Английская Википедия:2024 United States presidential election in Florida

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Row hover highlight Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:ElectionsFL The 2024 United States presidential election in Florida is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Florida voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Florida has 30 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state gained a seat. Although once considered a swing and bellwether state, the Sunshine State has taken a large rightward turn in recent years, with Donald Trump carrying the state in the 2020 presidential election by 3.36 percentage points despite losing nationwide, and Republicans winning all statewide offices in large, double-digit margins in the 2022 midterms.

Incumbent Democratic president Joe Biden is running for re-election to a second term.

Primary elections

Republican primary

Шаблон:Main The Florida Republican primary is scheduled to be held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Illinois, and Ohio.

Democratic primary

The Florida Democratic Party will only have Joe Biden on the Primary ballot.

Primary polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin Шаблон:Nowrap	Joe Biden	Hillary Clinton	Kamala Harris	Gavin Newsom	Undecided
Suffolk University	Sep 15–18, 2022	163 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50%	–	–	33%	17%
Suffolk University	Jan 26–29, 2022	164 (LV)	–	43%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46%	–	–	11%
Victory Insights	Sep 16–18, 2021	200 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|60%	–	17%	–	23%

General election

Polling

Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold	Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold	Robert Kennedy Jr Шаблон:Nobold	Other	Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	897 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44%	34%	9%	2%	11%
Cygnal (R)	November 13–15, 2023	800 (LV)	± 3.41%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44%	37%	11%	0%	8%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 7–9, 2023	1100 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44%	37%	8%	2%	9%

Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Шаблон:Nobold	Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold	Robert Kennedy Jr Шаблон:Nobold	Other	Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	897 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|38%	34%	12%	5%	11%

Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Nikki Haley Шаблон:Nobold	Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold	Robert Kennedy Jr Шаблон:Nobold	Other	Undecided
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	November 27–29, 2023	897 (LV)	–	27%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|32%	16%	7%	17%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold	Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold	Other	Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University	October 27 – November 11, 2023	946 (RV)	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49%	39%	10%	2%
Redfield & Wilton Strategies	October 7–9, 2023	1,100 (RV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44%	39%	6%	11%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University	June 27 – July 1, 2023	933 (RV)	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49%	39%	10%	2%
Metropolitan Research Services	March 15–19, 2023	1,001 (RV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47%	43%	–	10%
Emerson College	March 13–15, 2023	1,153 (RV)	± 2.8%	44%	44%	–	12%
University of North Florida	February 25 – March 7, 2023	1,452 (RV)	± 2.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|50%	43%	–	7%
Victory Insights	November 16–17, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.1%	49%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51%	–	–
Rasmussen Reports (R)	November 8–9, 2022	1,224 (LV)	± 3.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49%	40%	–	11%
Florida Atlantic University	October 12–16, 2022	719 (LV)	± 3.7%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45%	41%	–	14%
Suffolk University	September 15–18, 2022	500 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47%	44%	–	9%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	815 (LV)	± 4.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49%	41%	–	10%
Suffolk University	January 26–29, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47%	44%	0%	9%
Victory Insights	September 16–18, 2021	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51%	–	–
St. Pete Polls	August 16–17, 2021	2,068 (RV)	± 2.2%	47%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48%	3%	2%
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)	August 4–10, 2021	700 (RV)	± 3.7%	42%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|50%	–	8%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Шаблон:Nobold	Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold	Other	Undecided
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University	October 27 – November 11, 2023	946 (RV)	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47%	39%	13%	2%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University	June 27 – July 1, 2023	933 (RV)	± 3.2%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49%	36%	11%	4%
Emerson College	March 13–15, 2023	1,153 (RV)	± 2.8%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46%	43%	7%	4%
University of North Florida	February 25 – March 7, 2023	1,452 (RV)	± 2.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51%	42%	–	8%
Cherry Communications	February 10–19, 2023	608 (LV)	± 4.0%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49%	38%	–	13%
Victory Insights	November 16–17, 2022	600 (LV)	± 4.1%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|53%	47%	–	–
Suffolk University	September 15–18, 2022	500 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52%	44%	–	4%
Echelon Insights	August 31 – September 7, 2022	815 (LV)	± 4.3%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51%	42%	–	7%
Suffolk University	January 26–29, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52%	44%	–	4%
Victory Insights	September 16–18, 2021	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51%	–	–
The Political Matrix/The Listener Group (R)	September 11–12, 2021	1,144 (LV)	± 3.1%	45%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|55%	–	–
Susquehanna Polling & Research (R)	August 4–10, 2021	700 (RV)	± 3.7%	47%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|49%	–	4%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold	Kamala Harris Шаблон:Nobold	Undecided
Suffolk University	September 15–18, 2022	500 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46%	44%	10%
Victory Insights	September 16–18, 2021	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	49%	Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|51%	–

Ron DeSantis vs. Kamala Harris

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Шаблон:Nobold	Kamala Harris Шаблон:Nobold	Undecided
Suffolk University	September 15–18, 2022	500 (LV)	–	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52%	40%	8%
Victory Insights	September 16–18, 2021	450 (LV)	± 4.6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51%	49%	–

Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold	Hillary Clinton Шаблон:Nobold	Undecided
Suffolk University	January 26–29, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49%	42%	9%

Ron DeSantis vs. Hillary Clinton

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Ron DeSantis Шаблон:Nobold	Hillary Clinton Шаблон:Nobold	Undecided
Suffolk University	January 26–29, 2022	500 (LV)	± 4.4%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|53%	40%	7%

See also

• United States presidential elections in Florida
• 2024 United States presidential election
• 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
• 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
• 2024 United States elections

Notes

Partisan clients