Английская Википедия:Highest median voting rules
The highest median voting rules are a class of graded voting rules where the candidate with the highest median rating.
The various highest median rules differ in their treatment of ties, i.e., the method of ranking the candidates with the same median rating.
Proponents of highest median rules argue that they provide the most faithful reflection of the voters' opinion. They note that as with other cardinal voting rules, highest medians are not subject to Arrow's impossibility theorem, and so can satisfy both independence of irrelevant alternatives and Pareto efficiency.
However, critics note that highest median rules violate participation and the Archimedean property; highest median rules can fail to elect a candidate almost-unanimously preferred over all other candidates.
Example
As in score voting, voters rate candidates along a common scale, e.g.:
| Excellent | Very Good | Good | Fair | Passable | Inadequate | Bad | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Candidate A | X | ||||||
| Candidate B | X | ||||||
| Candidate C | X | ||||||
| Candidate D | X |
An elector can give the same appreciation to several different candidates. A candidate not evaluated automatically receives the mention "Bad".[1]
Then, for each candidate, we calculate what percentage of voters assigned them each grade, e.g.:
| Candidate | Excellent | Very Good | Good | Fair | Passable | Inadequate | Bad | TOTAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 5% | 13% | 21% | 20% | 9% | 17% | 15% | 100% |
| B | 5% | 14% | 19% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 24% | 100% |
| C | 4% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 24% | 25% | 100% |
This is presented graphically in the form of a cumulative histogram whose total corresponds to 100% of the votes cast:
For each candidate, we then determine the majority (or median) grade (shown here in bold). This rule means that an absolute majority (more than 50%) of voters judge that a candidate deserves at least its majority grade, and that half or more (50% or more) of the electors judges that he deserves at the most its majority grade. Thus, the majority grade looks like a median.
If only one candidate has the highest median score, they are elected. Otherwise, highest median rules must invoke a tiebreaking procedure to choose between the candidates with the highest median grade.
Tiebreaking procedures
When different candidates share the same median rating, a tie-breaking rule is required, analogous to interpolation. For discrete grading scales, the median is insensitive to changes in the data and highly sensitive to the choice of scale (as there are large "gaps" between ratings). For example, the following election results in a tied median grade, despite the second candidate being a strict improvement:
Most tie-breaking rules choose between tied candidates by comparing their relative shares of proponents (above-median grades) and opponents (below-median grades).[2] The share of proponents and opponents are represented by <math>p</math> and <math>q</math> respectively, while their share of median grades is written as <math>m</math>.
- Bucklin's rule orders candidates by (one minus) the number of opponents.[3] Anti-Bucklin reverses this (choosing the candidate with the highest share of proponents).
- The majority judgment considers the candidate who is closest to having a rating other than its median and breaks the tie based on that rating.[2]
- The typical judgment ranks candidates by the number of proponents minus the number of opponents,[2] i.e. <math>p-q</math>.
- The central judgment divides the typical judgment by the total number of proponents and opponents.
- Continuous Bucklin voting or Graduated Majority Judgment (GMJ),[4] also called the usual judgment, ranks candidates by the share of their median grades needed to reach 50% support.
- This is linearly interpolate between the next-highest score and the next-lowest score.
- Compared to typical judgment, this leads to a more prominent score difference when the median share is low; in other words, candidates who are more "polarizing" receive more extreme evaluations.
Example
The example in the following table shows a six-way tied rating, where each alternative wins under one of the rules mentioned above. (All scores apart from Bucklin/anti-Bucklin are scaled to fall in <math display="inline">\left[-\frac{1}{2}, \frac{1}{2} \right]</math>to allow for interpreting them as interpolations between the next-highest and next-lowest scores.)
