Английская Википедия:Balapitiya Polling Division

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The Balapitiya Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Galle Electoral District, in the Southern Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Balapitiya has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Balapitiya is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Balapitiya Galle Electoral District MAE[1] % Sri Lanka MAE[2] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 1.36% SLPP 12.50%
2015 UPFA UPFA 2.74% NDF 10.62%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.25% UPFA 6.75%
2005 UPFA UPFA 1.84% UPFA 6.20%
1999 PA PA 1.82% PA 2.03%
1994 PA PA 3.20% PA 4.23%
1988 UNP SLFP 13.11% UNP 6.08%
1982 UNP UNP 5.73% UNP 2.98%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 6/8 3.88% 8/8 6.42%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Balapitiya[3] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 28,185 66.07% 466,148 64.26% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 12,567 29.46% 217,401 29.97% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 1,127 2.64% 27,006 3.72% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 779 1.83% 14,803 2.04% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 42,658 99.29% 725,358 99.20% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 306 0.71% 5,878 0.80% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 42,964 81.30% 731,236 85.15% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 52,844 858,749 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Balapitiya[4] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 23,283 58.45% 377,126 55.64% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 16,196 40.66% 293,994 43.37% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 352 0.88% 6,691 0.99% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 39,831 99.04% 677,811 99.05% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 388 0.96% 6,516 0.95% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 40,219 76.10% 684,327 80.46% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 52,852 850,549 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Balapitiya[5] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 23,634 64.93% 386,971 63.69% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 12,198 33.51% 211,633 34.83% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 569 1.56% 9,017 1.48% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 36,401 99.34% 607,621 99.38% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 241 0.66% 3,765 0.62% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 36,642 73.12% 611,386 77.82% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 50,109 785,663 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Balapitiya[6] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 20,743 56.59% 347,233 58.41% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 15,460 42.18% 239,320 40.26% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 449 1.23% 7,915 1.33% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 36,652 99.21% 594,468 99.08% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 291 0.79% 5,540 0.92% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 36,943 75.66% 600,008 79.86% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 48,826 751,327 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Balapitiya[7] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 17,524 53.43% 281,154 54.91% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 13,372 40.77% 195,906 38.26% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 1,466 4.47% 27,257 5.32% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 438 1.34% 7,702 1.50% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 32,800 98.38% 512,019 98.14% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 539 1.62% 9,716 1.86% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 33,339 72.81% 521,735 77.43% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 45,790 673,785 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Balapitiya[8] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 17,307 58.25% 285,398 61.40% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 12,087 40.68% 173,282 37.28% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 320 1.08% 6,135 1.32% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 29,714 98.75% 464,815 98.49% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 375 1.25% 7,112 1.51% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 30,089 68.40% 471,927 73.01% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 43,988 646,373 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Balapitiya[9] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 5,093 57.08% 124,912 44.62% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 3,475 38.95% 148,615 53.09% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 354 3.97% 6,417 2.29% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 8,922 98.22% 279,944 98.43% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 162 1.78% 4,461 1.57% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 9,084 22.04% 284,405 49.34% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 41,220 576,390 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Balapitiya[10] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 14,949 52.38% 211,544 50.23% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 9,295 32.57% 180,925 42.96% 2,546,348 39.05%
LSSP 3,060 10.72% 6,391 1.52% 58,531 0.90%
JVP 1,178 4.13% 20,962 4.98% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 59 0.21% 1,316 0.31% 190,929 2.93%
Valid Votes 28,541 98.12% 421,138 98.78% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 546 1.88% 5,198 1.22% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 29,087 77.68% 426,336 81.84% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 37,444 520,909 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Balapitiya has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Balapitiya is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Balapitiya Galle Electoral District MAE[11] % Sri Lanka MAE[12] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.22% UNP 6.00%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.11% UPFA 3.49%
