Английская Википедия:Ampara Polling Division

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The Ampara Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Ampara Electoral District, in the Eastern Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Ampara has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Ampara is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Ampara Ampara Electoral District MAE[1] % Sri Lanka MAE[2] %
2019 SLPP NDF 31.06% SLPP 11.35%
2015 UPFA NDF 26.91% NDF 13.19%
2010 UPFA NDF 19.33% UPFA 9.72%
2005 UPFA UNP 12.79% UPFA 5.50%
1999 PA PA 2.84% PA 0.45%
1994 PA PA 17.02% PA 7.09%
1988 UNP UNP 2.46% UNP 1.74%
1982 UNP UNP 3.12% UNP 1.21%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 5/8 14.44% 8/8 6.28%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ampara[3] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 89,674 64.69% 135,058 32.82% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 42,241 30.47% 259,673 63.09% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 3,984 2.87% 7,460 1.81% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,717 1.96% 9,379 2.28% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 138,616 99.45% 411,570 99.24% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 772 0.55% 3,158 0.76% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 139,388 87.20% 414,728 82.32% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 159,857 503,790 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ampara[4] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 76,409 61.10% 121,027 33.82% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 47,658 38.11% 233,360 65.22% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 997 0.80% 3,430 0.96% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 125,064 99.28% 357,817 99.27% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 911 0.72% 2,625 0.73% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 125,975 77.76% 360,442 73.85% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 161,999 488,067 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ampara[5] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 73,389 67.94% 146,912 47.92% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 32,895 30.45% 153,105 49.94% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,742 1.61% 6,545 2.13% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 108,026 99.44% 306,562 99.06% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 608 0.56% 2,912 0.94% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 108,634 74.67% 309,474 36.77% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 145,479 841,672 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ampara[6] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 57,624 55.85% 122,329 42.88% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 44,218 42.86% 159,198 55.81% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,337 1.30% 3,740 1.31% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 103,179 99.09% 285,267 98.98% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 949 0.91% 2,941 1.02% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 104,128 76.15% 288,208 70.65% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 136,738 407,918 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ampara[7] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 48,385 51.78% 149,593 55.59% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 39,712 42.50% 109,805 40.80% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,275 3.50% 3,822 1.42% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,074 2.22% 5,634 2.09% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 93,446 98.38% 269,100 98.34% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,538 1.62% 4,549 1.66% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 94,984 78.24% 273,649 78.47% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 121,407 348,712 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ampara[8] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 44,423 55.11% 168,289 72.36% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 34,832 43.21% 59,074 25.40% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,353 1.68% 5,218 2.24% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 80,608 97.87% 232,581 98.47% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,751 2.13% 3,621 1.53% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 82,359 73.50% 236,202 74.01% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 112,046 319,166 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ampara[9] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 34,251 50.37% 96,420 50.77% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 32,915 48.40% 83,137 43.78% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 839 1.23% 10,352 5.45% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 68,005 98.79% 189,909 98.04% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 831 1.21% 3,802 1.96% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 68,836 73.18% 193,711 72.72% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 94,068 266,396 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Ampara[10] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 29,049 54.71% 90,772 56.39% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 20,552 38.71% 53,096 32.99% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 3,039 5.72% 7,679 4.77% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 459 0.86% 9,423 5.85% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 53,099 99.09% 160,970 98.71% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 486 0.91% 2,101 1.29% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 53,585 82.77% 163,071 79.22% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 64,740 205,838 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Ampara has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Ampara is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Ampara Ampara Electoral District MAE[11] % Sri Lanka MAE[12] %
2015 UPFA UNP 11.32% UNP 5.74%
2010 UPFA UPFA 6.20% UPFA 2.60%
2004 UPFA UPFA 22.00% UPFA 9.13%
2001 UNP SLMC 20.69% UNP 2.99%
2000 PA PA 4.22% PA 3.68%
1994 PA UNP 22.31% PA 2.78%
1989 UNP UNP 24.61% UNP 6.33%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 5/7 15.91% 7/7 4.75%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ampara[13] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 60,506 52.72% 89,334 27.42% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 49,751 43.35% 151,013 46.34% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 4,029 3.51% 5,391 1.65% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 476 0.41% 80,110 24.59% 681,497 6.12%
Valid Votes 114,762 94.25% 325,848 94.55% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 6,963 5.72% 18,423 5.35% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 121,766 75.16% 344,618 73.99% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 161,999 465,757 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ampara[14] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 51,777 61.38% 132,096 51.66% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 29,812 35.34% 90,757 35.50% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,188 2.59% 2,917 1.14% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 575 0.68% 29,711 11.62% 275,183 3.43%
Valid Votes 84,352 1687040.00% 255,688 1345726.32% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2 40.00% 9 47.37% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 5 250.00% 19 237.50% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 2 8 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ampara[15] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 55,729 61.63% 111,747 38.56% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 31,525 34.86% 42,121 14.53% 3,486,792 37.73%
SLMC 1,681 1.86% 76,563 26.42% 186,880 2.02%
JHU 945 1.05% 1,130 0.39% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 545 0.60% 58,268 20.10% 720,358 7.79%
Valid Votes 90,425 92.69% 289,829 93.91% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 7,061 7.24% 18,264 5.92% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 97,561 73.70% 308,625 81.42% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 132,371 379,044 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ampara[16] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 41,149 45.33% 58,468 20.87% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 40,243 44.33% 65,246 23.29% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 7,994 8.81% 9,502 3.39% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,390 1.53% 146,974 52.46% 659,895 7.37%
Valid Votes 90,776 92.12% 280,190 94.20% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 7,764 7.88% 17,225 5.79% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 98,544 77.80% 297,440 82.51% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 126,660 360,497 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ampara[17] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 44,391 49.12% 136,423 51.13% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 40,526 44.84% 101,628 38.09% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 4,627 5.12% 5,696 2.13% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 836 0.92% 23,053 8.64% 225,112 2.62%
Valid Votes 90,380 N/A 266,800 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ampara[18] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 42,819 49.93% 54,150 22.49% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 42,100 49.09% 78,767 32.72% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 841 0.98% 107,849 44.79% 439,019 5.53%
Valid Votes 85,760 95.08% 240,766 94.98% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 4,439 4.92% 12,736 5.02% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 90,199 80.50% 253,502 79.54% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 112,046 318,710 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Ampara[19] Ampara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 37,611 56.02% 62,600 29.29% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 28,602 42.60% 45,400 21.24% 1,785,369 31.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 924 1.38% 105,714 49.47% 391,575 7.00%
Valid Votes 67,137 94.24% 213,714 95.22% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 4,104 5.76% 10,727 4.78% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 71,241 76.68% 224,441 84.45% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 92,901 265,768 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Ampara Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (99.1%) . In comparison, the Ampara Electoral District (which contains the Ampara Polling Division) has a Moor plurality (43.4%), a significant Sinhalese population (38.9%) and a significant Sri Lankan Tamil population (17.3%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

Religion

The Ampara Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (98.8%) . In comparison, the Ampara Electoral District (which contains the Ampara Polling Division) has a Muslim plurality (43.4%), a significant Buddhist population (38.7%) and a significant Hindu population (15.8%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

References

Шаблон:Reflist

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  1. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ampara and the Ampara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  2. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ampara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  4. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  5. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  6. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  7. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  8. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  9. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  10. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  11. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ampara and the Ampara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  12. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Ampara and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  14. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  15. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  16. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  17. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  18. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  19. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  20. ↑ 20,0 20,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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