 23.51 | 5.77 | style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |26.98% | 60,760 | 0.70% | ||
NA | 11-12 April 2022 | Imran Khan is removed from office in a no-confidence motion | |||||||||
IPOR (IRI) | Шаблон:Dts | 44% | 17% | 5% | 34% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |27% | ~810 | N/AШаблон:Efn | |||
Gallup Pakistan | Шаблон:Dts | 34% | 30% | 3% | 28% | 3% | 2% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |4% | ~1,300 | 39% | |
IPOR (IRI) | Шаблон:Dts | 44% | 13% | 7% | 36% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |31% | 867 | N/AШаблон:Efn | |||
IPOR (IRI) | Шаблон:Dts | 22% | 13% | 1% | 61% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |9% | 467 | N/AШаблон:Efn | |||
2018 Elections | Шаблон:Dts | ECP | 38.4% | 14.5% | 7.7% | 25.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | style="background:Шаблон:Party color" |23.6% | 10,025,437 | N/A |
Directly elected seats | 76 | 23 | 16 | GDA 11 TLP 2 | 1 | 1 post. | 53 | Women: 29 / non-Muslims: 9 Total =168 seats | |||
ECP 2024 Gen.Elections delimitations for Sindh PA seats: 130 directly elected + 29 women + 9 non-Muslims = 168 |
Results
Result by Party
Party | Popular vote | Seats | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
General | Reserved | Total | +/− | |||||||
Votes | % | ±pp | Contested | Won | Women | Non-Muslims | ||||
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color" | | Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf | |||||||||
Pakistan Peoples Party | ||||||||||
Grand Democratic Alliance | ||||||||||
Muttahida Qaumi Movement Pakistan | ||||||||||
Tehreek-i-Labbaik Pakistan | ||||||||||
Jamaat-e-Islami Pakistan | ||||||||||
Pakistan Muslim League (N) | ||||||||||
Independents | ||||||||||
bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color" | | Others | |||||||||
Total | 100% | 130 | 29 | 9 | 168 | |||||
Valid votes | ||||||||||
Invalid votes | ||||||||||
Votes cast/ turnout | ||||||||||
Abstentions | ||||||||||
Registered voters | 26,994,769 |
Results by Region
Region | Seats | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |PTI | PPP | GDA | MQM | PML(N) | IND | bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color" |Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Upper Sindh | 44 | |||||||
Lower Sindh | 39 | |||||||
Karachi | 47 | |||||||
Total | 130 |
Results by division
Division | Total seats | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |PTI | PPP | GDA | MQM | PML(N) | IND | bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color" |Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Larkana | 17 | |||||||
Sukkur | 14 | |||||||
Nawabshah | 13 | |||||||
Mirpur Khas | 11 | |||||||
Hyderabad | 19 | |||||||
Banbhore | 9 | |||||||
Karachi | 47 | |||||||
Total | 130 |
Results by district
Division | District | Seats | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" |PTI | PPP | GDA | MQM | PML(N) | IND | bgcolor="Шаблон:Party color" |Others |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Larkana | Jacobabad | 3 | |||||||
Kashmore | 3 | ||||||||
Shikarpur | 3 | ||||||||
Larkana | 4 | ||||||||
Qambar Shahdadkot | 4 | ||||||||
Sukkur | Ghotki | 4 | |||||||
Sukkur | 4 | ||||||||
Khairpur | 6 | ||||||||
Nawabshah | Naushahro Feroz | 4 | |||||||
Nawabshah | 4 | ||||||||
Sanghar | 5 | ||||||||
Mirpur Khas | Mirpur Khas | 4 | |||||||
Umerkot | 3 | ||||||||
Tharparkar | 4 | ||||||||
Hyderabad | Matiari | 2 | |||||||
Tando Allahyar | 2 | ||||||||
Hyderabad | 6 | ||||||||
Tando Muhammad Khan | 2 | ||||||||
Banbhore | Badin | 5 | |||||||
Sujawal | 2 | ||||||||
Thatta | 2 | ||||||||
Hyderabad | Jamshoro | 3 | |||||||
Dadu | 4 | ||||||||
Karachi | Malir | 6 | |||||||
Korangi | 7 | ||||||||
East | 9 | ||||||||
South | 5 | ||||||||
Keamari | 5 | ||||||||
West | 6 | ||||||||
Central | 9 | ||||||||
Total | 130 |
Results by constituency
See also
- 2024 Pakistani general election
- 2024 Khyber Pakhtunkhwa provincial election
- 2024 Balochistan provincial election
- 2024 Punjab provincial election
Notes
References
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