Английская Википедия:Hakmana Polling Division

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The Hakmana Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Matara Electoral District, in the Southern Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Hakmana has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Hakmana is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Hakmana Matara Electoral District MAE[1] % Sri Lanka MAE[2] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 3.54% SLPP 17.69%
2015 UPFA UPFA 6.40% NDF 16.43%
2010 UPFA UPFA 5.18% UPFA 12.55%
2005 UPFA UPFA 1.55% UPFA 13.09%
1999 PA PA 0.37% PA 4.57%
1994 PA PA 2.84% PA 0.49%
1988 SLFP SLFP 2.65% UNP 5.46%
1982 SLFP UNP 3.63% UNP 7.20%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 6/8 3.27% 8/8 9.68%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hakmana[3] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 55,814 71.13% 374,481 67.25% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 18,346 23.38% 149,026 26.76% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,750 3.50% 23,439 4.21% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,561 1.99% 9,922 1.78% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 78,471 99.47% 556,868 99.33% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 419 0.53% 3,782 0.67% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 78,890 86.18% 560,650 85.93% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 91,543 652,417 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hakmana[4] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 46,635 64.15% 297,823 57.81% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 25,164 34.62% 212,435 41.24% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 896 1.23% 4,892 0.95% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 72,695 98.98% 515,150 99.06% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 748 1.02% 4,891 0.94% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 73,443 80.01% 520,041 80.23% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 91,791 648,213 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hakmana[5] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 45,590 70.66% 296,155 65.53% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 17,626 27.32% 148,510 32.86% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,306 2.02% 7,264 1.61% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 64,522 99.30% 451,929 99.34% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 452 0.70% 3,025 0.66% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 64,974 75.83% 454,954 76.51% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 85,686 594,628 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hakmana[6] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 40,567 63.27% 279,411 61.85% 4,887,152 50.29%
UNP 22,366 34.88% 165,837 36.71% 4,706,366 48.43%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,185 1.85% 6,474 1.43% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 64,118 99.12% 451,722 99.11% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 571 0.88% 4,077 0.89% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 64,689 78.77% 455,799 78.95% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 82,128 577,327 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hakmana[7] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 29,115 54.77% 205,685 54.32% 4,312,157 51.12%
UNP 19,464 36.61% 139,677 36.89% 3,602,748 42.71%
JVP 3,471 6.53% 26,229 6.93% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,111 2.09% 7,047 1.86% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 53,161 98.18% 378,638 97.78% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 983 1.82% 8,583 2.22% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 54,144 72.04% 387,221 73.90% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 75,156 524,002 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hakmana[8] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 29,756 61.68% 227,865 64.69% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 17,473 36.22% 118,224 33.56% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,017 2.11% 6,150 1.75% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 48,246 98.31% 352,239 98.40% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 828 1.69% 5,731 1.60% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 49,074 69.23% 357,970 69.93% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 70,889 511,933 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hakmana[9] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 1,494 52.20% 57,424 54.30% 2,289,857 44.95%
UNP 1,327 46.37% 45,399 42.93% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLMP 41 1.43% 2,922 2.76% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 2,862 98.25% 105,745 98.14% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 51 1.75% 2,003 1.86% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 2,913 4.45% 107,748 23.80% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 65,407 452,637 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hakmana[10] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLFP 22,984 47.68% 144,587 43.29% 2,546,348 39.05%
UNP 22,146 45.95% 164,725 49.32% 3,450,815 52.93%
JVP 2,711 5.62% 22,117 6.62% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 360 0.75% 2,554 0.76% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 48,201 99.14% 333,983 99.08% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 420 0.86% 3,091 0.92% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 48,621 85.00% 337,074 82.90% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 57,203 406,595 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Hakmana has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Hakmana is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Hakmana Matara Electoral District MAE[11] % Sri Lanka MAE[12] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 6.79% UNP 13.70%
