Английская Википедия:Anuradhapura East Polling Division

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The Anuradhapura East Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Anuradhapura Electoral District, in the North Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Anuradhapura East has matched the final country result 6 out of 8 times. Hence, Anuradhapura East is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Anuradhapura East Anuradhapura Electoral District MAE[1] % Sri Lanka MAE[2] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 2.22% SLPP 8.84%
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.95% NDF 3.90%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.26% UPFA 5.89%
2005 UPFA UPFA 1.24% UPFA 5.98%
1999 PA PA 2.10% PA 0.88%
1994 PA PA 1.17% PA 0.47%
1988 SLFP SLFP 3.42% UNP 5.21%
1982 UNP UNP 1.66% UNP 5.15%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/8 6/8 2.00% 8/8 4.54%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Anuradhapura East[3] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 49,708 60.71% 342,223 58.97% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 25,910 31.64% 202,348 34.87% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 4,567 5.58% 22,879 3.94% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,694 2.07% 12,896 2.22% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 81,879 98.99% 580,346 99.16% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 836 1.01% 4,916 0.84% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 82,715 85.00% 585,262 85.76% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 97,314 682,450 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Anuradhapura East[4] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 38,947 51.69% 281,161 53.59% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 35,779 47.49% 238,407 45.44% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 621 0.82% 5,065 0.97% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 75,347 99.14% 524,633 99.15% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 651 0.86% 4,500 0.85% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 75,998 77.89% 529,133 77.71% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 97,576 680,877 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Anuradhapura East[5] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 41,418 64.13% 298,448 66.32% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 22,270 34.48% 143,761 31.94% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 894 1.38% 7,829 1.74% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 64,582 99.21% 450,038 99.17% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 517 0.79% 3,785 0.83% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 65,099 73.84% 453,823 73.65% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 88,157 616,186 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Anuradhapura East[6] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,726 56.43% 231,040 55.08% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 25,382 42.47% 182,956 43.62% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 656 1.10% 5,438 1.30% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 59,764 99.07% 419,434 98.92% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 563 0.93% 4,563 1.08% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 60,327 74.50% 423,997 75.41% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 80,971 562,259 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Anuradhapura East[7] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 25,187 51.26% 189,073 54.14% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 20,153 41.02% 139,180 39.86% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 2,996 6.10% 14,612 4.18% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 798 1.62% 6,336 1.81% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 49,134 97.98% 349,201 98.05% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,015 2.02% 6,949 1.95% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 50,149 72.67% 356,150 75.63% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 69,006 470,907 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Anuradhapura East[8] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 27,421 62.78% 200,146 63.99% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 15,490 35.46% 107,342 34.32% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 766 1.75% 5,309 1.70% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 43,677 97.89% 312,797 98.05% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 943 2.11% 6,205 1.95% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 44,620 71.91% 319,002 76.16% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 62,048 418,857 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Anuradhapura East[9] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 11,516 51.31% 73,154 55.15% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 10,310 45.94% 56,951 42.94% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 617 2.75% 2,529 1.91% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 22,443 98.37% 132,634 98.36% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 371 1.63% 2,207 1.64% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 22,814 45.32% 134,841 40.18% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 50,340 335,551 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Anuradhapura East[10] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 15,856 48.07% 117,873 49.84% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 14,944 45.31% 102,973 43.54% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,891 5.73% 13,911 5.88% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 291 0.88% 1,766 0.75% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 32,982 98.90% 236,523 99.04% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 366 1.10% 2,294 0.96% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 33,348 80.13% 238,817 84.68% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 41,615 282,018 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Anuradhapura East has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Anuradhapura East is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Anuradhapura East Anuradhapura Electoral District MAE[11] % Sri Lanka MAE[12] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.83% UNP 3.83%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.86% UPFA 5.19%
