Английская Википедия:2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:For Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Elections in West Virginia The 2024 West Virginia gubernatorial election will be held on November 5, 2024, to elect the governor of West Virginia, concurrently with the 2024 U.S. presidential election, as well as elections to the United States Senate and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican Governor Jim Justice is term-limited and cannot seek re-election to a third consecutive term in office. Primary elections will take place on May 14, 2024.

Background

A conservative rural southern state, West Virginia is considered extremely Republican at the federal and state levels; Republicans hold all statewide executive offices and supermajorities in both state legislative houses, and since 2015 Senator Joe Manchin has been the state's only congressional Democrat. In the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump carried West Virginia by 38.93 percentage points.

Incumbent Governor Jim Justice was first elected in 2016 as a Democrat, defeating Bill Cole by 6.8 percentage points. Justice was re-elected in 2020 as a Republican, defeating Ben Salango by 33.3 percentage points.

With Jim Justice term-limited and unable to run for a third consecutive term as Governor, the Republican primary is expected to be competitive and crowded. Most analysts consider Republicans to be a heavy favorite, given the state's partisan lean and the margins from the previous election.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

• Terri Bradshaw, farmer
• Moore Capito, state delegate (2016–present), grandson of former governor Arch Moore, and son of U.S. Senator Shelley Moore Capito
• Chris Miller, automobile dealer and son of U.S. Representative Carol Miller
• Patrick Morrisey, West Virginia Attorney General (2013–present) and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2018
• Mac Warner, West Virginia Secretary of State (2017–present)
• Rashida Yost, preschool owner

Withdrew

• J.B. McCuskey, West Virginia State Auditor (2017–present) (running for attorney general)

Declined

• Kent Leonhardt, West Virginia Commissioner of Agriculture (2017–present) (running for re-election)
• Riley Moore, West Virginia State Treasurer (2021–present) and grandson of former governor Arch Moore (running for U.S. House)

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample sizeШаблон:Efn	Margin of error	Moore Capito	J.B. McCuskey	Chris Miller	Patrick Morrisey	Mac Warner	Other	Undecided
American Pulse Research & Polling (R)Шаблон:Efn-ua	November 13–14, 2023	414 (LV)	± 4.8%	23%	–	10%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|31%	14%	–	23%
CAMPШаблон:Efn-ua	November 10–12, 2023	863 (LV)	± 3.26%	18%	–	11%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|24%	21%	5%	21%
Orion StrategiesШаблон:Efn-ua	June 17–20, 2023	651 (LV)	± 6.0%	30%	3%	5%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|31%	9%	5%	17%
National Research Inc.	February 23–28, 2023	600 (LV)	± 4.0%	15%	3%	6%	Шаблон:Party shading/Republican|28%	11%	3%Шаблон:Efn	Шаблон:Party shading/Undecided|29%

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

• Steve Williams, mayor of Huntington (2013–present) and former state delegate (1986–1994)

Declined

• Joe Manchin, U.S. Senator (2010–present) and former governor (2005–2010)
• Ben Salango, Kanawha County commissioner and nominee for governor in 2020

Other candidates

Constitution Party

Declared

• S. Marshall Wilson, former Republican state delegate (2017–2021) and write-in candidate for governor in 2020

Libertarian Party

Declared

• Erika Kolenich, attorney and nominee for governor in 2020

Mountain Party

Declared

• Chase Linko-Looper, human rights advocate and U.S. Army veteran

General election

Though major pundits consider the election to be safe for the republican nominee, there is potential that the election could be closer, as West Virginia typically elects Democrats to the Governor's office, and Steve Williams is considered to be a strong candidate for the Democrats.

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 21, 2023
Inside Elections	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 14, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 13, 2023
Elections Daily	Шаблон:USRaceRating	July 12, 2023

Notes

Partisan clients

External links

Official campaign websites

• Moore Capito (R) for Governor
• Chase Linko-Looper (M) for Governor
• Chris Miller (R) for Governor
• Patrick Morrisey (R) for Governor
• Mac Warner (R) for Governor
• Rashida Yost (R) for Governor