2004 UPFA UPFA 3.31% UPFA 4.51%
2001 UNP UNP 2.14% UNP 1.90%
2000 PA PA 2.95% PA 2.25%
1994 PA PA 3.24% PA 2.58%
1989 UNP UNP 13.14% UNP 7.12%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 6/7 3.87% 7/7 3.98%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Balapitiya[13] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 18,237 50.59% 312,518 50.07% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 14,524 40.29% 265,180 42.49% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 2,099 5.82% 37,778 6.05% 544,154 4.88%
BJP 867 2.41% 3,041 0.49% 20,377 0.18%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 322 0.89% 5,618 0.90% 62,475 0.56%
Valid Votes 36,049 97.27% 624,135 97.63% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 1,002 2.70% 15,107 2.36% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 37,061 70.12% 639,318 78.00% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 52,852 819,666 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Balapitiya[14] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 17,374 65.01% 305,307 66.17% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 7,295 27.30% 120,101 26.03% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,899 7.11% 33,663 7.30% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 158 0.59% 2,317 0.50% 32,313 0.40%
Valid Votes 26,726 95.44% 461,388 95.05% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 1,277 4.56% 24,013 4.95% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 28,003 55.88% 485,401 61.67% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 50,109 787,139 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Balapitiya[15] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 18,002 52.61% 306,385 56.58% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 14,117 41.26% 209,399 38.67% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,944 5.68% 22,826 4.22% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 154 0.45% 2,901 0.54% 60,066 0.65%
Valid Votes 34,217 95.83% 541,511 94.69% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 1,489 4.17% 30,380 5.31% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 35,706 73.79% 571,891 79.81% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 48,387 716,609 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Balapitiya[16] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 16,030 46.59% 238,989 44.10% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 13,956 40.56% 232,931 42.98% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 3,930 11.42% 61,806 11.41% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 494 1.44% 8,188 1.51% 143,033 1.60%
Valid Votes 34,410 96.02% 541,914 95.66% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 1,426 3.98% 24,561 4.34% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 35,836 75.01% 566,475 81.09% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 47,774 698,558 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Balapitiya[17] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 15,755 47.05% 264,601 50.08% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 14,594 43.58% 212,055 40.14% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 2,417 7.22% 41,620 7.88% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 720 2.15% 10,072 1.91% 250,489 2.91%
Valid Votes 33,486 N/A 528,348 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Balapitiya[18] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 16,907 53.37% 277,956 56.39% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 14,239 44.95% 203,268 41.24% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 421 1.33% 7,239 1.47% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 111 0.35% 4,451 0.90% 69,351 0.87%
Valid Votes 31,678 95.83% 492,914 95.96% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 1,380 4.17% 20,763 4.04% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 33,058 75.15% 513,677 79.57% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 43,988 645,559 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Balapitiya[19] Galle Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 13,052 53.97% 183,962 50.40% 2,838,005 50.71%
USA 6,475 26.77% 18,160 4.98% 141,983 2.54%
SLFP 4,130 17.08% 152,096 41.67% 1,785,369 31.90%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 527 2.18% 10,787 2.96% 360,219 6.44%
Valid Votes 24,184 91.69% 365,005 93.94% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,191 8.31% 23,536 6.06% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 26,375 65.37% 388,541 68.03% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 40,345 571,146 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Balapitiya Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (98.1%) . In comparison, the Galle Electoral District (which contains the Balapitiya Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (94.4%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

Religion

The Balapitiya Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (97.9%) . In comparison, the Galle Electoral District (which contains the Balapitiya Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (93.9%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

References

Шаблон:Reflist

  1. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Balapitiya and the Galle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Balapitiya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. Шаблон:Cite web
  4. Шаблон:Cite web
  5. Шаблон:Cite web
  6. Шаблон:Cite web
  7. Шаблон:Cite web
  8. Шаблон:Cite web
  9. Шаблон:Cite web
  10. Шаблон:Cite web
  11. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Balapitiya and the Galle Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Balapitiya and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. Шаблон:Cite web
  14. Шаблон:Cite web
  15. Шаблон:Cite web
  16. Шаблон:Cite web
  17. Шаблон:Cite web
  18. Шаблон:Cite web
  19. Шаблон:Cite web
  20. 20,0 20,1 Шаблон:Cite web