Английская Википедия:2024 Taiwanese presidential election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use dmy dates Шаблон:Infobox election
The 8th direct presidential elections in Taiwan are scheduled to be held on 13 January 2024 as part of the general election.[1][2] Incumbent President Tsai Ing-wen of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) has been elected to the office of the President twice consecutively since 2016 and is therefore not eligible for the election.
The ruling DPP nominated Vice President Lai Ching-te in March 2023, having already secured the party chairmanship by acclamation. He selected Hsiao Bi-khim, the Representative to the US, as his running mate.
The major opposition Kuomintang (KMT) nominated New Taipei mayor, Hou Yu-ih, as the candidate to the presidential campaign in May 2023. In November, Hou chose the former Legislative Yuan member (legislator) Jaw Shaw-kong to be his running mate. The Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) has nominated its leader, Ko Wen-je, the former Mayor of Taipei, who chose Legislative Yuan member (legislator) Cynthia Wu as his running mate, finalising in three presidential candidates who have been nominated by the major parties. Despite previously saying he would support Hou’s nomination, businessman Terry Gou declared his own independent bid in September 2023, before ultimately dropping out in November.
Domestic issues, such as energy policy, national defense and economic development have featured as campaign issues in the election, coupled by foreign issues mostly concerning Taiwan’s Cross-Strait relations with the People's Republic of China, and relations with the United States.[3][4]
Although the Kuomintang and Taiwan People's Party had initially agreed to field a joint ticket in November 2023, the two sides were unable to reach a final agreement, and each announced their own vice presidential candidate on the last day of registration. Billionaire businessman Terry Gou had submitted enough signatures to qualify him to run the presidential election as an independent, but he later released a statement on 24 November dropping out of the race.[5]
The winner of the 2024 presidential election is scheduled to be inaugurated on 20 May 2024.
Background
Tsai Ing-wen of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) became the first woman president after winning the 2016 presidential election, defeating KMT nominee Eric Chu. She won a second term in 2020, and will serve until 2024.[6] Tsai resigned as Chairman of the DPP in 2022 after the party suffered losses in that year’s local elections. Tsai was replaced in an acting capacity by Chen Qimai.[7] Tsai’s Vice President, Lai Ching-te, ultimately became the party chairman by acclamation in late 2022.[8]
Qualifications and procedure
Presidential candidates and Vice Presidential running mates are elected on the same ticket, using first-past-the-post voting. This will be the eighth direct election of the president and vice president, the posts having previously been indirectly elected by the National Assembly until 1996. According to the constitution, the incumbent President, Tsai Ing-wen, who will finish her second full term, is ineligible for re-election. Under the Article 22 of the Presidential and Vice Presidential Election and Recall Act, the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), Kuomintang (KMT), Taiwan People's Party (TPP) and New Power Party (NPP), which received more than five per cent of the total vote share in any of the latest general election (presidential or legislative), are eligible to contest the election.