| Candidate | Against | For | Diff | Central | Nearest | GMJ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 15% | 30% | 15% | 17% | 30% | 14% |
| B | 4% | 11% | 7% | 23% | 11% | 4% |
| C | 27% | 40% | 13% | 10% | 40% | 20% |
| D | 43% | 45% | 2% | 1% | 45% | 8% |
| E | 3% | 0% | -3% | -50% | -3% | -2% |
| F | 49% | 46% | -3% | -2% | -49% | -30% |
| Formula | <math>p</math> | <math>q</math> | <math>p-q</math> | <math>\frac{p-q}{2(p+q)}</math> | <math>\min(p, -q)</math> | <math>\frac{p -q}{2 m}</math> |
Advantages and Disadvantages
Advantages
Common to cardinal voting methods
Cardinal voting systems allow voters to provide much more information than ranked-choice ballots (so long as there are enough categories); in addition to allowing voters to specify which of two candidates they prefer, cardinal ballots allow them to express how strongly they prefer such candidates.[5] Voters can choose between a wide variety of options for rating candidates, allowing for nuanced judgments of quality.[5][6]
Because highest median methods ask voters to evaluate candidates rather than rank them, they escape Arrow's impossibility theorem, and satisfy both unanimity and independence of irrelevant alternatives.[7] However, highest medians fail the slightly stronger near-unanimity criterion (see #Disadvantages).
Several candidates belonging to a similar political faction can participate in the election without helping or hurting each other, as highest median methods satisfy independence from irrelevant alternatives:[7] Adding candidates does not change the ranking of previous candidates. In other words, if a group ranks A higher than B when choosing between A and B, they should not rank that B higher than A when choosing between A, B, and C.
Unique to highest medians
The most commonly-cited advantage of highest median rules over their mean-based counterparts is they minimize the number of voters who have an incentive to be dishonest.[5] Voters with strong preferences in particular will not much incentive to give candidates very high or very low scores. On the other hand, all voters in a score voting system have an incentive to exaggerate, which in theory would lead to de facto approval voting for a large share of the electorate most voters will only give the highest or lowest score to every candidate).
Disadvantages
Participation failure
Highest median rules violate the participation criterion;[8] in other words, a candidate may lose because they have "too many supporters."
In the example below, notice how adding the two ballots labeled "+" causes A (the initial winner) to lose to B:
| + | + | New Median | Old Median | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 |
| B | 9 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| C | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 |
It can be proven that score voting (i.e. choosing highest mean instead of highest median) is the unique voting system satisfying the participation criterion and independence of irrelevant alternatives.[9]
Archimedean property
Highest median rules violate the Archimedean property (a much weaker form of the majority criterion). As shown below, it is possible for Alice to defeat Bob in an election, even if only one voter thinks Bob is better than Alice, and a very large number of voters (up to 100% of them) give Alice a higher rating. Шаблон:Table alignment
| # ballots | Alice | Bob | Charlie |
|---|---|---|---|
| Many | 100/100 | 52/100 | 0/100 |
| Шаблон:Math | 50/100 | 51/100 | 1/100 |
| Many | 49/100 | 0/100 | 100/100 |
In this election, Bob has the highest median score (51) and defeats Alice, even though every voter except for one (perhaps Bob himself) thinks Alice is a better candidate. This is true no matter how many voters there are. As a result, even a single voter's weak preferences can override the strong preferences of the rest of the electorate.
The above example restricted to candidates Alice and Bob also serves as an example of highest median rules failing the majority criterion, although highest medians can pass the majority criterion with normalized ballots (i.e. ballots scaled to use the whole 0-100 range). However, normalization still cannot recover the Archimedean criterion.
Feasibility
A poll of French voters found a majority would be opposed to implementing majority judgment, but a majority would support conducting elections by score voting.[10]
Related rules
- Cardinal voting systems are similar to highest median methods, but determine winners using a statistic other than the median; the most common of these is score voting, which uses the mean.
- Approval voting corresponds to the degenerate case where there are only two possible ratings: approval and disapproval. In this case, all tie-breaking rules are equivalent.[11]
See also
Further reading
- R package implementing different highest median rules, as well as range voting: HighestMedianRules
References
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 2,0 2,1 2,2 2,3 Шаблон:Cite journal
- ↑ Collective decisions and voting: the potential for public choice, Nicolaus Tideman, 2006, p. 204
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ 5,0 5,1 5,2 Шаблон:Cite journal
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite journal
- ↑ 7,0 7,1 Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite book
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
- ↑ Шаблон:Cite journal