2010 UPFA UPFA 6.57% UPFA 9.68%
2004 UPFA UPFA 1.72% UPFA 9.29%
2001 PA UNP 1.02% UNP 4.53%
2000 PA PA 0.95% PA 3.37%
1994 PA PA 1.44% PA 6.89%
1989 UNP UNP 7.25% UNP 2.49%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 6/7 3.67% 7/7 7.14%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hakmana[13] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 40,128 60.34% 250,505 52.70% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 21,637 32.54% 186,675 39.27% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 3,936 5.92% 35,270 7.42% 544,154 4.88%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 798 1.20% 2,890 0.61% 62,184 0.56%
Valid Votes 66,499 96.73% 475,340 96.93% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 2,205 3.21% 12,692 2.59% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 68,745 74.89% 490,409 78.61% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 91,791 623,818 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hakmana[14] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 33,113 72.72% 213,937 65.31% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 9,971 21.90% 91,114 27.81% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 2,212 4.86% 20,465 6.25% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 239 0.52% 2,066 0.63% 53,531 0.67%
Valid Votes 45,535 94.65% 327,582 95.82% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,572 5.35% 14,289 4.18% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 48,107 56.14% 341,871 59.06% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 85,686 578,858 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hakmana[15] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 34,158 62.52% 241,235 60.27% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 18,582 34.01% 139,633 34.89% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 1,421 2.60% 16,229 4.05% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 472 0.86% 3,136 0.78% 54,133 0.59%
Valid Votes 54,633 93.42% 400,233 94.62% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,846 6.58% 22,769 5.38% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 58,479 73.17% 423,002 76.84% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 79,918 550,506 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hakmana[16] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 24,577 43.77% 171,141 42.37% 3,330,815 37.19%
UNP 23,457 41.77% 171,661 42.49% 4,086,026 45.62%
JVP 7,094 12.63% 54,476 13.49% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,027 1.83% 6,689 1.66% 133,373 1.49%
Valid Votes 56,155 93.54% 403,967 95.10% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,878 6.46% 20,820 4.90% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 60,033 77.04% 424,787 79.44% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 77,929 534,694 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hakmana[17] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,636 51.54% 203,690 51.47% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 21,728 39.11% 146,855 37.11% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 4,522 8.14% 38,757 9.79% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 674 1.21% 6,462 1.63% 238,931 2.78%
Valid Votes 55,560 N/A 395,764 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hakmana[18] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 30,834 58.60% 227,285 59.90% 3,887,805 48.94%
UNP 20,608 39.17% 142,024 37.43% 3,498,370 44.04%
SLPF 991 1.88% 8,736 2.30% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 181 0.34% 1,422 0.37% 68,538 0.86%
Valid Votes 52,614 94.67% 379,467 95.67% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,965 5.33% 17,167 4.33% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 55,579 78.40% 396,634 77.60% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 70,889 511,109 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hakmana[19] Matara Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 218 46.48% 45,734 56.11% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 149 31.77% 28,752 35.28% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 97 20.68% 1,481 1.82% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 5 1.07% 5,538 6.79% 232,463 4.15%
Valid Votes 469 91.60% 81,505 94.08% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 43 8.40% 5,128 5.92% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 512 0.79% 86,633 19.17% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 64,833 451,926 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Hakmana Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (97.9%) . In comparison, the Matara Electoral District (which contains the Hakmana Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (94.3%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

Religion

The Hakmana Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (97.9%) . In comparison, the Matara Electoral District (which contains the Hakmana Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (94.1%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

References

Шаблон:Reflist

  1. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hakmana and the Matara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  2. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hakmana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. Шаблон:Cite web
  4. Шаблон:Cite web
  5. Шаблон:Cite web
  6. Шаблон:Cite web
  7. Шаблон:Cite web
  8. Шаблон:Cite web
  9. Шаблон:Cite web
  10. Шаблон:Cite web
  11. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hakmana and the Matara Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  12. The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hakmana and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. Шаблон:Cite web
  14. Шаблон:Cite web
  15. Шаблон:Cite web
  16. Шаблон:Cite web
  17. Шаблон:Cite web
  18. Шаблон:Cite web
  19. Шаблон:Cite web
  20. 20,0 20,1 Шаблон:Cite web