Английская Википедия:44th Ontario general election

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Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use Canadian English Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election

The 44th Ontario general election is tentatively scheduled to be held on June 4, 2026. As of December 2016, Ontario elections are held on the first Thursday in June in the fourth calendar year following the previous general election,[1] unless the Legislative Assembly of Ontario is dissolved earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario due advice from the Premier of Ontario, a motion of no confidence or the failure of the Assembly to grant supply. Such a dissolution is unlikely as the current government has a majority.

Standings

Шаблон:Election table |- !rowspan="2" colspan="2" align=left|Party !rowspan="2" align=left|Party leader !colspan="2" align=center|Seats |- !align="center"|2022 !align="center"|Current Шаблон:Canadian party colour |align=left|Doug Ford |83 |79 Шаблон:Canadian party colour |align=left|Marit Stiles |31 |28 Шаблон:Canadian party colour |align=left|Bonnie Crombie |8 |9 Шаблон:Canadian party colour |align=left|Mike Schreiner |1 |2 Шаблон:Canadian party colour | colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Independent |1 |5 |- | | colspan="2" style="text-align:left;" | Vacant |0 |1 |- |align=left colspan="3"|Total | align="right"|124 | align="right"|124 |}

Timeline

2022

2023

Changes in seats held since June 2, 2022
Seat Before Change
Date Member Party Reason Date Member Party
Hamilton Centre August 15, 2022 Andrea Horwath[10][11] Шаблон:Canadian party colour Resignation from legislature.[a 1] March 16, 2023 Sarah Jama[12] Шаблон:Canadian party colour
Don Valley North March 10, 2023 Vincent Ke[13] Шаблон:Canadian party colour Resignation from PC caucus.[a 2] Шаблон:Canadian party colour
Kanata—Carleton March 24, 2023 Merrilee Fullerton[14] Шаблон:Canadian party colour Resignation from legislature.[a 3] July 27, 2023 Karen McCrimmon[15] Шаблон:Canadian party colour
Algoma—Manitoulin March 31, 2023 Michael Mantha[16] Шаблон:Canadian party colour Expelled from NDP caucus.[a 4] Шаблон:Canadian party colour
Scarborough—Guildwood May 10, 2023 Mitzie Hunter[17] Шаблон:Canadian party colour Resignation from legislature.[a 5] July 27, 2023 Andrea Hazell[18] Шаблон:Canadian party colour
Kitchener Centre July 13, 2023 Laura Mae Lindo[19][20] Шаблон:Canadian party colour Resignation from legislature.[a 6] November 30, 2023 Aislinn Clancy[21] Шаблон:Canadian party colour
Mississauga East—Cooksville September 20, 2023 Kaleed Rasheed[22] Шаблон:Canadian party colour Resignation from PC caucus.[a 7] Шаблон:Canadian party colour
Lambton—Kent—Middlesex September 22, 2023 Monte McNaughton[23] Шаблон:Canadian party colour Resignation from legislature[a 8] Vacant
Hamilton Centre October 23, 2023 Sarah Jama[24] Шаблон:Canadian party colour Expelled from NDP caucus.[a 9] Шаблон:Canadian party colour

Шаблон:Reflist

Ridings

The Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015[25] increased the number of electoral districts from 107 to 122, following the boundaries set out by the federal 2013 Representation Order for Ontario, while preserving the special boundaries of the 11 seats in Northern Ontario set out in the 1996 redistribution.

The Far North Electoral Boundaries Commission, appointed in 2016,[26] recommended the creation of the additional districts of Kiiwetinoong and Mushkegowuk—James Bay, carved out from the existing Kenora—Rainy River and Timmins—James Bay ridings, which accordingly raised the total number of seats to 124.[27][28] This was implemented through the Representation Statute Law Amendment Act, 2017.[29]

With the 2022 Canadian federal electoral redistribution, Ontario has been allotted 1 additional seat in the House of Commons, which could potentially increase the number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Ontario.

