Английская Википедия:2024 United States gubernatorial elections

Материал из Онлайн справочника
Перейти к навигацииПерейти к поиску

Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Infobox election United States gubernatorial elections are scheduled to be held on November 5, 2024, in 11 states and two territories. The previous gubernatorial elections for this group of states took place in 2020, except in New Hampshire and Vermont where governors only serve two-year terms and elected their governors in 2022. In addition to state gubernatorial elections, the territories of American Samoa and Puerto Rico will also hold elections for their governors.

The elections will take place concurrently with the 2024 presidential election, elections to the House of Representatives and Senate, and numerous state and local elections.

This will be the first election cycle since 2017 that no incumbent Democrats will be running for re-election.

Partisan composition

Going into the election, there are 27 Republican governors and 23 Democratic governors in the United States. This class of governors is made up of 8 Republicans and 3 Democrats. Republicans are defending two governorships in states that Joe Biden won in 2020 (New Hampshire and Vermont) while Democrats are defending one governorship in a state that Donald Trump won in 2020 (North Carolina).

Election predictions

Several sites and individuals published predictions of competitive seats. These predictions looked at factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan leanings of the state (reflected in part by the state's Cook Partisan Voting Index rating). The predictions assigned ratings to each seat, with the rating indicating a party's predicted advantage in winning that seat.

Most election predictors use:

  • "tossup": no advantage
  • "tilt" (used by some predictors): advantage that is not quite as strong as "lean"
  • "lean": slight advantage
  • "likely": significant, but surmountable, advantage
  • "safe" or "solid": near-certain chance of victory
State PVI Incumbent Last
race
Cook
Шаблон:Small[1]
IE
Шаблон:Small[2]
Sabato
Шаблон:Small[3]
ED
Шаблон:Small[4]
Delaware Шаблон:Shading PVI Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Шаблон:Sortname
Шаблон:Small
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic data-sort-value="-59.5" | 59.5% D Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating
Indiana Шаблон:Shading PVI Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Шаблон:Sortname
Шаблон:Small
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value="56.5" | 56.5% R Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating
Missouri Шаблон:Shading PVI Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Шаблон:Sortname
Шаблон:Small
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value="57.1" | 57.1% R Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating
Montana Шаблон:Shading PVI Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Шаблон:Sortname Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value="54.4" | 54.4% R Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating
New Hampshire Шаблон:Shading PVI Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Шаблон:Sortname
Шаблон:Small
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value="57.0" | 57.0% R Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating
North Carolina Шаблон:Shading PVI Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Шаблон:Sortname
Шаблон:Small
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic data-sort-value="-51.5" | 51.5% D Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating
North Dakota Шаблон:Shading PVI Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Шаблон:Sortname Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value="65.8" | 65.8% R Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating
Utah Шаблон:Shading PVI Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Шаблон:Sortname Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value="63.0" | 63.0% R Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating
Vermont Шаблон:Shading PVI Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Шаблон:Sortname Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value="69.2" | 69.2% R Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating
Washington Шаблон:Shading PVI Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Шаблон:Sortname
Шаблон:Small
Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic data-sort-value="-56.6" | 56.6% D Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating
West Virginia Шаблон:Shading PVI Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Шаблон:Sortname
Шаблон:Small
Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value="63.5" | 63.5% R Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating Шаблон:USRaceRating

