Английская Википедия:2027 French presidential election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Section move from Шаблон:Infobox election Шаблон:Politics of France The first round of the 2027 French presidential election is scheduled to be held between 8 and 23 April 2027, with the potential second round held two weeks afterwards. However, it may be held earlier under exceptional circumstances, such as the resignation or death of the president. Incumbent president Emmanuel Macron is not eligible to run in the election, as he is bound to a two consecutive term limit.
Electoral system
The president of the French Republic is elected to a five-year term in a two-round election under Article 7 of the constitution: if no candidate secures an absolute majority (including blank and void ballots) of votes in the first round, a second round is held two weeks later between the two candidates who received the most votes.[1] Per the constitution, the first round of the presidential election must be held between 20 and 35 days before the transition of power at the end of the five-year term of the incumbent president. Because Emmanuel Macron took office on 14 May 2022, the transition of power is slated to take place on 13 May 2027, meaning that the first round of the presidential election will be held between 8 and 23 April 2027, with the second round held two weeks after the first.[2]
To be listed on the first-round ballot, candidates must secure 500 signatures (often referred to as parrainages) from national or local elected officials from at least 30 different departments or overseas collectivities, with no more than a tenth of these signatories from any single department.[3] According to the Article 6 of the French constitution,[4] the president cannot "exercise more than two consecutive periods in office". For that reason, Emmanuel Macron is no longer eligible to run in the election for a third consecutive term.
Potential candidates
National Rally
- Marine Le Pen[5] (Member of the National Assembly for Pas-de-Calais's 11th constituency)
- Jordan Bardella[6] (Member of the European Parliament)
The Republicans
Ensemble
According to reporting by Le Monde, former Prime Minister Édouard Philippe, Interior Minister Gérald Darmanin, and Economy Minister Bruno Le Maire are seen as allies of Macron who may run to succeed him in 2027.[8]
- Édouard Philippe[9] (former Prime Minister of France)
- Bruno Le Maire[10] (Minister of the Economy, Finance and Recovery)
- Gérald Darmanin[11] (Minister of the Interior)
- Olivier Véran[12] (Government Spokesperson)
- Gabriel Attal[13] (Minister of Education)
Socialist Party
- Olivier Faure[14] (First Secretary of the Socialist Party (France), Member of the National Assembly)
- Carole Delga[15] (President of the Occitanian Regional Council)
- Bernard Cazeneuve[16] (former Prime Minister of France)
La France Insoumise
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon[17] (former Member of the National Assembly for Bouches-du-Rhône's 4th constituency)
- François Ruffin[18] (Member of the National Assembly for Somme's 1st constituency)
Opinion polling
First round
| Polling firm |
Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | |||
| Ifop | rowspan="5" Шаблон:Opdrts | 1,179 | 1% | 1% | 6% | 14% | – | 5% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | – | – | – | 19% | – | – | – | 4% | 6% | 3% | 33% | – | 6% |
| 1.5% | 1.5% | 6% | 15% | – | 6% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | 16% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.5% | 6% | 2.5% | 33% | – | 7% | |||
| 1.5% | 1% | 7% | 15% | – | 5.5% | – | – | – | 2% | – | 18% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3% | 6% | 2.5% | 32% | – | 6.5% | |||
| 1.5% | 2% | 7.5% | – | 7% | 4% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26% | 2.5% | 6% | 3% | 32% | – | 6.5% | |||
| 1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | – | 4% | – | – | – | 1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 25% | 2.5% | 5% | 2% | 31% | – | 6.5% | |||
| Harris Interactive | rowspan="8" Шаблон:Opdrts | 2,525 | 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | – | – | – | 7% | 5% | – | – | 16% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 2% | 32% | – | 6% |
| 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | – | – | – | 8% | 6% | – | – | – | 14% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 2% | 32% | – | 6% | |||
| 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | – | – | – | 9% | 5% | – | – | – | – | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | 2% | 33% | – | 6% | |||
