Английская Википедия:44th Quebec general election
Шаблон:Short description Шаблон:Use mdy dates Шаблон:Infobox election
The 44th Quebec general election is scheduled to take place on or before October 5, 2026, to elect the members of the National Assembly of Quebec. Under the province's fixed election date law, passed in 2013, "the general election following the end of a Legislature shall be held on the first Monday of October of the fourth calendar year following the year that includes the last day of the previous Legislature",[1] setting the date for October 5, 2026. However, the act does not fetter the discretion of the Lieutenant Governor of Quebec to dissolve the legislature before that time, in accordance with the usual conventions of the Westminster parliamentary system.
Background
In the 2022 general election, the Coalition Avenir Québec increased its parliamentary majority, winning 90 seats. The Liberals, despite finishing fourth in the popular vote behind Québec solidaire and the Parti Québécois, remained the official opposition winning 21 seats.[2] The Parti Québecois lost most of its remaining seats but managed to elect its previously seatless leader Paul St-Pierre Plamondon to a seat.[3] The Conservatives increased their share of the vote to 13%; however, as their support was more spread out throughout Quebec, they did not gain any seats.[4]
Timeline
2022
- October 3: The Coalition Avenir Québec led by François Legault wins a second majority government in the 43rd Quebec general election.
- October 27: Liberal MNA for Vaudreuil Marie Claude Nichols was expelled from caucus after declining the Transport Critic role. She will sit as an independent. [5]
- November 7: Dominique Anglade resigns as the leader of the Quebec Liberal Party, triggering a leadership election to determine her successor.[6]
- November 10: LaFontaine MNA Marc Tanguay is named interim leader of the Quebec Liberal Party.[7]
- December 1: Former Liberal leader Dominique Anglade resigns as MNA for Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne.[6]
2023
- March 7: CAQ MNA for Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Marie-Louise Tardif temporarily quits her party after an investigation by the Sûreté du Québec over alleged threats against a former employee.[8]
- March 13: The Saint-Henri—Sainte-Anne provincial by-election is held, with Québec solidaire's Guillaume Cliche-Rivard being elected MNA.[9]
- March 28: Tardif rejoins the CAQ after the announcement that she won't face an accusation over her alleged threats.[10]
- May 16: Manon Massé announced that she will not seek re-election as female spokesperson at Québec Solidaire's next convention held from November 24 to 26, 2023, in Gatineau.[11][12]
- July 19: CAQ MNA for Jean-Talon Joëlle Boutin announced that she will resign from her seat on July 31, 2023.[13]
- October 2: The Jean-Talon provincial by-election is held, with Parti Québécois' Pascal Paradis being elected MNA.[14]
- October 7: Liberal MNA for Marguerite-Bourgeoys Frédéric Beauchemin is excluded from his party after he received a complaint for psychological harassment by Élyse Moisan, the president of the Liberal Party Youth Commission.[15]
- November 26: Émilise Lessard-Therrien is elected as Québec Solidaire's female spokesperson.[16]
- December 15: Beauchemin rejoins the Liberals after a mediation process led to the abandonment of the complaint for psychological harassment.[17]
Opinion polls
Opinion Polling since 2022 election Шаблон:Row hover highlight
Polling Aggregators
| Polling aggregator | Last date of update | Source | Шаблон:Tooltip | CAQ | QS | PQ | PLQ | PCQ | OtherШаблон:Efn | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour; width:60px;" | | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour; width:60px;" | | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour; width:60px;" | | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour; width:60px;" | | |||||||
| 338Canada | December 7, 2023 | [1] | Шаблон:Efn | 25.4 | 16.3 | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour" |30.7 | 14.7 | 11.5 | 1.4 | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour" |5.3 |
| Polling Canada | December 4, 2023 | [2] | Шаблон:N/a | 24.7 | 16.7 | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour" |30.7 | 14.6 | 11 | 2.3 | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour" |6 |
| 2022 election | Шаблон:Dts | 41.0 | 15.4 | 14.6 | 14.4 | 12.9 | 1.7 | style="background:Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 25.6 |
| Polling organisation | Last date of polling | Source | Sample size | Шаблон:Tooltip | CAQ | QS | PQ | PLQ | PCQ | Other | Lead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour; width:60px;" | | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour; width:60px;" | | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour; width:60px;" | | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour; width:60px;" | | ||||||||
| Leger | December 4, 2023 | 1,040 | ±3.04% | 25 | 17 | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour" |31 | 14 | 11 | 2 | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour" |6 | |
| Pallas Data | November 18, 2023 | 1,178 | ±2.86% | 24.1 | 16.1 | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour" |30.4 | 15.5 | 11.3 | 2.7 | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour" |6.3 | |
| Leger | October 30, 2023 | 1,026 | ±3.06% | 30 | 15 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 3 | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour" |4 | |
| PQ wins the by-election in Jean-Talon on October 2, 2023. | |||||||||||
| Pallas Data | September 27, 2023 | 1,095 | ±3.0% | 34.5 | 15.4 | 19 | 14.7 | 14.6 | 1.9 | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour " | 15.5 | |
| Leger | September 25, 2023 | 1,028 | ±3.06% | 34 | 17 | 22 | 14 | 12 | 1 | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour " | 12 | |
| Leger | August 21, 2023 | 1,036 | ±3.0% | 37 | 15 | 22 | 12 | 11 | 3 | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour " | 15 | |
| Leger | June 12, 2023 | 1,042 | ±3.0% | 37 | 16 | 23 | 13 | 9 | 2 | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour " | 14 | |
| Angus Reid | June 3, 2023 | 506 | Шаблон:N/a | 33 | 17 | 22 | 13 | 12 | 3Шаблон:Efn-la | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour " | 11 | |
| Leger | May 1, 2023 | 1,201 | ±3.0% | 36 | 16 | 22 | 14 | 10 | 2 | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour " | 14 | |
| QS wins the by-election in Saint-Henri–Sainte-Anne on March 13, 2023. | |||||||||||
| Leger | February 26, 2023 | 1,044 | ±3.0% | 40 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 9 | 2 | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour " | 22 | |
| Leger | December 10, 2022 | 1,002 | ±3.1% | 41 | 14 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 3 | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour " | 23 | |
| Leger | November 6, 2022 | 1,028 | ±3.1% | 36 | 19 | 18 | 14 | 11 | 3 | style="background-color:Шаблон:Canadian party colour " | 17 | |
| 2022 election | Шаблон:Dts | 4,169,137 | 41.0 | 15.4 | 14.6 | 14.4 | 12.9 | 1.7 | style="background:Шаблон:Canadian party colour | 25.6 | ||
Notes
Шаблон:Notelist Шаблон:Reflist
References
Шаблон:Canelections Шаблон:Quebec elections
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite canlaw
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- ↑ 6,0 6,1 Шаблон:Cite news
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