Registration with the Central Election Commission as the candidates for President and Vice President is filed by the way of political party recommendation where a letter of recommendation stamped with the political party's seal issued by the Ministry of the Interior shall be submitted together with the application. Under Article 23, independent candidates and smaller parties are also eligible to contest, registering as the candidates for President and Vice President by the way of joint signature shall, within five days after the public notice for election is issued, apply to the Central Election Commission for being the presenter recommended by way of joint signature, receive a list of joint signers and to receive 1.5 per cent of the total electors in the latest election of the members of the Legislative Yuan, and pay the deposit of NT$1,000,000.[9]Шаблон:Original research inline For the 2024 presidential election, the number of signatures required for independent candidates is approximately 290,000.[10] The complete petition is to be submitted between 13 and 17 September 2023, and the signature collection period follows from 17 September to 2 November 2023.[11] Presidential candidacies were formally registered between 20 and 24 November 2023.[12] Lots for ballot positioning were drawn on 11 December; the Taiwan People's Party ticket was to be listed first, followed by the Democratic Progressive Party, then the Kuomintang.[13]
Timetable
Key Dates | |
---|---|
Date | Event |
15 March 2023 | The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) officially nominates Vice President Lai Ching-te as the party's presidential nominee. |
8 May 2023 | The Taiwan People's Party (TPP) officially nominates former Taipei Mayor Ko Wen-je as the party's presidential nominee. |
17 May 2023 | The Kuomintang Party (KMT) officially nominates New Taipei Mayor Hou Yu-ih as the party's presidential nominee. |
28 August 2023 | Businessman Terry Gou declares his candidacy for the Presidency as an independent. |
12 September-4 December 2023 | Accepting applications for the election of the president and vice president and registration of electors who return to the country to exercise their right to vote. |
14 September 2023 | Terry Gou selects actress Lai Pei-hsia as his running mate. |
13 November 2023 | Gou qualifies to run in the presidential election. |
13 November 2023 | The KMT and TPP agree to use polling to determine the formation of a joint-ticket. |
14 November 2023 | Announcement of the signature results of the presidential and vice presidential election. |
18 November 2023 | The KMT and TPP fail to form a unity ticket by their own deadline. |
20 November 2023 | The Lai-Hsiao DPP ticket is formed, and formally register at the Central Election Commission. |
24 November 2023 | Terry Gou withdraws from the election. |
24 November 2023 | Deadline for presidential candidate registration; the KMT and TPP file separate tickets. |
30 December 2023 | Presidential debate featuring all three candidates, organized by the Public Television Service. |
1 January 2024 | Vice presidential debate organized by the Public Television Service. |
13 January 2024 | Voting will be held from 8 a.m. to 4 p.m. |
20 May 2024 | The next president will be inaugurated. |
Nominations
Democratic Progressive Party
Шаблон:See also Incumbent president, two-time Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) presidential nominee, and former Chair of the DPP Tsai Ing-wen is ineligible to run, having completed two consecutive terms. Tsai resigned as DPP Chair in 2022, following the party’s poor performance in the local elections of that year.[14] After Tsai’s resignation, Vice President Lai Ching-te (also known as William Lai) was unanimously elected to succeed her as Chair of the DPP.[15] Lai was previously selected to be Tsai’s running mate after she defeated him in the 2020 primary.[16] No primary was held, and Lai Ching-te, being the only individual to register in the party's presidential primary, is the nominee of the Democratic Progressive Party.[17][18][19]
