Английская Википедия:Hali Ela Polling Division

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The Hali Ela Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Badulla Electoral District, in the Uva Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Hali Ela has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Hali Ela is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Hali Ela Badulla Electoral District MAE[1] % Sri Lanka MAE[2] %
2019 NDF SLPP 3.70% SLPP 6.50%
2015 NDF NDF 2.13% NDF 0.43%
2010 UPFA UPFA 2.37% UPFA 6.85%
2005 UNP UNP 0.17% UPFA 5.02%
1999 UNP UNP 0.62% PA 4.11%
1994 PA PA 1.38% PA 5.26%
1988 UNP UNP 1.44% UNP 7.01%
1982 UNP UNP 3.23% UNP 1.49%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 6/8 1.88% 8/8 4.58%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hali Ela[3] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 28,502 48.68% 251,706 44.92% 5,564,239 41.99%
SLPP 26,485 45.24% 276,211 49.29% 6,924,255 52.25%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 2,181 3.73% 17,622 3.14% 345,452 2.61%
NMPP 1,379 2.36% 14,806 2.64% 418,553 3.16%
Valid Votes 58,547 98.61% 560,345 98.77% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 824 1.39% 6,978 1.23% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 59,371 85.09% 567,323 86.25% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 69,776 657,766 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hali Ela[4] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
NDF 27,797 51.17% 249,524 49.21% 6,217,162 51.28%
UPFA 25,420 46.80% 249,243 49.15% 5,768,090 47.58%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,105 2.03% 8,303 1.64% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 54,322 98.12% 507,070 98.47% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 1,040 1.88% 7,871 1.53% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 55,362 79.19% 514,941 79.51% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 69,909 647,628 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hali Ela[5] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 23,758 50.65% 237,579 53.23% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 21,946 46.79% 198,835 44.55% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,202 2.56% 9,880 2.21% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 46,906 98.60% 446,294 98.66% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 665 1.40% 6,083 1.34% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 47,571 75.36% 452,377 75.62% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 63,124 598,190 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hali Ela[6] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 23,638 53.11% 226,582 53.11% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 19,946 44.81% 192,734 45.18% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 927 2.08% 7,283 1.71% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 44,511 98.27% 426,599 98.43% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 785 1.73% 6,825 1.57% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 45,296 78.23% 433,424 78.67% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 57,900 550,926 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hali Ela[7] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 18,382 47.24% 172,884 47.97% 3,602,748 42.71%
PA 18,253 46.91% 167,000 46.33% 4,312,157 51.12%
JVP 1,384 3.56% 12,025 3.34% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 894 2.30% 8,512 2.36% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 38,913 96.45% 360,421 97.04% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,433 3.55% 10,979 2.96% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 40,346 77.59% 371,400 78.25% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 51,998 474,610 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hali Ela[8] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 20,090 56.56% 182,810 55.27% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 14,430 40.62% 139,611 42.21% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 511 1.44% 4,504 1.36% 78,152 1.03%
Ind 2 491 1.38% 3,847 1.16% 58,888 0.78%
Valid Votes 35,522 95.02% 330,772 95.91% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 1,861 4.98% 14,093 4.09% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 37,383 76.59% 344,865 77.47% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 48,807 445,146 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hali Ela[9] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 10,005 58.40% 80,779 60.09% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 6,585 38.43% 50,223 37.36% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 543 3.17% 3,422 2.55% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 17,133 97.35% 134,424 97.62% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 466 2.65% 3,276 2.38% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 17,599 49.76% 137,700 44.21% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 35,367 311,473 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hali Ela[10] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 14,196 55.07% 141,062 58.67% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 10,249 39.76% 88,462 36.79% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,011 3.92% 7,713 3.21% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 322 1.25% 3,203 1.33% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 25,778 98.66% 240,440 98.77% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 351 1.34% 2,982 1.23% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 26,129 85.39% 243,422 85.47% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 30,598 284,801 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Hali Ela has matched the final country result 5 out of 7 times. Hence, Hali Ela is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Hali Ela Badulla Electoral District MAE[11] % Sri Lanka MAE[12] %
2015 UNP UNP 2.44% UNP 8.37%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.67% UPFA 1.89%
2004 UNP UNP 1.13% UPFA 5.57%
2001 UNP UNP 1.32% UNP 3.41%
2000 PA UNP 1.94% PA 2.11%
1994 UNP UNP 1.91% PA 8.90%
1989 UNP UNP 1.26% UNP 4.32%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/7 4/7 1.52% 7/7 4.94%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hali Ela[13] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 28,486 57.53% 258,844 54.82% 5,098,916 45.77%
