Английская Википедия:Appeal to probability

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An appeal to probability (or appeal to possibility, also known as possibiliter ergo probabiliter, "possibly, therefore probably") is the logical fallacy of taking something for granted because it is possibly the case.Шаблон:SfnШаблон:Sfn The fact that an event is possible does not imply that the event is probable, nor that the event was realized.

Example

A fallacious appeal to possibility:

Something can go wrong Шаблон:Small.
Therefore, something will go wrong Шаблон:Small.
If I do not bring my umbrella Шаблон:Small
It will rain. Шаблон:Small.

Murphy's law is a (typically deliberate, tongue-in-cheek) invocation of the fallacy.Шаблон:Fact

References

Notes

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Bibliography

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Шаблон:Formal fallacy