Английская Википедия:2024 United States presidential election in Arizona
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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Row hover highlight Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Arizona sidebar The 2024 United States presidential election in Arizona is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Arizona voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Arizona has 11 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state neither gained nor lost a seat.[1] Arizona is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.
Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[2] If he wins the state again, he will become the first Democrat since Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1944 to carry the state in two consecutive presidential elections. This race is considered to be a tossup given the state's nearly even partisan lean.
Primary elections
Democratic primary
Шаблон:Main The Arizona Democratic primary is scheduled to be held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Florida, Illinois, and Ohio.
Republican primary
Шаблон:Main The Arizona Republican primary is scheduled to be held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Florida, Illinois, and Ohio.
General election
Polling
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Joe Manchin
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold |
Robert Kennedy Jr Шаблон:Nobold |
Cornel West Шаблон:Nobold |
Jill Stein Шаблон:Nobold |
Joe Manchin Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VCreek/AMG (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | December 1–8, 2023 | 694 (RV) | – | 32% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|40% | 9% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 10% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold |
Robert Kennedy Jr Шаблон:Nobold |
Cornel West Шаблон:Nobold |
Jill Stein Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 796 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|40% | 10% | 1% | 1% | 11% |
| J.L. Partners/Daily Mail | November 27 – December 1, 2023 | 550 (LV) | ± 4.2% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 12%Шаблон:Efn |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold |
Robert Kennedy Jr Шаблон:Nobold |
Cornel West Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|40% | 11% | 1% | 12% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold |
Robert Kennedy Jr Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VCreek/AMG (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | December 1–8, 2023 | 694 (RV) | – | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|40% | 16% | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 1,103 (LV) | – | 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|40% | 10% | 17% |
| New York Times/Siena College | October 22– November 3, 2023 | 603 (LV) | ±4.4 | 33% | 33% | 26% | 8% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 627 (LV) | – | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|42% | 8% | 12% |
- Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Ron DeSantis Шаблон:Nobold |
Robert Kennedy Jr Шаблон:Nobold |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 1,103 (LV) | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|34% | 27% | 17% | 6% | 16% |
- Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Nikki Haley Шаблон:Nobold |
Robert Kennedy Jr Шаблон:Nobold |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 1,103 (LV) | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|33% | 25% | 19% | 6% | 17% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Bullfinch Group | December 14–18, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50% | 10% |
| VCreek/AMG (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | December 1–8, 2023 | 694 (RV) | – | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 13% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 796 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 12% |
| Tulchin Research (D) | November 13–20, 2023 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 42% | 42% | 16% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 12% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43% | 16% |
| New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% | 7% |
| Noble Predictive Insights | October 25–31, 2023 | 1,010 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 16% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 804 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | 10% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 627 (RV) | – | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44% | 16% |
| Emerson College | August 2–4, 2023 | 1,337 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45% | 13% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | July 22–24, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45% | 44% | 8% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | June 17–19, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44% | 41% | 11% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% | 44% | 10% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45% | 44% | 11% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | March 13–14, 2023 | 1,001 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50% | 11% |
| OH Predictive Insights | January 31 – February 9, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|39% | 37% | 24% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | January 5–8, 2023 | 618 (V) | ± 3.9% | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|38% | 27% |
| Rasmussen Reports (R) | November 8–9, 2022 | 874 (LV) | ± 3.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|47% | 45% | 8% |
| Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 560 (LV) | ± 4.1% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|53% | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 12% |
| Emerson College | September 6–7, 2022 | 627 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44% | 15% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 773 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | 10% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | May 12–16, 2022 | 608 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 41% | 41% | 18% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51% | 6% |
| Bendixen/Amandi International | June 17–23, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51% | 44% | 5% |
- Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Ron DeSantis Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 12% |
| Noble Predictive Insights | October 25 – 31, 2023 | 1,010 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|40% | 23% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | July 22–24, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 12% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | June 17–19, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 40% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 12% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | 10% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% | 10% |
| OH Predictive Insights | January 31 – February 9, 2023 | 1,000 (RV) | ± 3.1% | 35% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|36% | 29% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | January 5–8, 2023 | 618 (V) | ± 3.9% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|43% | 20% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 773 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 43% | 43% | 14% |
- Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Nikki Haley Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| VCreek/AMG (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | December 1–8, 2023 | 694 (RV) | – | 30% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|37% | 33% |
| New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 17% |
- Joe Biden vs. Mike Pence
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Mike Pence Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Opinion Strategies | May 15–17, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45% | 43% | 12% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold |
Cornel West Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College | August 2–4, 2023 | 1,337 (RV) | ± 2.6% | 41% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|42% | 4% | 13% |
- Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Шаблон:Nobold |
Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 603 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | 9% |
See also
- United States presidential elections in Arizona
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
Шаблон:Reflist Шаблон:2024 United States elections Шаблон:State results of the 2024 U.S. presidential election