Race summary

States

State Governor Party First elected Last race Status Candidates
Delaware Шаблон:Sortname Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Democratic 2016 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic data-sort-value="-59.5" | 59.5% D Шаблон:Party shading/Hold | Term-limited Шаблон:Plainlist
Indiana Шаблон:Sortname Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Republican 2016 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value="56.5" | 56.5% R Шаблон:Party shading/Hold | Term-limited Шаблон:Plainlist
Missouri Шаблон:Sortname Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Republican 2018Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value="57.1" | 57.1% R Шаблон:Party shading/Hold | Term-limited Шаблон:Plainlist
Montana Шаблон:Sortname Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Republican 2020 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value="54.4" | 54.4% R Eligible Шаблон:Plainlist
New Hampshire Шаблон:Sortname Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Republican 2016 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value="57.0" | 57.0% R Шаблон:Party shading/Hold|Retiring[5] Шаблон:Plainlist
North Carolina Roy Cooper Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Democratic 2016 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic data-sort-value="-51.5" | 51.5% D Шаблон:Party shading/Hold | Term-limited Шаблон:Plainlist
North Dakota Шаблон:Sortname Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Republican 2016 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value="65.8" | 65.8% R Eligible[6] Шаблон:Plainlist
Utah Шаблон:Sortname Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Republican 2020 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value="63.0" | 63.0% R Running Шаблон:Plainlist
Vermont Шаблон:Sortname Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Republican 2016 Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value="69.2" | 69.2% R Eligible Шаблон:Plainlist
Washington Шаблон:Sortname Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic | Democratic 2012 Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic data-sort-value="56.6" | 56.6% D Шаблон:Party shading/Hold | Retiring[7] Шаблон:Plainlist
West Virginia Шаблон:Sortname Шаблон:Party shading/Republican | Republican 2016Шаблон:Efn Шаблон:Party shading/Republican data-sort-value="63.5" | 63.5% R Шаблон:Party shading/Hold | Term-limited Шаблон:Plainlist

Territories

State Governor Party First elected Last race Status Candidates
American Samoa Шаблон:Sortname Шаблон:Party shading/Nonpartisan | Nonpartisan/DemocraticШаблон:Efn 2020 Шаблон:Party shading/Nonpartisan data-sort-value="60.3" | 60.3% Eligible Шаблон:Plainlist
Puerto Rico Шаблон:Sortname Шаблон:Party shading/New Progressive Party (Puerto Rico) | New ProgressiveШаблон:Efn 2020 Шаблон:Party shading/New Progressive Party (Puerto Rico) data-sort-value="32.9" | 32.9% PNP Running Шаблон:Plainlist

Delaware

Шаблон:Main Шаблон:See also Governor John Carney was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 59.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the Delaware Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third term.

New Castle County executive Matt Meyer became the first declared candidate on June 6, 2023.[8]

Indiana

Шаблон:Main Governor Eric Holcomb was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 56.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the Indiana Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third consecutive term. United States Senator Mike Braun,[9] lieutenant governor Suzanne Crouch,[10] former president of the Indiana Economic Development Corporation Eric Doden[11] and former attorney general Curtis Hill[12] are running for the Republican nomination.

Former Republican Indiana Superintendent of Public Instruction Jennifer McCormick is running for the Democratic nomination, having switched parties in 2021.[13]

Missouri

Шаблон:Main Шаблон:See also Governor Mike Parson took office on June 1, 2018, upon the resignation of Eric Greitens and was elected to a full term in his own right in 2020 with 57.2% of the vote. Because Parson served more than two years of Greitens' term, he will be term-limited by the Missouri Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a second full term. Lieutenant Governor Mike Kehoe and Secretary of State Jay Ashcroft are running for the Republican gubernatorial nomination.[14][15] In the Democratic primary, Missouri House of Representatives minority leader Crystal Quade has declared her candidacy.[16]

Montana

Шаблон:Main Governor Greg Gianforte was elected in 2020 with 54.4% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.

On June 13, 2023, Republican state representative Tanner Smith launched a primary challenge to Gianforte.[17]

New Hampshire

Шаблон:Main Governor Chris Sununu won re-election to a fourth term in 2022. However on July 19, 2023 he announced he would not seek re-election.[18] Former acting governor Chuck Morse and former U.S. senator Kelly Ayotte have announced their campaigns for the Republican nomination.[19][20] Former Hillsborough County Treasurer and 2022 Congressional nominee Robert Burns has expressed interest in running.[21] In the Democratic primary, Manchester mayor Joyce Craig[22] and Executive Council of New Hampshire member Cinde Warmington[23] have declared their candidacies.