In November 2023, it was reported that Lai was considering selecting Hsiao Bi-khim, Taiwan’s representative to the United States, as his running mate.[20] Hsiao resigned from her position as US representative (de facto ambassador) and returned to Taiwan on 19 November.[21] Lai officially named Hsiao as the election running mate on the same day.[22] Upon selecting Hsiao, Lai called his new running mate “a warrior for democracy” with whom he shared a common vision for Taiwan. The Lai-Hsiao ticket formally registered at the Central Election Commission 20 November 2023.[23]
Nominees
2024 Democratic Progressive ticket | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
style="width:3em; font-size:135%; background:Шаблон:Party color; width:200px;"|Шаблон:Colored link | style="width:3em; font-size:135%; background:Шаблон:Party color; width:200px;"|Шаблон:Colored link | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
for President | for Vice President | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Vice President of the Republic of China (2020–present) |
Representative to the United States (2020–2023) |
Kuomintang
Hou Yu-ih, the Mayor of New Taipei since 2018, was drafted by the Kuomintang (KMT) on 17 May 2023 to be its nominee for the presidency.[24] Hou faced opposition from Foxconn founder Terry Gou, who vowed to support him as the KMT’s nominee.[25] On 24 November 2023, the Kuomintang named former legislator Jaw Shaw-kong as its vice presidential candidate.[26]
Nominees
2024 Kuomintang ticket | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
style="width:3em; font-size:135%; background:Шаблон:Party color; width:200px;"|Шаблон:Colored link | style="width:3em; font-size:135%; background:Шаблон:Party color; width:200px;"|Шаблон:Colored link | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
for President | for Vice President | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Файл:Jaw Shaw-kong Cropped.png | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mayor of New Taipei (2018–present) |
Member of the Legislative Yuan (1987–1991, 1993–1994) |
Taiwan People's Party
Ko Wen-je, being the only individual to register in the party's presidential primary, is the nominee of the Taiwan People's Party (TPP).[27][28] On 24 November 2023, Ko selected Cynthia Wu, current legislator since November 2022, as his running mate.[29]
Nominees
2024 Taiwan People's ticket | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
style="width:3em; font-size:135%; background:Шаблон:Party color; width:200px;"|Шаблон:Colored link | style="width:3em; font-size:135%; background:Шаблон:Party color; width:200px;"|Шаблон:Colored link | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
for President | for Vice President | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Mayor of Taipei (2014–2022) |
Member of the Legislative Yuan (2022–present) |
Other parties and independents
All independent and minor party candidates need a minimum of 290,000 signatures to register with the Central Election Commission.[30]
Withdrawn candidates
Terry Gou
Billionaire businessman Terry Gou, who founded the global technology manufacturing company Foxconn in 1974, declared his own presidential run as an independent candidate on 28 August 2023.[31] This was despite previously stating he would support Kuomintang nominee Hou Yu-ih. The KMT described Gou’s announcement as ‘deeply regrettable’.[32] Lai Ching-te welcomed Gou’s entrance into the race, saying he would be happy to take on the challenge.[33] Gou was the first of the mainstream candidates to announce his running mate; he selected actress Шаблон:Ill (otherwise known as Tammy Lai) as his running mate on 14 September.[34] Lai had previously played a fictional Taiwanese presidential candidate on a Chinese-language Netflix series, Wave Makers.