UPFA 17,599 35.54% 179,459 38.01% 4,732,664 42.48%
JVP 2,070 4.18% 21,445 4.54% 544,154 4.88%
CWC 1,167 2.36% 10,259 2.17% 17,107 0.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 196 0.40% 2,159 0.46% 76,945 0.69%
Valid Votes 49,518 93.81% 472,166 95.03% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,204 6.07% 24,167 4.86% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 52,785 75.51% 496,849 80.07% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 69,909 620,486 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hali Ela[14] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 21,341 59.06% 203,689 58.25% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 11,858 32.81% 112,886 32.28% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,544 4.27% 15,768 4.51% 441,251 5.50%
UPF 1,173 3.25% 11,481 3.28% 24,670 0.31%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 221 0.61% 5,854 1.67% 28,670 0.36%
Valid Votes 36,137 92.59% 349,678 93.54% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 2,893 7.41% 24,169 6.46% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 39,030 61.83% 373,847 62.46% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 63,124 598,521 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hali Ela[15] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 19,125 50.20% 181,705 49.09% 3,486,792 37.73%
UPFA 17,926 47.05% 178,634 48.26% 4,223,126 45.70%
JHU 725 1.90% 6,932 1.87% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 324 0.85% 2,907 0.79% 57,589 0.62%
Valid Votes 38,100 90.74% 370,178 92.47% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,886 9.26% 30,159 7.53% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 41,986 75.33% 400,337 78.33% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 55,733 511,115 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hali Ela[16] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,754 52.05% 201,173 53.81% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 15,137 37.96% 138,443 37.03% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 2,775 6.96% 26,820 7.17% 815,353 9.10%
IND3 872 2.19% 5,065 1.35% 6,161 0.07%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 339 0.85% 2,336 0.62% 73,230 0.82%
Valid Votes 39,877 92.90% 373,837 93.35% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,047 7.10% 26,626 6.65% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 42,924 78.98% 400,463 81.51% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 54,349 491,288 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hali Ela[17] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 17,588 45.50% 154,172 42.71% 3,899,329 45.33%
UNP 17,338 44.86% 167,351 46.36% 3,451,765 40.12%
JVP 1,802 4.66% 16,414 4.55% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 980 2.54% 10,987 3.04% 431,432 5.02%
CWC 944 2.44% 12,092 3.35% 22,985 0.27%
Valid Votes 38,652 N/A 361,016 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hali Ela[18] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 20,677 56.04% 182,131 54.04% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 15,341 41.58% 146,546 43.48% 3,887,805 48.94%
SLPF 465 1.26% 3,555 1.05% 90,078 1.13%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 411 1.11% 4,827 1.43% 133,427 1.68%
Valid Votes 36,894 91.52% 337,059 92.19% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 3,419 8.48% 28,540 7.81% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 40,313 82.60% 365,599 82.23% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 48,807 444,632 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hali Ela[19] Badulla Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 14,240 57.62% 135,089 58.97% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 8,454 34.21% 81,011 35.36% 1,785,369 31.90%
USA 1,122 4.54% 5,712 2.49% 141,983 2.54%
ELJP 673 2.72% 5,589 2.44% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 223 0.90% 1,693 0.74% 90,480 1.62%
Valid Votes 24,712 91.73% 229,094 92.08% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,228 8.27% 19,704 7.92% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 26,940 77.71% 248,798 75.55% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 34,666 329,321 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Hali Ela Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (64.5%) and a significant Indian Tamil population (27.9%) . In comparison, the Badulla Electoral District (which contains the Hali Ela Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (73.0%) and a significant Indian Tamil population (18.5%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

Religion

The Hali Ela Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (64.2%) and a significant Hindu population (29.0%) . In comparison, the Badulla Electoral District (which contains the Hali Ela Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (72.6%) and a significant Hindu population (19.3%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

References

Шаблон:Reflist

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  1. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hali Ela and the Badulla Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  2. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hali Ela and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  4. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  5. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  6. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  7. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  8. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  9. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  10. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  11. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hali Ela and the Badulla Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  12. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hali Ela and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  14. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  15. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  16. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  17. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  18. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  19. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  20. ↑ 20,0 20,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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