North Carolina

Шаблон:Main Шаблон:See also Governor Roy Cooper was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 51.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the North Carolina Constitution in 2024 and cannot seek re-election for a third consecutive term. Attorney general Josh Stein and former North Carolina Supreme Court justice Michael Morgan are running for the Democratic gubernatorial nomination, while state treasurer Dale Folwell, lieutenant governor Mark Robinson, retired healthcare executive Jesse Thomas, former congressman Mark Walker and former state senator Andy Wells are running for the Republican gubernatorial nomination.[24][25][26][27][28][29][30]

North Dakota

Шаблон:Main Governor Doug Burgum was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 65.8% of the vote. In the November 2022 elections, voters amended the North Dakota Constitution to place a limit of two, four-year terms for succeeding governors sworn into office after the amendment's effective date of January 1, 2023.[31] Burgum, sworn into office before the amendment's effective date, remains eligible to run for re-election for a third term. Burgum initially ran for the Republican nomination in the 2024 United States presidential election,[32] but dropped out before the primaries. It is unclear if he will still run for re-election.[6]

Utah

Шаблон:Main Governor Spencer Cox was elected in 2020 with 63% of the vote and is running for reelection to a second term. Although Utah does not have gubernatorial term limits, he pledged to only serve two terms.[33]

Vermont

Шаблон:Main Шаблон:See also Governor Phil Scott won reelection to a fourth term in 2022. Because Vermont does not have gubernatorial term limits in its constitution, he will be eligible to run for re-election for a fifth term in 2024.

Washington

Шаблон:Main Шаблон:See also Governor Jay Inslee was re-elected to a third term in 2020 with 56.6% of the vote. Because Washington does not have gubernatorial term limits in its constitution, he is eligible to run for re-election for a fourth term but he has decided not to seek re-election.[34] Washington Attorney General Bob Ferguson and state senator Mark Mullet have declared their candidacies,[35][36] while in the Republican primary, former congressman Dave Reichert has declared his candidacy.[37]

West Virginia

Шаблон:Main Governor Jim Justice was re-elected to a second term in 2020 with 63.5% of the vote. He will be term-limited by the West Virginia Constitution in 2024 and is ineligible to seek re-election for a third consecutive term.

Candidates in the Republican primary include state delegate Moore Capito,[38] businessman Chris Miller,[39] state attorney general Patrick Morrisey,[40] secretary of state Mac Warner[41] and preschool owner Rashida Yost.[38] Huntington mayor Steve Williams has declared he will run in the Democratic primary.[42][43]

Territories

American Samoa

Шаблон:Main Governor Lemanu Peleti Mauga was elected in 2020 with 60.3% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, but has not yet stated whether he will do so.

Puerto Rico

Шаблон:Main Governor Pedro Pierluisi was elected in 2020 with 32.9% of the vote. He is eligible to run for re-election, and stated that he would on March 20, 2022 during the New Progressive Party's general assembly.[44]

See also

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Шаблон:2024 United States elections Шаблон:United States gubernatorial elections

  1. Шаблон:Cite web
  2. Шаблон:Cite web
  3. Шаблон:Cite web
  4. Шаблон:Cite web
  5. Шаблон:Cite news
  6. 6,0 6,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  7. Шаблон:Cite web
  8. Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег <ref>; для сносок mmde не указан текст
  9. Шаблон:Cite web
  10. Шаблон:Cite web
  11. Шаблон:Cite web
  12. Шаблон:Cite news
  13. Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег <ref>; для сносок McCormick не указан текст
  14. Шаблон:Cite web
  15. Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег <ref>; для сносок Ashcroft не указан текст
  16. Шаблон:Cite web
  17. Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег <ref>; для сносок tsmt не указан текст
  18. Шаблон:Cite news
  19. Шаблон:Cite web
  20. Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег <ref>; для сносок Ayotte не указан текст
  21. Шаблон:Cite tweet Шаблон:Better source
  22. Шаблон:Cite web
  23. Шаблон:Cite web
  24. Шаблон:Cite web
  25. Шаблон:Cite web
  26. Шаблон:Cite web
  27. Шаблон:Cite news
  28. Шаблон:Cite web
  29. Шаблон:Cite news
  30. Шаблон:Cite web
  31. Шаблон:Cite web
  32. Шаблон:Cite web
  33. Шаблон:Cite news
  34. Шаблон:Cite web
  35. Шаблон:Cite web
  36. Шаблон:Cite web
  37. Шаблон:Cite web
  38. 38,0 38,1 Шаблон:Cite web
  39. Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег <ref>; для сносок Miller не указан текст
  40. Шаблон:Cite web
  41. Шаблон:Cite web
  42. Шаблон:Cite news
  43. Шаблон:Cite news
  44. Ошибка цитирования Неверный тег <ref>; для сносок calienta не указан текст