Английская Википедия:Hiriyala Polling Division

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The Hiriyala Polling Division is a Polling Division in the Kurunegala Electoral District, in the North Western Province, Sri Lanka.

Presidential Election Results

Summary

The winner of Hiriyala has matched the final country result 5 out of 8 times. Hence, Hiriyala is a Weak Bellwether for Presidential Elections.

Year Hiriyala Kurunegala Electoral District MAE[1] % Sri Lanka MAE[2] %
2019 SLPP SLPP 0.41% SLPP 4.64%
2015 UPFA UPFA 0.71% NDF 4.93%
2010 UPFA UPFA 1.11% UPFA 6.00%
2005 UNP UPFA 3.24% UPFA 1.41%
1999 UNP PA 3.50% PA 4.14%
1994 PA PA 2.77% PA 5.77%
1988 UNP UNP 7.27% UNP 6.66%
1982 UNP UNP 5.63% UNP 6.61%
Matches/Mean MAE 5/8 7/8 3.08% 8/8 5.02%

2019 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hiriyala[3] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
SLPP 46,443 57.44% 652,278 57.90% 6,924,255 52.25%
NDF 30,232 37.39% 416,961 37.01% 5,564,239 41.99%
NMPP 2,538 3.14% 36,178 3.21% 418,553 3.16%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,648 2.04% 21,193 1.88% 345,452 2.61%
Valid Votes 80,861 99.28% 1,126,610 99.25% 13,252,499 98.99%
Rejected Votes 590 0.72% 8,522 0.75% 135,452 1.01%
Total Polled 81,451 83.58% 1,135,132 85.24% 13,387,951 83.71%
Registered Electors 97,456 1,331,705 15,992,568

2015 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hiriyala[4] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 38,538 52.68% 556,868 53.46% 5,768,090 47.58%
NDF 33,944 46.40% 476,602 45.76% 6,217,162 51.28%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 666 0.91% 8,154 0.78% 138,200 1.14%
Valid Votes 73,148 98.86% 1,041,624 99.12% 12,123,452 98.85%
Rejected Votes 847 1.14% 9,285 0.88% 140,925 1.15%
Total Polled 73,995 75.59% 1,050,909 78.82% 12,264,377 78.69%
Registered Electors 97,886 1,333,377 15,585,942

2010 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hiriyala[5] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 42,240 64.14% 582,784 63.08% 6,015,934 57.88%
NDF 22,538 34.22% 327,594 35.46% 4,173,185 40.15%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,075 1.63% 13,515 1.46% 204,494 1.97%
Valid Votes 65,853 99.17% 923,893 99.29% 10,393,613 99.03%
Rejected Votes 548 0.83% 6,644 0.71% 101,838 0.97%
Total Polled 66,401 72.06% 930,537 75.59% 10,495,451 66.70%
Registered Electors 92,150 1,230,966 15,734,587

2005 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hiriyala[6] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 31,412 49.94% 418,809 46.72% 4,706,366 48.43%
UPFA 30,785 48.94% 468,507 52.26% 4,887,152 50.29%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 703 1.12% 9,181 1.02% 123,521 1.27%
Valid Votes 62,900 98.75% 896,497 99.07% 9,717,039 98.88%
Rejected Votes 793 1.25% 8,458 0.93% 109,869 1.12%
Total Polled 63,693 73.97% 904,955 77.87% 9,826,908 69.51%
Registered Electors 86,112 1,162,099 14,136,979

1999 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hiriyala[7] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 24,589 47.17% 326,327 43.89% 3,602,748 42.71%
PA 24,366 46.74% 377,483 50.77% 4,312,157 51.12%
JVP 2,101 4.03% 27,354 3.68% 343,927 4.08%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,073 2.06% 12,355 1.66% 176,679 2.09%
Valid Votes 52,129 97.14% 743,519 97.99% 8,435,754 97.69%
Rejected Votes 1,535 2.86% 15,272 2.01% 199,536 2.31%
Total Polled 53,664 71.90% 758,791 75.83% 8,635,290 72.17%
Registered Electors 74,632 1,000,624 11,965,536