[35] Gou’s campaign was mired by allegations that it was buying signatures.[36] By November 2023, at least 20 separate investigations into fraudulent practices and signature forgeries were opened.[37] 7 people were arrested in what was described as a ‘signature-buying scheme’ a few weeks earlier.[30] Gou denied these allegations, and claimed that individuals who were buying signatures were acting on their own accord and were not part of his official campaign. Gou submitted his signatures on 1 November 2023.[38] On 13 November, over 900,000 of Gou’s submitted signatures were validated by the election commission, qualifying him to run the presidential election.[39] Amidst the deadline to register with the Central Election Commission, Gou released a statement on 24 November dropping out of the race.[5] In a statement, Gou said “I’m dropping out, but my aspirations live on.”[40] He did not endorse a candidate.[41]
2024 independent politician ticket | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Шаблон:Colored link | Шаблон:Colored link | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
for President | for Vice President | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Founder and CEO of Foxconn (1974–2019) |
Actor, singer, writer |
Other withdrawn candidates
- Wang Chien-shien (independent), President of Control Yuan (2008–2014)[42]
- Su Huan-chih (Taiwan Renewal Party), Tainan County Magistrate (2001–2010)
Disqualified candidates
Nine of ten third-party or independent presidential tickets did not meet the signature petition requirements set by the Central Election Commission, and were disqualified from the election. Including Gou, only five presidential candidates and their running mates attempted to submit signatures. The rest are as follows:[43]
- Шаблон:Ill and Wu Chao-sheng (巫超勝) 256,773 signatures submitted, 2 valid endorsements
- Cheng Tzu-tsai and Шаблон:Ill (Шаблон:Ill) 608 signatures submitted, 478 valid endorsements
- Шаблон:Ill and Chou Ke-chi (周克琦) 146 signatures submitted, 58 valid endorsements
- Fu Yin (符音) and Hsieh Tsu-hsuan (謝祖鉉) 113 signatures submitted, 91 valid endorsements
Election campaign
Throughout the election campaign, almost all polls have showed Vice President William Lai winning the election by a plurality (~32%), with the rest of the vote being split between the KMT and TPP.[44] Lai’s lead increased in September 2023, when Terry Gou announced his own independent bid for the presidency.[45] In August 2023, amid campaiging, Lai Ching-te went to Paraguay for an official visit in his capacity as Vice President, with two stopovers in the United States.[46] Lai insisted he was not campaigning during the trips.[47] In late October, China opened an investigation into Foxconn, after Chinese tax authorities conducted an audit of the company’s subsidies in the Guangdong and Jiangsu provinces.[48]
Lai’s campaign used his late pet dog and Hsiao’s pet cats as campaign mascots, the cats referencing Hsiao’s “cat warrior" diplomacy.[49]
Possible KMT–TPP joint ticket
In late 2023, talks of a possible joint ticket between the KMT and TPP began.[50] It was initially unclear if the KMT’s Hou Yu-ih and the TPP’s Ko Wen-je will join as a ticket, let alone who will be the nominee for president and vice president once a joint ticket was announced.[44] The DPP’s Lai stated he would be able to take on the challenge of a joint ticket, and criticized the coalition plans, arguing the two parties do not share enough similarity in ideology.[51] In November, Ko said that deciding who would lead the ticket as the presidential nominee was the ‘only hurdle’ remaining in forming the ticket.[44] On 13 November, the KMT and TPP agreed to use polling to determine the composition of the joint presidential ticket.