Английская Википедия:Dambulla Polling Division

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The Dambulla Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Matale Electoral District, in the Central Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Dambulla has matched the final country result 7 out of 8 times. Hence, Dambulla is a Strong Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Dambulla Matale Electoral District MAE[1] % Sri Lanka MAE[2] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 5.47% SLPP 8.07%
2015 UPFA UPFA 5.23% NDF 9.14%
2010 UPFA UPFA 6.00% UPFA 7.94%
2005 UPFA UNP 4.09% UPFA 2.12%
1999 PA PA 1.03% PA 0.78%
1994 PA PA 0.82% PA 1.96%
1988 UNP UNP 1.61% UNP 4.37%
1982 UNP UNP 5.10% UNP 1.34%
Matches/Mean MAE 7/8 6/8 3.67% 8/8 4.46%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Dambulla[3] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 68,177 61.11% 187,821 55.37% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 37,717 33.81% 134,291 39.59% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 3,221 2.89% 8,890 2.62% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,457 2.20% 8,219 2.42% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 111,572 99.11% 339,221 99.05% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 1,000 0.89% 3,252 0.95% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 112,572 85.14% 342,473 85.30% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 132,221 401,496 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Dambulla[4] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 57,657 56.82% 158,880 51.41% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 42,652 42.03% 145,928 47.22% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,163 1.15% 4,214 1.36% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 101,472 98.95% 309,022 98.83% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,074 1.05% 3,653 1.17% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 102,546 77.79% 312,675 78.76% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 131,831 397,005 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Dambulla[5] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 58,016 65.97% 157,953 59.74% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 28,171 32.03% 100,513 38.01% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,762 2.00% 5,953 2.25% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 87,949 99.12% 264,419 99.00% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 778 0.88% 2,666 1.00% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 88,727 74.28% 267,085 75.08% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 119,453 355,738 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Dambulla[6] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 43,853 52.34% 120,533 48.09% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 38,692 46.18% 125,937 50.25% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,233 1.47% 4,150 1.66% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 83,778 98.74% 250,620 98.51% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 1,073 1.26% 3,785 1.49% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 84,851 76.17% 254,405 76.51% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 111,401 332,515 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Dambulla[7] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 35,811 49.90% 111,232 51.42% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 30,850 42.99% 91,944 42.51% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,496 4.87% 7,924 3.66% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,611 2.24% 5,210 2.41% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 71,768 97.45% 216,310 97.23% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,876 2.55% 6,171 2.77% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 73,644 75.65% 222,481 76.18% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 97,348 292,055 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Dambulla[8] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 37,869 60.20% 121,449 60.98% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 23,746 37.75% 73,324 36.82% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,291 2.05% 4,391 2.20% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 62,906 97.73% 199,164 97.40% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,458 2.27% 5,317 2.60% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 64,364 74.96% 204,481 76.95% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 85,870 265,743 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Dambulla[9] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 4,276 56.20% 37,007 57.85% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 3,195 42.00% 25,825 40.37% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 137 1.80% 1,135 1.77% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 7,608 98.68% 63,967 98.29% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 102 1.32% 1,110 1.71% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 7,710 10.63% 65,077 30.13% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 72,515 215,999 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Dambulla[10] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 27,368 52.62% 94,031 58.11% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 21,748 41.81% 59,299 36.65% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 2,501 4.81% 7,169 4.43% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 395 0.76% 1,315 0.81% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 52,012 99.27% 161,814 99.13% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 385 0.73% 1,414 0.87% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 52,397 86.56% 163,228 85.97% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 60,536 189,867 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Dambulla has matched the final country result 6 out of 7 times. Hence, Dambulla is a Strong Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Dambulla Matale Electoral District MAE[11] % Sri Lanka MAE[12] %