Opinion polls

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Шаблон:Row hover highlight

Polling firm Last date
of polling
Source PC NDP Liberal Green New Blue Other Margin of error Sample size Polling type Lead
style="background:Шаблон:Canadian party colour;"| style="background:Шаблон:Canadian party colour;"| style="background:Шаблон:Canadian party colour;"| style="background:Шаблон:Canadian party colour;"| style="background:Шаблон:Canadian party colour;"| style="background:Шаблон:Canadian party colour;"|
Abacus Data December 12, 2023 [30] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|39 24 27 6 Шаблон:N/a Шаблон:N/a ±3.1% 1,000 Online Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|12
Mainstreet Research December 4, 2023 [p 1] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|36 19 34 6 Шаблон:N/a 5 ±3.3% 872 Smart IVR Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|2
Шаблон:Sort Bonnie Crombie elected Leader of the Ontario Liberal Party.
Abacus Data November 28, 2023 [31] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|42 24 23 7 Шаблон:N/a 4 ±2.6% 1,500 Online Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|18
Innovative Research October 30, 2023 [p 2] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|41 26 25 7 Шаблон:N/a 2 Шаблон:N/a 925 Online Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|15
Abacus Data October 15, 2023 [p 3] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|40 24 24 7 Шаблон:N/a 5 ±3.7% 700 Online Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|16
Pallas Data September 27, 2023 [p 4][p 5] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|33.4 27.4 26.7 6.7 Шаблон:N/a 5.8 ±3.2% 964 IVR Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|6
Angus Reid September 6, 2023 [p 6] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|38 28 22 7 Шаблон:N/a 5 Шаблон:N/a 656 Online Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|10
Abacus Data September 4, 2023 [p 7] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|34 26 28 7 Шаблон:N/a 5 ±2.2% 2,003 Online Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|6
Pallas Data August 29, 2023 [p 8] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|37.3 25.8 26.9 5.2 Шаблон:N/a 4.9 ±3.2% 940 IVR Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|10.4
Abacus Data August 23, 2023 [p 9] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|38 24 25 7 Шаблон:N/a 6 ±3.1% 1,040 Online Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|13
Abacus Data July 25, 2023 [p 10] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|41 23 24 7 Шаблон:N/a 5 ±3.1% 1,000 Online Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|17
Mainstreet Research June 30, 2023 [p 11][p 12] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|34.7 24.7 25.0 10.7 Шаблон:N/a 4.9 ±3.1% 993 Smart IVR Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|9.7
Abacus Data June 11, 2023 [p 13][p 14] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|36 26 27 6 Шаблон:N/a 4 ±3.1% 1,000 Online Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|9
Counsel Public Affairs June 8, 2023 [p 15] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|39 23 27 7 Шаблон:N/a 4 Шаблон:N/a 1,323 Online Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|12
Angus Reid June 3, 2023 [p 16] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|36 27 25 6 Шаблон:N/a 6 Шаблон:N/a 653 Online Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|9
Angus Reid March 13, 2023 [p 17] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|38 30 20 6 Шаблон:N/a 6 ±3% 861 Online Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|8
Abacus Data March 4, 2023 [p 18] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|41 22 28 5 2 2 ±3.1% 1,000 Online Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|13
Mainstreet Research February 4, 2023 [p 19] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|36.8 19.4 23.3 11.2 Шаблон:N/a 9.4 ±2.9% 1,166 Smart IVR Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|13.5
Шаблон:Sort Marit Stiles declared Leader of the Ontario New Democratic Party
Angus Reid December 3, 2022 [p 20] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|37 27 25 6 Шаблон:N/a 5 ±3% 1,058 Online Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|10
Mainstreet Research December 2, 2022 [p 21] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|37.3 25.9 24.4 6.6 Шаблон:N/a 5.8 ±2.9% 1,162 Smart IVR Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|11.4
Abacus Data November 5, 2022 [p 22] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|38 26 27 5 3 2 ±3.1% 1,000 Online Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|11
EKOS June 20, 2022 [p 23][p 24] Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada) |37.5 23.3 19.2 9.8 5.2 5 ±2.7% 1,357 Online/Telephone Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada) |14.2
2022 election Шаблон:Dts Шаблон:N/A Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada) |40.82 23.74 23.85 5.96 2.72 2.90 Шаблон:N/A 4,683,796 Шаблон:N/A Шаблон:Party shading/Conservative (Canada)|16.97

Notes

Шаблон:Notelist

References

Шаблон:Reflist


Opinion poll sources

Шаблон:Reflist


External links

Шаблон:Canelections Шаблон:Ontario elections


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