1994 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hiriyala[8] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
PA 28,159 56.44% 403,838 59.36% 4,709,205 62.28%
UNP 20,880 41.85% 266,740 39.21% 2,715,283 35.91%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 852 1.71% 9,766 1.44% 137,040 1.81%
Valid Votes 49,891 98.19% 680,344 98.48% 7,561,526 98.03%
Rejected Votes 919 1.81% 10,511 1.52% 151,706 1.97%
Total Polled 50,810 75.63% 690,855 76.97% 7,713,232 69.12%
Registered Electors 67,182 897,539 11,158,880

1988 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hiriyala[9] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 12,154 58.48% 198,662 51.12% 2,569,199 50.43%
SLFP 8,193 39.42% 182,220 46.89% 2,289,857 44.95%
SLMP 436 2.10% 7,717 1.99% 235,701 4.63%
Valid Votes 20,783 98.98% 388,599 98.91% 5,094,754 98.24%
Rejected Votes 214 1.02% 4,281 1.09% 91,499 1.76%
Total Polled 20,997 35.12% 392,880 53.49% 5,186,256 55.87%
Registered Electors 59,781 734,453 9,283,143

1982 Sri Lankan Presidential Election

Party Hiriyala[10] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 28,098 61.67% 345,769 55.77% 3,450,815 52.93%
SLFP 15,608 34.26% 248,479 40.08% 2,546,348 39.05%
JVP 1,496 3.28% 21,835 3.52% 273,428 4.19%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 357 0.78% 3,895 0.63% 249,460 3.83%
Valid Votes 45,559 98.74% 619,978 99.13% 6,520,156 98.78%
Rejected Votes 580 1.26% 5,431 0.87% 80,470 1.22%
Total Polled 46,139 83.11% 625,409 86.00% 6,600,626 80.15%
Registered Electors 55,516 727,202 8,235,358

Parliamentary Election Results

Summary

The winner of Hiriyala has matched the final country result 4 out of 7 times. Hence, Hiriyala is a Weak Bellwether for Parliamentary Elections.

Year Hiriyala Kurunegala Electoral District MAE[11] % Sri Lanka MAE[12] %
2015 UPFA UPFA 1.07% UNP 2.64%
2010 UPFA UPFA 0.33% UPFA 3.04%
2004 UPFA UPFA 3.05% UPFA 4.50%
2001 UNP UNP 2.28% UNP 3.40%
2000 UNP PA 5.18% PA 4.09%
1994 UNP PA 4.54% PA 4.16%
1989 UNP UNP 8.25% UNP 9.74%
Matches/Mean MAE 4/7 6/7 3.53% 7/7 4.51%

2015 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hiriyala[13] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 32,076 47.75% 474,124 49.29% 4,732,664 42.48%
UNP 31,258 46.54% 441,275 45.87% 5,098,916 45.77%
JVP 2,711 4.04% 41,077 4.27% 544,154 4.88%
DP 937 1.39% 3,119 0.32% 28,587 0.26%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 187 0.28% 2,377 0.25% 54,454 0.49%
Valid Votes 67,169 94.54% 961,972 95.39% 11,140,333 95.35%
Rejected Votes 3,835 5.40% 46,036 4.56% 516,926 4.42%
Total Polled 71,048 72.58% 1,008,459 79.63% 11,684,111 77.66%
Registered Electors 97,886 1,266,443 15,044,490

2010 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hiriyala[14] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,911 64.26% 429,316 63.91% 4,846,388 60.38%
UNP 13,181 31.47% 213,713 31.81% 2,357,057 29.37%
DNA 1,673 3.99% 26,440 3.94% 441,251 5.50%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 115 0.27% 2,288 0.34% 34,779 0.43%
Valid Votes 41,880 91.52% 671,757 92.58% 8,026,322 96.03%
Rejected Votes 3,832 8.37% 53,130 7.32% 581,465 6.96%
Total Polled 45,758 49.66% 725,566 59.08% 8,358,246 59.29%
Registered Electors 92,150 1,228,044 14,097,690

