Английская Википедия:2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania
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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Main Шаблон:Row hover highlight Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in Pennsylvania sidebar The 2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate. Pennsylvania voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Pennsylvania has 19 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.[1] Pennsylvania is considered to be a crucial swing state in 2024.
Incumbent Democratic president and Pennsylvanian-born Joe Biden is running for reelection to a second term.[2]
Democratic primary
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. |
Marianne Williamson |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quinnipiac University | September 28 – October 2, 2023 | 759 (RV) | ± 3.6% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|70% | 17% | 5% | 8% |
Republican primary
Шаблон:Main The Pennsylvania Republican presidential primary will be held on April 23, 2024.
General election
Polling
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold |
Robert Kennedy Jr Шаблон:Nobold |
Cornel West Шаблон:Nobold |
Jill Stein Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|39% | 9% | 1% | 1% | 12% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold |
Robert Kennedy Jr Шаблон:Nobold |
Cornel West Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 38% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|41% | 8% | 1% | 12% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold |
Robert Kennedy Jr Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 887 (LV) | – | 37% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44% | 7% | 10% |
| New York Times/Siena College | Oct 22 – Nov 3, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ±4.6 | 35% | 35% | 23% | 7% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7–9, 2023 | 900 (LV) | – | 39% | 39% | 9% | 13% |
- Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Ron DeSantis Шаблон:Nobold |
Robert Kennedy Jr Шаблон:Nobold |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 887 (LV) | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|37% | 34% | 13% | 3% | 12% |
- Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Nikki Haley Шаблон:Nobold |
Robert Kennedy Jr Шаблон:Nobold |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | November 27–29, 2023 | 887 (LV) | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|36% | 26% | 18% | 7% | 13% |
- Joe Biden vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Bullfinch Group | December 14–18, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | 45% | 10% |
| Muhlenberg College | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|42% | 41% | 17% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | November 27 – December 6, 2023 | 799 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 10% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 30 – November 7, 2023 | 805 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | 9% |
| Emerson College | October 30 – November 4, 2023 | 1000 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 11% |
| 816 (LV) | – | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% | 6% | ||
| New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|48% | 8% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | October 11–22, 2023 | 873 (RV) | ± 4.1% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|44% | 42% | 14% |
| Bloomberg/Morning Consult | October 5–10, 2023 | 807 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 9% |
| Redfield & Wilton Strategies | October 7-9, 2023 | 900 (LV) | – | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|43% | 42% | 15% |
| Emerson College | October 1-4, 2023 | 430 (RV) | ± 4.7% | 36% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45% | 19% |
| Quinnipiac University | September 28 – October 2, 2023 | 1,725 (RV) | ± 2.4% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | 8% |
| Public Policy Polling (D)Шаблон:Efn-ua | September 25–26, 2023 | 673 (RV) | ± 3.8% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 45% | 7% |
| Quinnipiac University | June 22–26, 2023 | 1,584 (RV) | ± 2.5% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | 7% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% | 42% | 12% |
| Franklin & Marshall College | March 27 – April 7, 2023 | 643 (RV) | ± 4.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|36% | 35% | 29% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | February 19–26, 2023 | 800 (RV) | ± 3.2% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 41% | 11% |
| Targoz Market Research | November 2–6, 2022 | 631 (LV) | ± 3.8% | 46% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|52% | 2% |
| Emerson College | October 28–31, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 44% | 44% | 12% |
| Emerson College | September 23–26, 2022 | 1,000 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|46% | 9% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 828 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 43% | 9% |
| Emerson College | August 22–23, 2022 | 1,034 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | 11% |
| PEM Management Corporation (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | July 22–24, 2022 | 300 (LV) | ± 5.7% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|44% | 14% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | July 19–21, 2022 | 712 (LV) | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|42% | 41% | 17% |
| Blueprint Polling (D) | February 15–16, 2022 | 635 (LV) | ± 3.9% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|45% | 40% | 15% |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua | November 11–16, 2021 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 45% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|51% | 4% |
- Joe Biden vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Ron DeSantis Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhlenberg College | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|41% | 39% | 20% |
| New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 43% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | 10% |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | May 2–8, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 39% | 12% |
| Public Opinion Strategies | April 11–13, 2023 | 500 (RV) | ± 4.4% | 42% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|45% | 13% |
| Echelon Insights | August 31 – September 7, 2022 | 828 (LV) | ± 3.5% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|46% | 42% | 12% |
- Joe Biden vs. Nikki Haley
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden Шаблон:Nobold |
Nikki Haley Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhlenberg College | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | 33% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|38% | 29% |
| New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 39% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|49% | 12% |
- Kamala Harris vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Kamala Harris Шаблон:Nobold |
Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Times/Siena College | October 22 – November 3, 2023 | 600 (RV) | ± 4.6% | 44% | Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|47% | 9% |
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Ron DeSantis
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Шаблон:Nobold |
Ron DeSantis Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susquehanna Polling & Research (R) | May 2–8, 2023 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|42% | 38% | 20% |
- Josh Shapiro vs. Donald Trump
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample sizeШаблон:Efn |
Margin of error |
Josh Shapiro Шаблон:Nobold |
Donald Trump Шаблон:Nobold |
Other / Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muhlenberg College | November 20 – December 13, 2023 | 421 (RV) | ± 6.0% | Шаблон:Party shading/Democratic|48% | 37% | 15% |
See also
- United States presidential elections in Pennsylvania
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 Republican Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
- Partisan clients
References
Шаблон:Reflist Шаблон:2024 United States elections Шаблон:State results of the 2024 U.S. presidential election