[52] The order of the joint ticket was to be chosen based on opinion polls and publicly announced on 18 November,[53] but the two sides were unable to come to an agreement on that date.[54] On 18 November, the original deal collapsed following a dispute regarding the polling.[55] The KMT and TPP were reportedly unable to come to a consensus surrounding the margins of error.[56] Despite the initial collapse, there were still attempts to form a pan-blue coalition ticket. Terry Gou, who himself had run in the KMT primary, was informally invited to talks as well.[57] A televised press conference between Hou You-ih, Ko Wen-je, Terry Gou, as well as Eric Chu and Ma Ying-jeou took place on 23 November.[58] The press conference did not yield any agreement between any of the involved parties, and was described as “bizarre”.[59] On 24 November, the deadline for candidate registration, and each party announced their own vice presidential candidate, diminishing any chance of a pan-blue ticket.[60]
Debates
Debates for Presidential candidates and Vice Presidential candidates were announced on 8 December. They are set to be hosted by Taiwan’s Public Television Service, and include all 3 candidates for President and Vice President, respectively.[61] The Presidential debate is set to occur on 30 December, while the Vice Presidential debate will occur on 1 January.[62] Prior to the debates, each presidential candidate would host televised policy presentations on 20, 26, and 28 December, while the vice presidential candidates would do the same on 22 December.[13]
2024 Taiwan presidential election debate | ||||||||||
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Date | Organiser | Шаблон:Colors Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Colors Шаблон:SmallШаблон:Colors Шаблон:Small | ||||||||
DPP Шаблон:Small |
KMT Шаблон:Small |
TPP Шаблон:Small | ||||||||
style="width:6.5em; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="width:6.5em; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="width:6.5em; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | ||||||||
30 December 2023[62] | PTS | I | I | I |
2024 Taiwan vice presidential debate | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Date | Organiser | Шаблон:Colors Шаблон:Small Шаблон:Colors Шаблон:SmallШаблон:Colors Шаблон:Small | ||||||||
DPP Шаблон:Small |
KMT Шаблон:Small |
TPP Шаблон:Small | ||||||||
style="width:6.5em; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="width:6.5em; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="width:6.5em; background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | ||||||||
1 January 2024[62] | PTS | I | I | I |
Opinion polling
After candidate registrations
Pollster | Fieldwork date | Sample size | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lai-Hsiao Шаблон:Small |
Hou-Jaw Шаблон:Small |
Ko-Wu Шаблон:Small |
Others Undecided | |||
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | |||
ETtoday | 20–21 December 2023 | 1,217 | 36.2% | 34.8% | 20.7% | 8.2% |
TVBS | 15–21 December 2023 | 1,840 | 33% | 32% | 24% | 11% |
QuickseeK | 17–20 December 2023 | 1,288 | 32.5% | 27.2% | 26.7% | 13.6% |
udn | 13–17 December 2023 | 1,250 | 31% | 31% | 21% | 17% |
ETtoday | 14–15 December 2023 | 1,300 | 38.5% | 35.1% | 19.6% | 6.8% |
SETN | 11–12 December 2023 | 1,000 | 34.7% | 28.8% | 21.2% | 15.3% |
TVBS | 5–12 December 2023 | 1,632 | 36% | 32% | 22% | 9% |
Mirror Media | 10–11 December 2023 | 1,075 | 33.5% | 25.2% | 23.7% | 17.5% |
Formosa | 27–28 November 2023 | 1,076 | 36.6% | 30.5% | 17.7% | 15.3% |
RW News | 24–28 November 2023 | 12,041 | 41.12% | 31.05% | 25.31% | 2.52% |
TVBS | 24–26 November 2023 | 1,744 | 34% | 31% | 23% | 12% |
udn | 1,238 | 31% | 29% | 21% | 20% | |
ETtoday | 24 November 2023 | 1,348 | 34.8% | 32.5% | 21.2% | 11.6% |
Before candidate registrations
Pollster | Fieldwork date | Sample size | Lai Шаблон:Small |