2004 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hiriyala[15] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UPFA 26,607 48.61% 412,157 51.95% 4,223,126 45.70%
UNP 25,167 45.98% 340,768 42.95% 3,486,792 37.73%
JHU 2,740 5.01% 37,459 4.72% 552,723 5.98%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 223 0.41% 2,976 0.38% 64,640 0.70%
Valid Votes 54,737 94.24% 793,360 95.14% 9,241,931 94.52%
Rejected Votes 3,326 5.73% 40,261 4.83% 534,452 5.47%
Total Polled 58,082 69.53% 833,908 76.54% 9,777,821 75.74%
Registered Electors 83,535 1,089,482 12,909,631

2001 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hiriyala[16] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,882 50.95% 382,768 48.59% 4,086,026 45.62%
PA 20,884 39.58% 332,775 42.24% 3,330,815 37.19%
JVP 4,292 8.13% 63,652 8.08% 815,353 9.10%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 708 1.34% 8,533 1.08% 133,770 1.49%
Valid Votes 52,766 94.30% 787,728 95.35% 8,955,844 94.77%
Rejected Votes 3,191 5.70% 38,451 4.65% 494,009 5.23%
Total Polled 55,957 69.95% 826,179 78.98% 9,449,878 76.03%
Registered Electors 80,000 1,046,102 12,428,762

2000 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hiriyala[17] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,875 47.86% 308,106 41.86% 3,451,765 40.12%
PA 23,423 43.33% 358,794 48.75% 3,899,329 45.33%
JVP 2,807 5.19% 40,780 5.54% 518,725 6.03%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 1,114 2.06% 16,421 2.23% 221,514 2.57%
NUA 840 1.55% 11,927 1.62% 185,593 2.16%
Valid Votes 54,059 N/A 736,028 N/A 8,602,617 N/A

1994 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hiriyala[18] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 26,181 51.67% 332,547 47.02% 3,498,370 44.04%
PA 23,984 47.34% 366,856 51.87% 3,887,805 48.94%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 502 0.99% 7,876 1.11% 158,616 2.00%
Valid Votes 50,667 94.73% 707,279 95.92% 7,943,688 95.20%
Rejected Votes 2,817 5.27% 30,071 4.08% 400,395 4.80%
Total Polled 53,484 79.61% 737,350 82.15% 8,344,095 74.75%
Registered Electors 67,182 897,580 11,163,064

1989 Sri Lankan Parliamentary Election

Party Hiriyala[19] Kurunegala Electoral District Sri Lanka
Votes % Votes % Votes %
UNP 25,073 68.03% 314,724 58.51% 2,838,005 50.71%
SLFP 10,734 29.12% 195,526 36.35% 1,785,369 31.90%
ELJP 610 1.66% 13,759 2.56% 67,723 1.21%
Other Parties (with < 1%) 439 1.19% 13,907 2.59% 232,463 4.15%
Valid Votes 36,856 93.33% 537,916 94.02% 5,596,468 93.87%
Rejected Votes 2,632 6.67% 34,212 5.98% 365,563 6.13%
Total Polled 39,488 66.88% 572,128 72.88% 5,962,031 63.60%
Registered Electors 59,043 784,991 9,374,164

Demographics

Ethnicity

The Hiriyala Polling Division has a Sinhalese majority (92.5%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Hiriyala Polling Division) has a Sinhalese majority (91.4%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

Religion

The Hiriyala Polling Division has a Buddhist majority (91.4%) . In comparison, the Kurunegala Electoral District (which contains the Hiriyala Polling Division) has a Buddhist majority (88.5%) [20] Шаблон:Pie chart

References

Шаблон:Reflist

Партнерские ресурсы
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  1. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hiriyala and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  2. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hiriyala and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  3. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  4. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  5. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  6. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  7. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  8. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  9. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  10. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  11. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hiriyala and the Kurunegala Electoral District. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  12. ↑ The mean absolute error, between the percentages of votes each party got in Hiriyala and the country. It is a measure of the difference in voting behaviour between the two regions.
  13. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  14. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  15. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  16. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  17. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  18. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  19. ↑ Шаблон:Cite web
  20. ↑ 20,0 20,1 Шаблон:Cite web
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