2015 UPFA UNP 4.80% UNP 3.91%
2010 UPFA UPFA 3.35% UPFA 7.46%
2004 UPFA UPFA 5.73% UPFA 5.92%
2001 UNP UNP 1.63% UNP 2.45%
2000 PA PA 0.79% PA 2.78%
1994 PA PA 2.24% PA 2.45%
1989 UNP UNP 9.83% UNP 5.19%
Matches/Mean MAE 6/7 7/7 4.05% 7/7 4.31%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Dambulla[13] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 45,550 50.64% 126,315 45.57% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 40,378 44.89% 138,241 49.87% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 3,562 3.96% 10,947 3.95% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 467 0.52% 1,690 0.61% 82,293 0.74%
Valid Votes 89,957 93.04% 277,193 92.73% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 6,671 6.90% 21,537 7.21% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 96,686 73.34% 298,917 78.73% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 131,831 379,675 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Dambulla[14] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 42,847 70.40% 131,069 67.02% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 15,080 24.78% 55,737 28.50% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,645 4.35% 7,636 3.90% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 286 0.47% 1,122 0.57% 34,715 0.43%
Valid Votes 60,858 91.06% 195,564 90.93% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 5,932 8.88% 19,310 8.98% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 66,830 55.95% 215,060 60.23% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 119,453 357,063 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Dambulla[15] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 40,616 55.90% 108,259 49.19% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 29,456 40.54% 100,642 45.73% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,982 2.73% 8,819 4.01% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 606 0.83% 2,342 1.06% 54,554 0.59%
Valid Votes 72,660 91.32% 220,062 91.84% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 6,905 8.68% 19,549 8.16% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 79,565 74.12% 239,611 76.66% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 107,353 312,556 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Dambulla[16] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 34,066 47.73% 109,991 50.43% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 29,281 41.03% 88,999 40.81% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 6,958 9.75% 16,063 7.37% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,064 1.49% 3,037 1.39% 62,170 0.69%
Valid Votes 71,369 93.18% 218,090 93.38% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 5,225 6.82% 15,449 6.62% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 76,594 74.87% 233,539 77.95% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 102,302 299,606 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Dambulla[17] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 35,421 49.36% 110,213 50.53% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 30,455 42.44% 91,836 42.11% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 4,396 6.13% 10,673 4.89% 518,725 6.03%
NLF 778 1.08% 2,350 1.08% 32,275 0.38%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 706 0.98% 3,025 1.39% 182,723 2.12%
Valid Votes 71,756 N/A 218,097 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Dambulla[18] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 34,286 51.99% 102,680 49.85% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 30,468 46.20% 100,121 48.61% 3,498,370 44.04%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,197 1.81% 3,161 1.53% 138,277 1.74%
Valid Votes 65,951 94.44% 205,962 94.22% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,881 5.56% 12,646 5.78% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 69,832 81.32% 218,608 81.88% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 85,870 266,974 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Dambulla[19] Matale Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,381 53.76% 88,869 63.81% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 18,786 43.19% 45,717 32.82% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 882 2.03% 2,350 1.69% 67,723 1.21%
USA 445 1.02% 2,344 1.68% 141,983 2.54%
Valid Votes 43,494 91.93% 139,280 92.11% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 3,818 8.07% 11,927 7.89% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 47,312 65.97% 151,207 70.35% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 71,722 214,938 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Dambulla Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (90.9%) . In comparison, the Matale Electoral District (which contains the Dambulla Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (80.8%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

Religion

The Dambulla Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (88.4%) . In comparison, the Matale Electoral District (which contains the Dambulla Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (79.5%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

References

Шаблон:Reflist

  1. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Dambulla and the Matale Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Dambulla and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. Шаблон:Cite web
  4. Шаблон:Cite web
  5. Шаблон:Cite web
  6. Шаблон:Cite web
  7. Шаблон:Cite web
  8. Шаблон:Cite web
  9. Шаблон:Cite web
  10. Шаблон:Cite web
  11. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Dambulla and the Matale Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Dambulla and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. Шаблон:Cite web
  14. Шаблон:Cite web
  15. Шаблон:Cite web
  16. Шаблон:Cite web
  17. Шаблон:Cite web
  18. Шаблон:Cite web
  19. Шаблон:Cite web
  20. 20,0 20,1 Шаблон:Cite web