2004 UPFA UPFA 0.72% UPFA 5.60%
2001 UNP UNP 1.99% UNP 1.54%
2000 PA PA 1.44% PA 1.17%
1994 PA PA 0.56% PA 3.19%
1989 UNP UNP 2.87% UNP 5.89%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 1.47% 7/7 3.77%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Anuradhapura East[13] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 32,314 47.33% 229,856 48.39% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 28,944 42.39% 213,072 44.85% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 6,497 9.52% 28,701 6.04% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 521 0.76% 3,418 0.72% 80,543 0.72%
Valid Votes 68,276 95.45% 475,047 94.28% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,224 4.51% 28,462 5.65% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 71,533 73.31% 503,845 79.13% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 97,576 636,733 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Anuradhapura East[14] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 30,497 65.89% 221,204 66.52% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 11,019 23.81% 80,360 24.17% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 4,541 9.81% 18,129 5.45% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 230 0.50% 12,845 3.86% 30,824 0.38%
Valid Votes 46,287 94.28% 332,538 93.55% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,807 5.72% 22,930 6.45% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 49,094 55.69% 355,468 57.35% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 88,157 619,845 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Anuradhapura East[15] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 30,591 57.05% 212,943 57.22% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 20,623 38.46% 148,612 39.94% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 2,045 3.81% 8,034 2.16% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 361 0.67% 2,536 0.68% 51,070 0.55%
Valid Votes 53,620 94.48% 372,125 94.59% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,134 5.52% 21,281 5.41% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 56,754 73.33% 393,406 76.52% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 77,391 514,149 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Anuradhapura East[16] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,421 44.84% 165,055 45.93% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 20,359 38.98% 149,393 41.57% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 7,739 14.82% 40,005 11.13% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 709 1.36% 4,891 1.36% 108,710 1.21%
Valid Votes 52,228 95.33% 359,344 94.78% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 2,560 4.67% 19,796 5.22% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 54,788 74.41% 379,140 77.41% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 73,626 489,776 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Anuradhapura East[17] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 23,078 46.11% 169,424 48.30% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 20,825 41.61% 144,662 41.24% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 4,587 9.16% 21,274 6.06% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 997 1.99% 6,042 1.72% 245,927 2.86%
NUA 567 1.13% 9,369 2.67% 185,593 2.16%
Valid Votes 50,054 N/A 350,771 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Anuradhapura East[18] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 25,277 54.52% 180,454 55.19% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 19,949 43.03% 142,084 43.45% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 849 1.83% 3,077 0.94% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 285 0.61% 1,369 0.42% 68,538 0.86%
Valid Votes 46,360 96.11% 326,984 95.72% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,878 3.89% 14,620 4.28% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 48,238 77.74% 341,604 81.54% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 62,048 418,959 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Anuradhapura East[19] Anuradhapura Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 10,763 59.52% 92,726 56.39% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 6,552 36.23% 64,010 38.92% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 376 2.08% 1,724 1.05% 141,983 2.54%
ELJP 201 1.11% 1,397 0.85% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 190 1.05% 4,588 2.79% 102,765 1.84%
Valid Votes 18,082 93.25% 164,445 92.03% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 1,309 6.75% 14,245 7.97% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 19,391 39.53% 178,690 53.49% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 49,059 334,073 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Anuradhapura East Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (87.8%) and a significant Moor population (11.2%) . In comparison, the Anuradhapura Electoral District (which contains the Anuradhapura East Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (91.0%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

Religion

The Anuradhapura East Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (87.0%) and a significant Muslim population (11.2%) . In comparison, the Anuradhapura Electoral District (which contains the Anuradhapura East Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (90.1%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

References

Шаблон:Reflist

  1. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Anuradhapura East and the Anuradhapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Anuradhapura East and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. Шаблон:Cite web
  4. Шаблон:Cite web
  5. Шаблон:Cite web
  6. Шаблон:Cite web
  7. Шаблон:Cite web
  8. Шаблон:Cite web
  9. Шаблон:Cite web
  10. Шаблон:Cite web
  11. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Anuradhapura East and the Anuradhapura Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Anuradhapura East and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. Шаблон:Cite web
  14. Шаблон:Cite web
  15. Шаблон:Cite web
  16. Шаблон:Cite web
  17. Шаблон:Cite web
  18. Шаблон:Cite web
  19. Шаблон:Cite web
  20. 20,0 20,1 Шаблон:Cite web