Hou Шаблон:Small |
Ko Шаблон:Small |
Gou Шаблон:Small |
Others Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | ||||
24 November 2023 | Terry Gou withdraws his candidacy.[5] | ||||||
Formosa | 24–25 October 2023 | 1,070 | 32.5% | 21.9% | 20.4% | 5.3% | 19.9% |
1,070 | 33.7% | 24.6% | 23.9% | Шаблон:N/a | 17.8% | ||
TVBS | 18–24 October 2023 | 1,447 | 33% | 22% | 24% | 8% | 14% |
34% | 26% | 29% | Шаблон:N/a | 10% | |||
TPOF | 15–17 October 2023 | 1,080 | 26.5% | 20.2% | 21.7% | 12.4% | 19.1% |
1,080 | 29.7% | 21.1% | 25.6% | Шаблон:N/a | 23.6% | ||
Mirror Media | 14–16 October 2023 | 1,072 | 32.3% | 17.8% | 23.2% | 9.2% | 17.4% |
1,072 | 32.1% | 18.7% | 24.8% | Шаблон:N/a | 24.4% | ||
SETN | 1–3 October 2023 | 1,000 | 30.9% | 17.8% | 24.2% | 11.6% | 15.5% |
1,000 | 32.2% | 20.0% | 26.8% | Шаблон:N/a | 21.1% | ||
TVBS | 22–26 September 2023 | 1,127 | 34% | 21% | 22% | 9% | 14% |
36% | 26% | 28% | Шаблон:N/a | 11% | |||
Mirror Media | 23–24 September 2023 | 1,096 | 34.5% | 16.5% | 24.1% | 8.5% | 16.3% |
1,096 | 33.3% | 16.4% | 28.0% | Шаблон:N/a | 22.3% | ||
FTNN | 19–24 September 2023 | 2,402 | 34.3% | 16.3% | 18.6% | 9.1% | 21.7% |
FTNN | 2,402 | 34.9% | 16.8% | 20.8% | Шаблон:N/a | 27.5% | |
CMMedia | 18–22 September 2023 | 1,213 | 27.9% | 12.6% | 22.4% | 12.5% | 24.6% |
Formosa | 20–21 September 2023 | 1,072 | 37.3% | 19.7% | 16.9% | 7.4% | 18.7% |
1,072 | 40.0% | 22.4% | 21.6% | Шаблон:N/a | 15.9% | ||
TPOF | 18–20 September 2023 | 1,077 | 31.4% | 15.7% | 23.1% | 10.5% | 19.4% |
1,077 | 33.4% | 17.2% | 27.4% | Шаблон:N/a | 22.1% | ||
TVBS | 28 August – 1 September 2023 | 1,273 | 30% | 19% | 23% | 14% | 13% |
28 August 2023 | Terry Gou declares his candidacy. | ||||||
Mirror Media | 27–28 August 2023 | 1,083 | 33.4% | 15.3% | 22.7% | 12.9% | 15.7% |
1,083 | 34.3% | 16.2% | 27.1% | Шаблон:N/a | 22.4% | ||
Formosa | 23–24 August 2023 | 1,070 | 40.1% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 15.8% |
1,070 | 42.5% | 17.0% | 21.1% | Шаблон:N/a | 19.3% | ||
TVBS | 21–24 August 2023 | 1,171 | 37% | 22% | 28% | Шаблон:N/a | 13% |
QuickseeK | 17–21 August 2023 | 1,222 | 35.6% | 16.2% | 24.4% | 12.4% | 11.4% |
1,222 | 35.8% | 17.9% | 29.6% | Шаблон:N/a | 16.6% | ||
TPOF | 14–15 August 2023 | 1,081 | 43.4% | 13.6% | 26.6% | Шаблон:N/a | 16.3% |
FTNN | 9–13 August 2023 | 2,402 | 31.2% | 14.8% | 19.5% | 11.8% | 22.7% |
2,402 | 33.4% | 15.9% | 23.2% | Шаблон:N/a | 27.4% | ||
TVBS | 24–26 July 2023 | 1,618 | 33% | 25% | 32% | Шаблон:N/a | 10% |
Formosa | 24–25 July 2023 | 1,071 | 33.1% | 17.3% | 20.7% | 12.8% | 16.1% |
1,071 | 35.1% | 19.9% | 24.0% | Шаблон:N/a | 20.4% | ||
1,071 | 33.8% | 17.4% | Шаблон:N/a | 30.7%Шаблон:R | 18.1% | ||
TPOF | 17–18 July 2023 | 1,088 | 36.4% | 20.2% | 27.8% | Шаблон:N/a | 15.7% |
TPOF | 1,088 | 33.9% | 18.0% | 20.5% | 15.2% | 12.4% | |
FTNN | 11–16 July 2023 | 2,409 | 28.0% | 12.4% | 20.4% | 14.4% | 24.8% |
FTNN | 2,409 | 30.2% | 15.3% | 25.4% | Шаблон:N/a | 29.1% | |
QuickseeK | 7–10 July 2023 | 1,178 | 34.8% | 19.3% | 30.8% | Шаблон:N/a | 15.0% |
1,178 | 32.8% | Шаблон:N/a | 27.7% | 24.5% | 15.0% | ||
1,178 | 33.8% | 17.0% | Шаблон:N/a | 35.6%[63] | 13.6% | ||
Z.Media | 1–2 July 2023 | 1,079 | 29.8% | 15.2% | 24.4% | 14.0% | 16.2% |
1,079 | 32.0% | 16.3% | Шаблон:N/a | 35.8%Шаблон:R | 15.5% | ||
1,079 | 29.9% | 16.0% | 29.8% | Шаблон:N/a | 23.8% | ||
NCPF | 30 June – 2 July 2023 | 1,075 | 31% | 15% | 19% | 15% | 20% |
1,075 | 34% | 17% | 25% | Шаблон:N/a | 24% | ||
CNEWS | 28 June – 1 July 2023 | 1,816 | 29.3% | 18.5% | 30.8% | Шаблон:N/a | 21.4% |
Formosa | 28–29 June 2023 | 1,070 | 33.3% | 15.6% | 20.9% | 15.4% | 14.8% |
1,070 | 35.9% | 17.1% | 28.6% | Шаблон:N/a | 18.4% | ||
BCC-Gallup | 16–20 June 2023 | 1,083 | 31.89% | 17.93% | 24.62% | Шаблон:N/a | 21.97% |
TVBS | 14–16 June 2023 | 1,080 | 30% | 23% | 33% | Шаблон:N/a | 14% |