| 1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | – | – | – | 10% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | 10% | 3% | 33% | – | 6% | |||
| 1% | 2% | 5% | 16% | – | – | – | 8% | 7% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 12% | – | – | – | – | 8% | 2% | 32% | – | 7% | |||
| 1% | 2% | 6% | 17% | – | – | – | 9% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | – | – | – | 9% | 2% | 33% | – | 6% | |||
| 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | – | – | – | 10% | 6% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 8% | – | – | 9% | 3% | 33% | – | 6% | |||
| 1% | 2% | 6% | 16% | – | – | – | 5% | 5% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 22% | – | 5% | 2% | 30% | – | 6% | |||
| OpinionWay | Шаблон:Opdrts | 1,038 | 1% | 3% | – | 17% | – | 6% | – | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 32% | – | 7% | – | – | 23% | 9% |
| Harris Interactive | 6–7 Apr 2023 | 1,320 | 1% | 1% | 4% | 16% | – | – | – | 5% | 4% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | 5% | 2% | 30% | – | 7% |
| 1% | 1% | 5% | 18% | – | – | – | 7% | 5% | – | – | 16% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 5% | 2% | 32% | – | 7% | |||
| 1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | – | – | – | 8% | 5% | – | – | – | 10% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 7% | 2% | 33% | – | 8% | |||
| 1% | 1% | 4% | 17% | – | – | 3% | – | 4% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 24% | – | 5% | 2% | 31% | – | 7% | |||
| Ifop | rowspan="5" Шаблон:Opdrts | 1,105 | 1% | 2.5% | 5% | 17% | – | 3% | – | – | – | 1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 26% | 2% | 5% | 2.5% | 29% | – | 6% |
| 1% | 2.5% | – | 22% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 28% | 2.5% | 4% | 3% | 31% | – | 6% | |||
| 1% | 2.5% | 6% | 20% | – | 2% | – | – | – | 1% | – | 18% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2.5% | 6% | 3% | 32% | – | 6% | |||
| 0.5% | 2.5% | 5% | 20% | – | 3% | – | – | – | 2% | – | – | 11% | – | – | – | – | – | – | 2% | 8% | 4% | 35% | – | 7% | |||
| 1% | 1.5% | 6.5% | 20% | – | 2% | – | – | – | 1% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 9% | – | 3% | 10% | 3% | 36% | – | 7% | |||
| 2022 election | Шаблон:Opdrts | – | 0.56% | 0.76% | 2.28% | 21.95% | – | – | – | 4.63% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 3.13% | – | 2.06% | 23.15% | – | 7.07% |
Scenario polling
Re-run of the 2022 election
Macron is not eligible to run for a third consecutive term.
First round
| Polling firm |
Fieldwork date |
Sample size |
Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header | Шаблон:Vert header |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | |||
| Cluster17 | Шаблон:Opdrts | 1,580 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 5% | 17.5% | 2% | 5% | 24.5% | 3% | 3.5% | 3% | 29.5% | 6.5% |
| Odoxa | Шаблон:Opdrts | 1,005 | 1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 2% | 4% | 23% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 32% | 5% |
| Elabe | Шаблон:Opdrts | 1,808 | 0.5% | 1% | 4% | 18.5% | 1.5% | 5% | 23% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 31% | 7% |
| Ifop | Шаблон:Opdrts | 1,105 | 0.5% | 1% | 5% | 17% | 2% | 5% | 25% | 1.5% | 4% | 2% | 31% | 6% |
| Cluster17 | Шаблон:Opdrts | 2,151 | 0.5% | 1% | 3% | 20% | 1% | 5% | 30% | 2.5% | 3% | 2.5% | 25.5% | 6% |
| Ifop | Шаблон:Opdrts | 1,125 | 0.5% | 1% | 3% | 17% | 2% | 6% | 29% | 1.5% | 3% | 2% | 30% | 5% |
| 2022 election | Шаблон:Opdrts | – | 0.56% | 0.76% | 2.28% | 21.95% | 1.74% | 4.63% | 27.85% | 3.13% | 4.78% | 2.06% | 23.15% | 7.07% |
Second round
| Polling
firm |
Fieldwork
date |
Sample
size |
Abstention | Файл:Emmanuel Macron in 2019(cropped).jpg | Файл:Le Pen, Marine-9586 (cropped).jpg |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Шаблон:Small | Шаблон:Small | ||||
| style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | style="background:Шаблон:Party color;" | | ||||
| Odoxa | Шаблон:Opdrts | 1,005 | – | 46% | 54% |
| Elabe | Шаблон:Opdrts | 1,808 | – | 45% | 55% |
| Cluster17 | Шаблон:Opdrts | 2,151 | – | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Ifop | Шаблон:Opdrts | 1,125 | – | 53% | 47% |
| 2022 election | Шаблон:Opdrts | – | 28.01% | 58.55% | 41.45% |
See also
Notes
References
Шаблон:Reflist Шаблон:French elections Шаблон:Future opinion polling
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
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- ↑ Шаблон:Cite news
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