TPOF | 12–13 June 2023 | 1,080 | 36.5% | 20.4% | 29.1% | Шаблон:N/a | 14.0% |
CNEWS | 31 May – 1 June 2023 | 1,077 | 35.7% | 25.9% | 24.9% | Шаблон:N/a | 13.5% |
Formosa | 29–30 May 2023 | 1,072 | 35.4% | 22.6% | 25.5% | Шаблон:N/a | 16.5% |
Formosa | 24–25 May 2023 | 1,072 | 35.8% | 18.3% | 25.9% | Шаблон:N/a | 20% |
NCPF | 22–24 May 2023 | 1,082 | 34% | 23% | 23% | Шаблон:N/a | 20% |
Fount Media | 22–23 May 2023 | 1,074 | 26.6% | 24.7% | 21.1% | Шаблон:N/a | 27.6% |
SETN | 17–18 May 2023 | 1,080 | 29.8% | 29.2% | 20.8% | Шаблон:N/a | 20.2% |
TVBS | 17–18 May 2023 | 1,444 | 27% | 30% | 23% | Шаблон:N/a | 20% |
Issue poll
Pollster | Fieldwork date | Sample problem | Sample size | Lai Шаблон:Small |
Hou Шаблон:Small |
Ko Шаблон:Small |
Gou Шаблон:Small |
Others Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | |||||
ETtoday | 10–16 October 2023 | Member mobile SMS backfill | 1,582 | 34.7% | 27.4% | 25.5% | Шаблон:N/a | 12.3% |
RW News | 10–14 October 2023 | Online questionnaire backfill | 11,055 | 42.62% | 22.29% | 24.93% | 5.86% | 4.30% |
11,055 | 42.85% | 22.87% | 26.09% | Шаблон:N/a | 8.20% | |||
udn | 22–25 September 2023 | No raw data | 1,082 | 30% | 20% | 21% | Шаблон:N/a | 30% |
ETtoday | 23–24 September 2023 | Member mobile SMS backfill | 1,368 | 32.0% | 24.5% | 20.7% | 13.2% | 9.6% |
RW News | 12–16 September 2023 | Online questionnaire backfill | 10,846 | 42.52% | 22.25% | 24.23% | 6.58% | 4.41% |
KPoint Survey & Research | 12–14 September 2023 | No raw data | 1,073 | 29.4% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 14.0% | 21.5% |
1,073 | 29.2% | 21.5% | 19.6% | Шаблон:N/a | 29.7% | |||
ETtoday | 8–9 September 2023 | Member mobile SMS backfill | 1,337 | 35.1% | 24.8% | 20.0% | 12.9% | 7.2% |
1,337 | 36.5% | 29.5% | 22.9% | Шаблон:N/a | 11.0% | |||
ETtoday | 29–30 August 2023 | Member mobile SMS backfill | 1,495 | 35.3% | 21.4% | 17.6% | 17.2% | 8.4% |
ETtoday | 18–20 August 2023 | Member mobile SMS backfill | 1,207 | 35.4% | 25.6% | 24.2% | Шаблон:N/a | 14.9% |
RW News | 15–19 August 2023 | Online questionnaire backfill | 11,324 | 40.56% | 22.16% | 23.13% | 8.96% | 5.18% |
RW News | 11,324 | 40.99% | 22.79% | 25.80% | Шаблон:N/a | 10.12% | ||
ETtoday | 15–17 August 2023 | Member mobile SMS backfill | 1,235 | 31.7% | 18.6% | 17.5% | 10.2% | 22.0% |
KPoint Survey & Research | 31 July – 2 August 2023 | No raw data | 1,075 | 30.3% | 15.1% | 18.2% | 14.8% | 21.6% |
1,075 | 32.3% | 15.8% | 23.1% | Шаблон:N/a | 28.8% | |||
Newtalk | 31 July – 1 August 2023 | Member mobile SMS backfill | 1,402 | 30.46% | 16.92% | 24.71% | 17.34% | 10.58% |
1,402 | 29.46% | Шаблон:N/a | 26.23% | 26.31% | 18.0% | |||
Newtalk | 1,402 | 33.5% | 21.4% | 29.57% | Шаблон:N/a | 15.53% | ||
ETtoday | 28–30 July 2023 | Member mobile SMS backfill | 1,753 | 33.4% | 21.0% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 7.7% |
ETtoday | 1,753 | 35.6% | 24.3% | 28.8% | Шаблон:N/a | 11.3% | ||
TISR | 19–20 July 2023 | No raw data | 1,068 | 29.0% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 10.7% | 4.0% |
1,068 | 33.8% | 15.6% | 24.9% | Шаблон:N/a | 6.0% | |||
RW News | 12–16 July 2023 | Online questionnaire backfill | 12,464 | 38.23% | 20.39% | 25.29% | 9.22% | 6.87% |
RW News | 12,464 | 38.48% | 21.29% | 28.34% | Шаблон:N/a | 11.89% | ||
ACEL | 10–12 July 2023 | No raw data | 1,003 | 33.6% | 14.8% | 21.1% | 12.5% | 18.0% |
1,003 | 32.4% | 17.6% | 25.9% | Шаблон:N/a | 24.1% | |||
ERA NEWS | 3–6 July 2023 | No raw data | 1,070 | 34.9% | 14.5% | 19.2% | 14.6% | 16.8% |
1,070 | 35.5% | 17.2% | 24.2% | Шаблон:N/a | 23.1% | |||
Newtalk | 30 June – 1 July 2023 | Member mobile SMS backfill | 3,245 | 28.26% | 14.63% | 21.94% | 22.29% | 12.89% |
3,245 | 28.49% | Шаблон:N/a | 24.07% | 28.77% | 18.67% | |||
Newtalk | 1,070 | 32.77% | 21.31% | 30.74% | Шаблон:N/a | 15.19% | ||
RW News | 6–10 June 2023 | Online questionnaire backfill | 12,030 | 37.8% | 21.9% | 31.3% | Шаблон:N/a | 9.1% |
KPoint Survey & Research | 6–9 June 2023 | No raw data | 1,076 | 31.2% | 17.9% | 21.5% | Шаблон:N/a | 29.4% |
ETtoday | 23–25 May 2023 | Member mobile SMS backfill | 1,223 | 36.4% | 27.7% | 23.1% | Шаблон:N/a | 12.8% |
udn | 18–21 May 2023 | No raw data | 1,090 | 28% | 24% | 22% | Шаблон:N/a | 27% |
CNEWS weekly poll
Sample Week | Fieldwork date | Sample method | Sample size | Lai Шаблон:Small |
Hou Шаблон:Small |
Ko Шаблон:Small |
Gou Шаблон:Small |
Others Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;"| | |||||
1st week of December | 30 November – 1 December 2023 | local phone + mobile phone | 2,008 | 36.9% | 28.0% | 26.0% | Шаблон:N/a | 9.1% |
local phone | 1,000 | 37.1% | 32.9% | 17.4% | Шаблон:N/a | 12.6% | ||
4th week of November | 24 – 25 November 2023 | local phone + mobile phone | 2,013 | 36.8% | 26.6% | 26.8% | Шаблон:N/a | 9.8% |
local phone | 1,000 | 39.9% | 29.7% | 18.9% | Шаблон:N/a | 11.5% | ||
24 November 2023 | Terry Gou withdraws his candidacy.[5] | |||||||
2nd week of November | 10 – 11 November 2023 | local phone + mobile phone | 2,046 | 30.8% | 18.0% | 26.0% | 9.3% | 15.9% |
local phone | 1,033 | 33.9% | 22.2% | 22.4% | 7.3% | 14.2% | ||
1st week of November | 4 – 5 November 2023 | local phone + mobile phone | 2,000 | 32.7% | 17.3% | 25.8% | 10.0% | 14.2% |
local phone | 1,000 | 34.7% | 20.9% | 19.7% | 9.9% | 14.8% | ||
5th week of October | 29 – 30 October 2023 | local phone + mobile phone | 2,049 | 25.6% | 16.0% | 25.4% | 13.3% | 19.7% |
local phone | 1,012 | 29.1% | 18.2% | 20.4% | 10.8% | 21.5% | ||
4th week of October | 21 – 22 October 2023 | local phone + mobile phone | 2,048 | 24.0% | 16.2% | 24.7% | 15.8% | 19.3% |
local phone | 1,034 | 27.6% | 19.1% | 19.7% | 14.1% | 19.5% | ||
3rd week of October | 13 – 14 October 2023 | local phone + mobile phone | 2,062 | 29.7% | 16.2% | 27.7% | 11.7% | 14.7% |
local phone | 1,051 | 34.8% | 19.6% | 20.4% | 8.9% | 16.3% | ||
2nd week of October | 7 – 8 October 2023 | local phone + mobile phone | 2,045 | 31.6% | 17.0% | 26.7% | 11.2% | 13.5% |
local phone | 1,030 | 36.0% | 17.8% | 20.4% | 9.1% | 16.7% | ||
1st week of October | 29 – 30 September 2023 | local phone + mobile phone | 2,037 | 28.6% | 16.9% | 24.3% | 12.3% | 17.9% |
local phone | 1,030 | 31.5% | 17.8% | 19.8% | 10.2% | 20.7% | ||
4th week of September | 23 – 24 September 2023 | local phone + mobile phone | 2,016 | 27.3% | 14.2% | 23.7% | 14.2% | 20.6% |
local phone | 1,013 | 32.6% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 12.3% | 20.4% | ||
15 – 16 September 2023 | local phone + mobile phone | 2,052 | 28.0% | 16.3% | 22.6% | 13.7% | 19.4% | |
local phone | 1,025 | 29.7% | 20.8% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 18.7% | ||
2nd week of September | 9 – 10 September 2023 | local phone + mobile phone | 2,145 | 28.4% | 15.6% | 23.4% | 13.0% | 19.6% |
local phone | 1,127 | 31.5% | 16.1% | 18.9% | 10.6% | 22.9% | ||
1st week of September | 1 – 2 September 2023 | local phone + mobile phone | 2,024 | 29.7% | 14.8% | 23.4% | 12.6% | 19.5% |
local phone | 1,008 | 35.4% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 10.7% | 22.1% | ||
Note:
|
Results
Notes
See also
References
Шаблон:Taiwanese elections Шаблон:Republic of China presidential elections Шаблон:Authority control
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 5,0 5,1 5,2 5,3 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 13,0 13,1 Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 30,0 30,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news Republished as: Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ 44,0 44,1 44,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 62,0 62,1 62,2 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Ko as VP.